Climate Analytics

Join us for our next #IKI Brown Bag Lunch to discuss the current state of NDCs 3.0. The @climateactiontracker.org will present its analysis of decarbonisation trends, drawing on country case studies.
📆 21 August, 12-13 CEST
📌 Register: buff.ly/y5yoDuZ
@climateanalytics.org @newclimate.bsky.social

How SIDS can enhance the Global Goal on Adaptation indicator process Global adaptation frameworks must ensure the priorities of Small Island Developing States are included by integrating tailored, context-specific adaptation indicators

Small Island Developing States (SIDS) are on the frontlines of climate impacts. To truly track #adaptation, the Global Goal on Adaptation must reflect SIDS' unique contexts. Read the highlights from a new policy briefing in our latest blog: climateanalytics.org/comment/how-...

🎧 Listen to senior adaptation and coastal vulnerability scientist @rosemartyr.bsky.social speak about the vulnerability of small islands to sea level rise and how communities can adapt on the BBC podcast #TheClimateQuestion.

www.bbc.com/audio/play/w...

If countries fail to come forward with targets aligned to the 1.5°C limit in new NDCs due this year, the #ICJ advisory opinion makes clear that they could face legal repercussions under customary international law.

A new approach for rethinking climate-related loss and damage in the Pacific The IKI-project “Building Our Loss and Damage Response” (BOLD) is developing innovative ways of recognising and responding to both economic and non-economic climate impacts. 

How do you assess climate loss and damage that defies monetary valuation - like the loss of cultural heritage?

Our new @iki-germany.bsky.social project in the Pacific led by
SPREP combines modelling and domestic knowledge to try and answer these difficult questions and plan for the future.

Image displaying quote from the International Court of Justice Advisory Opinion on national climate targets: "Each Party’s successive nationally determined contribution [NDCs] will represent a progression beyond the Party’s then current nationally determined contribution and reflect its highest possible ambition."

The #ICJ opinion calls for ambitious climate plans. The third round of Nationally Determined Contributions are due this year. The #AdvisoryOpinion is a powerful reminder that countries must put forth ambitious, 1.5°C-aligned NDCs.

ICJ: 1.5°C is ‘primary goal’ under the Paris Agreement and countries… The International Court of Justice (ICJ) has issued a fundamental set of findings that reinforces the centrality of the Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Paris Agreement, and the duty on ...

The International Court of Justice #ICJ found that 1.5°C is the ‘primary goal’ under the Paris Agreement and countries must act on climate with the 'highest ambition' to meet this.

Statement from @billhare.bsky.social explains what this means for #climateaction 👇

World on brink of climate breakthrough as fossil fuels ‘run out of road’, UN chief says António Guterres says ‘sun is rising on a clean energy age’ as 90% of renewable power projects cheaper than fossil fuels

"Any investment in new fossil fuels now is a fool’s gamble, while joining the race to renewables can only bring benefits – not just jobs and cheaper energy at stable prices, but energy independence and access where it’s needed most", says @billhare.bsky.social on @theguardian.com.

Comment on UNSG's 22 July special climate address The new UN report backed by IEA, the IMF, IRENA, the OECD and the World Bank has one clear message – there’s no stopping renewables now, despite the concerted efforts of fossil fuel lobbyists thinking...

Read our CEO's reaction to the UN report and Secretary General’s speech – @billhare.bsky.social
climateanalytics.org/press-releas...

According to the UN, less than $1 in 5 invested in clean energy has gone to emerging markets outside China since the Paris Agreement.

A plan to scale up climate finance at #COP30 will be key to ensuring developing regions like Africa benefit equally from the renewables revolution.

Emissions growth in 2024 was mostly driven by gas, with demand up 2.7%.

Gas is not a bridging fuel, investing in it now locks in outdated infrastructure.

Wannabe (and soon to be) COP hosts Brazil and Australia should know better and stop exploring for more oil and gas.

CAT 2035 Climate Target Update Tracker

Keep up to date on the new NDCs as they come out and see how @climateactiontracker.org rates them against the warming limit:

Setting 1.5°C compatible wind and solar targets Based on global energy system modelling sense-checked against key national studies, this report presents new analysis on what a 1.5°C-aligned rollout of wind and solar could look like for key countrie...

We’ve also developed 1.5-aligned wind and solar benchmarks for 11 countries, and will be publishing more this year as part of the @climateactiontracker.org

1.5°C national pathway explorer Explore 1.5°C national pathways for countries and sector-specific benchmarks derived from global IPCC pathways compatible with the Paris Agreement.

Our tool the 1.5°C national pathway explorer provides power, industry and transport sector benchmarks for key countries aligned to the 1.5°C limit to guide this process.

As well as national emissions benchmarks for 2030 and 2035 – with and without LULUCF.
1p5ndc-pathways.climateanalytics.org

The success of renewables shows we can change our emissions trajectory - and fast.

But to keep the 1.5°C in reach, we need to move faster.

Governments should use their upcoming NDCs to supercharge this transition and stop working against it through fossil fuel subsidies.

Analysis: Clean energy just put China’s CO2 emissions into reverse for first time - Carbon Brief For the first time, the growth in China’s clean power generation has caused the nation’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions to fall despite rapid power demand growth.

While energy demand grew 2.2% (faster than expected) last year, CO2 emissions growth slowed to 0.8%.

And the rise of clean energy looks to have set China’s emissions on a permanent downward trend, a key signal that global emissions may fall from next year.

