Johannes Boehm's Avatar

Johannes Boehm

@johannesmboehm.bsky.social

Professor of Economics, Geneva Graduate Institute & CEPR. Growth, Trade, Productivity, Organization, Environment, South Asia. https://jmboehm.github.io/

3,194 Followers  |  438 Following  |  82 Posts  |  Joined: 01.10.2023  |  2.0495

Latest posts by johannesmboehm.bsky.social on Bluesky

Do you include potentially reduced incentives to innovate in the "no war" counterfactual? What's your assessment of those?

22.09.2025 20:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Great programme for the CEP/LSE-Warwick Junior Trade Workshop on 22 September
@cep-lse.bsky.social @warwickecon.bsky.social

cep.lse.ac.uk/textonly/_ne...

04.09.2025 20:22 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Assistant Professor – Global History of Technology - Department of History University of California, Berkeley is hiring. Apply now!

NEW: Tenure-track position in History at UC Berkeley in the GLOBAL HISTORY OF TECHNOLOGY.

We are casting a wide net here: *all* periods, places, and fields are under consideration.

I'm on the search committee, so do let me know if you have questions.

28.08.2025 20:57 β€” πŸ‘ 383    πŸ” 254    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 10
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Let the sabbatical begin! Thank you to @ucberkeleyofficial.bsky.social economics for hosting me for the year (and thanks for the nice office view!)

25.08.2025 18:21 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Also great work on the Roman economy.

05.08.2025 20:00 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Peter Temin, economic historian at MIT, has passed away. He worked both on problems of understanding the past (e.g. "Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression?") and how how the past shapes the present (e.g. "The Vanishing Middle Class.") Terrific scholar and mentor, generous critic.

05.08.2025 18:09 β€” πŸ‘ 84    πŸ” 19    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 8

Further unraveling: we'll see, I'm not that optimistic. I would have preferred it if the US had unilaterally withdrawn from the WTO. I agree on incidence.

29.07.2025 15:38 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, that's exactly what I'm worried about (but it will take 5-10y to evaluate). The EU is effectively showing the middle finger to MFN.

29.07.2025 07:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

But at the price of sacrificing the world trading system...

28.07.2025 21:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

If this is accurate, then unless the EU eliminates all tariffs on industrial imports from all its WTO partners, it will be joining Trump in destroying the international trade rules that have applied since WW2. The difference being that while Trump hates the rule-based order the EU claims to value it

28.07.2025 20:44 β€” πŸ‘ 36    πŸ” 17    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 2

Today's trade deal between the US and the EU -- if as reported in the press, and if independent from other agreements -- is a massive mistake on the EU's side. Instead it should have called Trump's bluff. Trump would not have imposed 30% on EU imports for long.

27.07.2025 20:26 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

"Contracts as reference points"?

13.07.2025 12:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Does that mean that the 'mistake' was merely to use this particular justification, and if they find a somewhat less creative justification, there is little that the courts would do to stop tariffs?

29.05.2025 11:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you β€ͺto @peterfrankopan.bsky.social‬ for discussing our paper on his terrific substack blog: peterfrankopan.substack.com/p/coins-in-t...

20.05.2025 19:27 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The real Austrian response is "depends on who's asking" :)

13.05.2025 14:06 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Whenever you need a model/estimator that isn't already available in 'canned' form (i.e. whenever you need to write the optimization problem yourself). If you stick with OLS/IV/PPML/logit/probit your're usually fine w/ R or stata.

29.04.2025 18:30 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

They can't; the Calvo fairy didn't let them today

28.04.2025 15:50 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Globalization Ph.D. Fellows

Are you a PhD student working on topics related to globalization? Come hang out with us at Dartmouth for a term as a Globalization Ph.D. Fellow! We're now accepting applications for the 2025-2026 academic year:

globalization.dartmouth.edu/programs/glo...

11.03.2025 12:28 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Thank you! The CEPR discussion paper version is gated; here's the ungated (and up-to-date) draft: jmboehm.github.io/coins.pdf

18.04.2025 17:33 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trade and the End of Antiquity featured in today's Chartbook Top Link.

18.04.2025 17:03 β€” πŸ‘ 81    πŸ” 21    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 3

Call for papers: @theigc.bsky.social/@yaleegc.bsky.social conference on Firms/Trade/Development, Oct. 24-25, 2025.

The leading conference in the firms & development space!

Early decision deadline (to accommodate visa processing): May 30.

General submission deadline: July 18.

16.04.2025 15:13 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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On 14th April, as part of a first of a series of events, nine Institute professors gave briefings, tying their expertise to the the first 100 days of Donald Trump’s second presidency and its global implications.
Watch the recording now, in case you missed it
πŸ‘‡
shorturl.at/xnGla

15.04.2025 15:43 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

That document is very unclear about this

10.04.2025 11:01 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

There is still a time to apply for our Master in International Economics

Third and final deadline on April 15

@gvagrad.bsky.social @dominic-rohner.bsky.social @johannesmboehm.bsky.social

Please repost

07.04.2025 21:27 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
AEA Web - American Economic Review - 97(2):351 - Abstract

Dekle, Eaton, Kortum (2007): "We incorporate imbalances into a quantitative model of bilateral trade, calculating how relative factor costs and welfare would change if current accounts were all balanced." US welfare declines 6%.

pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/...

03.04.2025 02:18 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Just such beautiful variation though

02.04.2025 22:53 β€” πŸ‘ 52    πŸ” 18    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 17

1/ NEW RESEARCH: Our study reveals 46% of pesticides embedded in EU agricultural consumption originate from imports, despite imports constituting only 17% of consumption. This includes substances prohibited in the EU. This regulatory gap fuels leakage effects and hurts EU competitiveness 🧡

27.03.2025 07:31 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Research Economist Do you want to build a career that is truly worthwhile? Working at the World Bank Group provides a unique opportunity for you to help our clients solv...

The research group at the Workd Bank is doing an off-cycle hire for a trade economist worldbankgroup.csod.com/ux/ats/caree...

28.03.2025 16:48 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 24    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

I gave a talk in Edinburgh a few weeks ago and had a great time. They have a fantastic group.

21.03.2025 20:27 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Europe is about to make its biggest strategic mistake [FREE TO READ] Control over Moscow’s blocked foreign reserves empowers the EU to shape how the Ukraine war ends

Europe is about to commit its greatest strategic mistake. on.ft.com/4bVGZZ9

21.03.2025 15:53 β€” πŸ‘ 47    πŸ” 21    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 11

@johannesmboehm is following 19 prominent accounts