Vincent Pons

Quelles leçons tirer de la victoire de Milei? Ma dernière chronique pour @lesechosfr.bsky.social 👇👇

Et si l'on réformait enfin l'impôt sur les successions? Ma dernière chronique pour @lesechosfr.bsky.social 👇👇

Thanks to @aeajournals.bsky.social for highlighting our August 2025 AER paper in their featured charts series! 👇👇
"Keep Your Enemies Closer: Strategic Platform Adjustments during US and French Elections" w/ R. Di Tella, R. Kotti and @clpennec.bsky.social

Merci à Guillaume Erner pour son invitation à dialoguer sur la fatigue démocratique en France et aux Etats-Unis, sur la matinale de @franceculture.fr !

www.radiofrance.fr/francecultur...

Trump encense Milei, mais imite les Kirchner.
Ma dernière chronique pour @lesechosfr.bsky.social 👇👇👇

We study changes in political discourse during campaigns, using a novel dataset of candidate websites for US House elections, 2002–2016, and manifestos for French parliamentary and local elections, 1958–2022. We find that candidates move to the center in ideology and rhetorical complexity between the first round (or primary) and the second round (or general election). This convergence reflects candidates' strategic adjustment to their opponents, as predicted by Downsian competition: Using an RDD we show that candidates converge to the platform of opponents who narrowly qualified for the last round as opposed to those who narrowly failed to qualify.

In @aeajournals.bsky.social AER, Rafael Di Tella, Randy Kotti, @clpennec.bsky.social, and @vinpons.bsky.social examine a new dataset of US and French candidate websites, finding that candidate ideologies move towards the center between primary and general elections.

www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

Full paper here: www.vincentpons.org/median-voter.... (n/n)

Second, this convergence reflects candidates’ strategic adjustment to their opponents, as predicted by Downsian competition: Using an RDD we show that candidates converge to the platform of opponents who narrowly qualified for the last round as opposed to those who narrowly failed to qualify. (3/n)

We use candidate websites for US House elections, 2002–2016, and manifestos for French parl. and local elections, 1958–2022.
We show, first, that candidates move to the center in ideology and rhetorical complexity between the 1st round (or primary) and the 2nd round (or general election). (2/n)

Thrilled to see our paper published in the American Economic Review!! 👇👇👇
We show that candidates in US and French elections move to the center during the campaign, reflecting strategic adjustment to their opponents.
@aeajournals.bsky.social with R. Di Tella, R. Kotti and @clpennec.bsky.social (1/n)

« Oui, la démocratie américaine est menacée »
Abonnez-vous à « Réarmer la démocratie - le podcast de Philippe Moreau Chevrolet » et suivez mon échange avec @vinpons.bsky.social
Disponible sur Spotify et sur Substack.

Très honoré d'avoir été le premier invité du podcast "Réarmer la démocratie"!! 👇👇

Merci à @moreauchevrolet.bsky.social pour cette discussion passionnante sur la guerre menée par Trump contre les universités, les effets de sa politique économique, et les défis économiques de la France.

Très heureux de devenir membre du Conseil d'Analyse économique!!
Hâte de commencer le travail avec @abergeaud.bsky.social, Florence Jusot, Pauline Rossi, Emmanuelle Taugourdeau, Benoit Mojon, ainsi que les membres existants, Xavier Jaravel, et toute l'équipe du @caeeco.bsky.social!

Donald Trump déroule son programme populiste et anti-redistributif.
Ma dernière chronique pour @lesechosfr.bsky.social 👇👇👇

(around an image of a map of No Kings events) NO KINGS JUNE 14 - NATIONWIDE DAY OF DEFIANCE nokings.org

We will not cower, even in the face of Trump’s militarized escalation.

On Saturday, we are going to rise up all across the country in defiance of this administration’s authoritarian agenda.

Join the nationwide peaceful protests for No Kings Day: www.nokings.org?SQF_SOURCE=i...

Tagging my coauthor @vincent-rollet.bsky.social who recently joined Bluesky!

Version 2.0 of the National Elections Database is online! nationalelectionsdatabase.com
We cover presidential and parliamentary elections 1789–2023, extending the post-1945 data of Electoral Turnovers @reveconstudies.bsky.social (academic.oup.com/restud/advan...)
w/ Benjamin Marx and Vincent Rollet

Harvard résiste, les universités françaises pourraient-elles en faire autant ?
Ma dernière chronique pour @lesechosfr.bsky.social 👇👇👇

📌 Excited to announce the 2nd Northeast Political Economy Conference 📌 We (briangknight.bsky.social) are seeking submissions from economists & political scientists working on political economy topics.

Please submit by June 16 and join us at Brown on Friday, Oct 3 forms.gle/i4wi88Q6P3tJ...

L'heure de la riposte: Ma dernière chronique pour @lesechosfr.bsky.social 👇👇👇

"National Elections Database," including the results of 1,023 presidential and 2,962 parliamentary elections conducted worldwide since 1946!
From @vinpons.bsky.social, Marx and Rollet.

The companion paper: www.restud.com/electoral-tu...

#EconSky #Elections

The dataset aims to achieve the broadest possible time and spatial coverage by compiling information from various sources, as described in the codebook and companion paper, "Electoral Turnovers," @reveconstudies.bsky.social : www.restud.com/electoral-tu...

We are very happy to publish the "National Elections Database," including the results of 1,023 presidential and 2,962 parliamentary elections conducted worldwide since 1946!
www.nationalelectionsdatabase.com
with Benjamin Marx and Vincent Rollet

La baisse de la pauvreté dans le monde va-t-elle cesser avec Trump? Ma dernière chronique pour @lesechosfr.bsky.social 👇👇

In multi-party systems, incumbents benefit from coordination failures among candidates and voters on the losing side

New paper with K. Dano, @vingalasso.bsky.social, @clpennec.bsky.social, @vinpons.bsky.social forthcoming at @jeeanews.bsky.social!!👇