As the UN report highlights, over the last decade, global renewable electricity capacity grew 140% (2,600 GW), while fossil fuel electricity capacity grew just 16% (640 GW).

As a result, global renewable and fossil fuel electricity capacity are already roughly equal.

Last year, electricity demand spiked due to:

🥵 Extreme heat boosting A/C use
🚄 Increased manufacturing and transport electrification
💻 New data centres/AI

Yet, investment in renewables vs. fossil fuels is now 2:1. Inevitably, renewables will force fossil fuels out of power.

When will global greenhouse gas emissions peak? - report Our analysis finds we could peak coal in 2023, gas in 2024 and oil in 2025.

The new UN report says renewables growth has exceeded projections and continues to grow exponentially.

Our 2023 analysis showed that rapid renewables growth puts a peak on the horizon.

Emissions haven’t peaked yet due to fast demand growth - but signs suggest they could soon...

A Moment of Opportunity | United Nations In a special address at 9:00 AM ET on 22 July 2025, the UN Secretary-General focuses on a hopeful story emerging amidst the ongoing climate devastation and turmoil: that of a new energy era. He o...

Today, #UNSG António Guterres said we’re entering a new era – a clean energy age.

But with governments still backing fossil fuels, can the success of renewables shift the needle on 1.5°C?

Let’s dive in 🧵👇
www.un.org/en/climatech...

Migration visas for Tuvalu citizens at risk of #sealevelrise "are the repercussion of our failure to meet the Paris Agreement's targets," @rosemartyr.bsky.social told the BBC.

To protect the land, cultural sites and ecosystems "the best solution we have is to reduce our emissions now".

Latest science on the 1.5°C limit of the Paris Agreement This briefing provides a comprehensive overview of what the science is saying now about the 1.5°C warming limit – what it means, what is at stake, and what actions are needed to limit the risks of ove...

Extreme climate impacts are everywhere and will only get worse unless peak warming is kept as close to 1.5°C as possible.

Read our brief on the latest science of the 1.5°C limit, including the present level of global warming and current climate impacts.

A picture of Dimitris Tsekeris with a quotation from him, "Right now we are facing a very real, present risk. You don't need to be at the science front or the policy front to feel that the climate is changing. You can feel it everywhere right now."

LISTEN: Senior Policy Analyst @dtsekeris22.bsky.social
reflects on the recent Bonn Climate Conference and discusses where global emissions targets stand ahead of COP30 on the Explaining Greece podcast. open.spotify.com/episode/69Xm...

Latest science on the 1.5°C limit of the Paris Agreement This briefing provides a comprehensive overview of what the science is saying now about the 1.5°C warming limit – what it means, what is at stake, and what actions are needed to limit the risks of ove...

What is needed to keep the Paris 1.5°C limit in reach and achieve net zero?

Why is net zero CO2 by 2050 so important to limiting temperature increase?

Get the answers in our latest briefing on the science of the 1.5°C limit of the Paris Agreement.

EU abdicates climate leadership with 2040 climate target shot through… Today, the European Commission unveiled its 2040 climate target — which was meant to align EU policy with the 1.5°C warming limit. Instead, it arrives weakened by loopholes that risk setting back year...

"The European Commission's new 2040 climate target arrives weakened by loopholes that risk setting back years of progress," says @billhare.bsky.social.

"Europe must deliver real, verifiable cuts at home — not rely on offsets or weakened standards."

Read the full statement:

'Helpless in the force of nature': SA government says it can't stop toxic algal bloom The South Australian government says it is “helpless in the force of nature” as it grapples with a bloom responsible for countless marine deaths, warning that the toxic algae is unlikely to dissipate ...

The terrible marine heatwave destroying marine life in South Australia #auspol is essentially caused by global warming and is not, as the South Australian government says, an act of nature that we can do nothing about. Well, we can and we must.
🧵 #climate
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06...

Olivia Waterton, Climate Analytics: “We can turn climate anxiety into action—if we work together.” - IKEA Foundation As a junior climate policy analyst at Climate Analytics, Olivia Waterton is part of a global team working to shape climate policy through science. From her base in Berlin, she collaborates with collea...

“It’s incredibly motivating when stakeholders tell us how they’re using our results,” says @oliviawaterton.bsky.social.
“Whether it’s in local meetings or national policy discussions knowing that my work is helping to push for higher climate ambition makes me feel like I’m making a real difference.”

Latest science on the 1.5°C limit of the Paris Agreement This briefing provides a comprehensive overview of what the science is saying now about the 1.5°C warming limit – what it means, what is at stake, and what actions are needed to limit the risks of ove...

1.5°C is not just a number. It’s a warming limit set to prevent the worst climate impacts for everyone, everywhere. For small islands states and least developed countries it is a survival limit.

Read our brief on latest science on the 1.5°C limit. #SIDS #LDCs #climateaction #ParisAgreement

Viet Nam has been scaling solar power rapidly, adding over 18 GW in the past 7 years.

But coal and gas still make up half the power mix.

A 1.5°C compatible transition would see coal phased out of the power system by 2030 and gas by 2035-2040.

See how: bit.ly/4kYCcdi

Latest science on the 1.5°C limit of the Paris Agreement This briefing provides a comprehensive overview of what the science is saying now about the 1.5°C warming limit – what it means, what is at stake, and what actions are needed to limit the risks of ove...

NEW brief on the latest science behind the 1.5°C limit – the enduring, legally significant temperature goal of the Paris Agreement.

This global benchmark for climate action is needed to minimise harm and danger, especially for the most vulnerable.

climateanalytics.org/publications...