Vincenzo Emanuele

Meet virtually with Cisco Webex. Anytime, anywhere, on any device. Simple, modern video meetings for everyone on the world's most popular and trusted collaboration platform.

The seminar will be available online at this link emea01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com?url=https%3A...

@mirkocrulli.bsky.social

Next Thursday at Luiss @dpzollinger.bsky.social will deliver a seminar about societal discontent and vote choice. I’m really glad to host Delia. The relationship between globalization-related conflicts, social groups, and vote choice is also at the core of our ‘NEWCOMING’ PRIN project.

📖✅Our open access article 'Lipset and Rokkan meet data' on the electoral structuring of traditional #cleavages has been issued on @wepsocial.bsky.social
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Meet virtually with Cisco Webex. Anytime, anywhere, on any device. Simple, modern video meetings for everyone on the world's most popular and trusted collaboration platform.

The project involves four universities (Luiss, Siena, Florence, and Bologna) and the workshop will provide an opportunity to present and discuss ongoing research.
Those interested in following the event remotely can do so via the following link luiss.webex.com/luiss/j.php?...

Tomorrow at Luiss the final workshop of the #PRIN project NEWCOMING will take place. The project examines political conflict in the era of #globalization, drawing on original survey data collected in seven countries as well as in-depth interviews with the Italian electorate.

Few proper party systems left in Western Europe? The decline of "systemness" and the rise of party non-systems A groundbreaking study recently published in the Italian Political Science Review / Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica reveals a profound transformation in European politics: by the 2010s, the proba...

Few proper party systems left in Western Europe? The decline of "systemness" and the rise of party non-systems
open.substack.com/pub/ipsrbrie...

Party system ideological polarization in Western Europe: data, trends, drivers, and links with other key party system properties (1945–2021) Unlike other key party system properties (e.g. fragmentation, volatility), polarization lacks a publicly available cross-national and longitudinal dataset that can be used as an established source ...

To go more in depth, look at our PRX article here www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

By moving down from the general left-right placement to the specific economic and cultural (Galtan) dimensions (CHES data), it becomes clear that the upward trend is strongly associated with the increase in Galtan polarization, while parties’ differences on the economy have become less marked.

This general trend hides interesting variations between national party systems. Most countries consistently show a remarkable increase in ideological polarization over the last years, in others the upward trend is milder, and eventually in others polarization is steady or declining.

As the boxplot below shows, ideological polarization of Western European party systems - measured through the Dalton’s index of parties’ left-right positions and based on parties’ vote share – in the 2020s has been, on average, 4.43, the highest after WWII.

📈Ideological polarization is still on the rise in Western Europe. The 2020s display the highest average level of polarization since 1945. This is the first result emerging from the 2025 update of our ‘ Dataset of ideological polarization in Western Europe’ www.vincenzoemanuele.com/dataset-of-i...

Left Governmental Power and the Reduction of Inequalities in Western Europe (1871–2020) - Left Governmental Power and the Reduction of Inequalities in Western Europe (1871–2020) By Vincenzo Emanuele and Federico Trastulli, LUISS Guido Carli Despite considerable attention in the literature, existing studies analyzing the effect of left governmental power [...]

Our research on left in government and reduction of inequalities summarized on this @poppublicsphere.bsky.social blog post. @fedetrastulli.bsky.social
politicalsciencenow.com/left-governm...

Oggi in Luiss ricordiamo la figura e la lezione di Leonardo Morlino, un grande maestro per molti di noi.

📚 In our Collection on The #RadicalRight in Southern Europe #FreeAccess

Radical-Right Surge in a Deinstitutionalised Party System: The 2022 Italian General Election

🆓Read the article by A. Chiaramonte, @vincenzoemanuele.bsky.social, N. Maggini & A. Paparo 👇
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Today and tomorrow in Florence with a fantastic lineup #southerneurope #partysystems #epelections

Tomorrow from 11:30 a.m. to 12:30 p.m., we at the Italian Center for Electoral Studies will host a webinar with @sldelange.bsky.social to analyze the evolution of the Dutch party system after the recent 2025 election!

Info and link to join here: scienzepolitiche.luiss.it/research-sem...

and here www.vincenzoemanuele.com/dataset-of-p... you may also find dataset on new parties and party system innovation updated for 2025.

I have updated my electoral volatility dataset for 2025. You can find the new data and related information here www.vincenzoemanuele.com/dataset-of-e...
The dataset is now 10 years old and I'm proud it has become a reference for many party system scholars across the world! ✅

Electoral change in 2025 has been remarkable in the #Netherlands, thanks to the collapse of NSC and large vote shifts among established parties. The election is the third most-volatile in country's history and among the top-15 in post-1945 Western Europe (the 10th for RegV) according to my data.

The 2024 European Parliament elections in Portugal: media, results, and vote determinants in national and European elections This study examines the 2024 European Parliament election in Portugal by testing the second-order national election (SONE) model across three key dimensions: media coverage, electoral outcomes, and...

Happy to share my our publication in @sespjournal.bsky.social by Tiago Silva and me on the 2024 EP Elections in Portugal. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10...., part of a Special Issue on the 2024 EP Elections in Southern Europe, edited by Aldo Paparo, @vincenzoemanuele.bsky.social and myself. 1/5

Happy to see that our article, “Bringing Rokkan into the twenty-first century: the cleavage structure of Western Europe”, coauthored with @vincenzoemanuele.bsky.social, has made it into the top 5 most read in @jeppjournal.bsky.social over the past year! Proof that cleavage theory is alive and well.

5/ @vincenzoemanuele.bsky.social & Bruno Marino test Lipset & Rokkan’s famous freezing hypothesis w fresh data, finding some conditions for freezing L&R hypothesize are *not* associated with cleavage structuring and other societal/institutional factors were overlooked.

bsky.app/profile/vinc...

@dpzollinger.bsky.social and I are thrilled "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies" is out as an SI at @wepsocial.bsky.social!

Its papers explore the foundations of the cleavage pitting new left against radical right parties, and how it compares to the classic cleavages of Lipset & Rokkan:

🧵⬇️

NEWCOMING Four main goals mapping the conflicts emerging from the economic, social, and cultural transformations of the age of globalization identifying the economic, social, and cultural groups emerging from.....

This is the first output of the NEWCOMING project— newcomingproject.weebly.com . We are indebted to our project’s colleagues who collaborated in designing our original survey data. Happy to discuss the paper with anyone working on cleavages, party systems, or identity politics in Europe!

So what?
👉 Parties face a fragmented society shaped by multiple cleavages.
👉 Representation is harder.
👉 Voter alienation may grow if parties can’t bridge diverging social groups.
A challenge for European democracy in the 2020s and beyond.

🔍 Our method matters too.
We’re the first to operationalise Bartolini & Mair’s cleavage theory using survey data, covering structure, identity, and party representation.
Check out the design if you’re working on cleavages or identities!

The conflict between skilled vs. unskilled workers?
It qualifies as a cleavage — but a separate one.
We find little overlap with cultural conflicts.
So, there’s no unified “transnational/globalisation cleavage” on the demand side.

💡 On the “new” side:
• Ethnonationalism vs. Cosmopolitanism
• Traditional values vs. LGBTQ+ rights
• Economy vs. Environment
These 3 overlap socially and politically — and form a multidimensional GAL/TAN cleavage.

Which cleavages are most structured?
💥 The class cleavage remains very strong.
🌱 The GAL/TAN cleavage (green/alternative/libertarian vs. traditional/authoritarian/nationalist) is also robust.
But not all old (or new) conflicts make the cut.