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@notayakk.bsky.social

84 Followers  |  69 Following  |  1,356 Posts  |  Joined: 20.11.2024  |  2.4015

Latest posts by notayakk.bsky.social on Bluesky

We are fish, and we swim in the ocean of white male supremacy of our society. There are fewer "lets put on a white hood and cosplay" racists than in the past, but racists and misogynists are hard to avoid.

The "tells it like it is" admiration that MAWA says is because lots of WMSs are quiet.

10.11.2025 15:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

And, when (more) fixed costs like housing and healthcare and energy grow faster than flexible costs like tvs and clothing and plastic doo dads, this lowers security against income fluctuations.

0.2% is within minor methodological errors of 0; the median is that low, the bottom quintile is worse.

10.11.2025 13:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Distributional consumer price indices and the measurement of inequality Differences in consumption patterns between lower- and higher-income households suggest the potential for inflation inequality, but evidence on the scale and drivers of this disparity remains scarce. This column uses โ€˜distributional consumer price indicesโ€™ to reveal a clear and systematic gap in inflation rates across income percentiles in the US, reflecting the varying consumption patterns of households at different income levels. The findings suggest that a substantial number of individuals considered above the poverty line based on the official Consumer Price Index actually fall below it due to different inflation dynamics, and may be missing out on poverty alleviation programmes.

That assumes cpi accurately described the basket of goods you buy and its change over time and how you prefer it to change.

Distributional CPI - cepr.org/voxeu/column... - reflects the differences in.basket of goods poor vs rich people purchase, instead of wrealth-weighted like standard cpi.

10.11.2025 13:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I think your problem might be you are looking at averages or per household data?

Averages are skewed by massive gains in the top 1%/10%; percent change in average is not average percent change, it is weighted to mostly ignore poor people. Households is skewed by more women in the workforce.

10.11.2025 03:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Income Before Taxes: Wages and Salaries by Quintiles of Income Before Taxes: Lowest 20 Percent (1st to 20th Percentile) Income Before Taxes: Wages and Salaries by Quintiles of Income Before Taxes: Lowest 20 Percent (1st to 20th Percentile)

So, real median income barely moved from 1979 to today.

Here is nominal bottom quintile wages - since 1984 to 2023, we get 0.3% growth above CPI.

fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CXU90...

Any good whose price inflates faster than cpi will become increasingly expensive. Like housing.

10.11.2025 03:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I tried and found the same data, but the chart was formatted differently. So not the same webpage I took the screenshot of.

Data is still right. Sorry I lack the url of the first screenshot.

09.11.2025 22:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Ok? Google for it. I tried and found the same data with the same conclusions, but on a quarterly basis instead of annual, and 2 more years of data, on the linked government website.

09.11.2025 22:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Employed full time: Median usual weekly real earnings: Wage and salary workers: 16 years and over Employed full time: Median usual weekly real earnings: Wage and salary workers: 16 years and over

Managed to find similar data here: fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LES12...

Same ~10% over 47-ish years.

Again, this isn't super secret or obscure data. US median wages have been *flat* for 50 years while GDP per capita has skyrocketed.

If this is a surprise to you you are not paying attention.

09.11.2025 22:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Sure. The poor got wealthier from 1900 to 1980.

In and around 1980 labour's share of GDP growth broke off from the curve. Real median wages stagnated.

This was rooted in a monetary policy change; recessions were triggered by liquidity contraction whenever wage "inflation" grew.

09.11.2025 22:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It was straight from a US government website. I can't control their typos.

You should be able to find lots of data in median wages and cpi to determine if there is a substantial error as well as typos. These numbers aren't obscure.

09.11.2025 22:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Housing prices (and rent) keep going up relative to CPI.

Wages are stagnent.

Thus, housing requires more hours of wages to pay for.

Then we have the quality fudge factor. It reduces inflation by saying housing is better each year; but better housing for someone housing insecure is not better.

09.11.2025 20:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Real wages 1979 to 2023

Real wages 1979 to 2023

Is this made up? 0.2% real wage growth over 47 years, indexed against the full CPI.

Any component of consumer spending that grows faster than CPI will be increasingly expensive. By this point, insanely so.

09.11.2025 19:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Look at median wage indexed to non-traded goods since 1979.

"No evidence" is a blatant lie. There is lots of evidence. It might not be convincing, but lying that it doesn't exist is bullshit.

09.11.2025 19:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Sure, traded goods have gotten cheaper.

Median wages have barely moved since 1979, and non-traded goods have had a price explosion.

So health care? Housing? Education? Car repair? Tailoring? Legal help? Almost 2x as expensive than it was in 1979.

09.11.2025 19:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Graph of real median wages corrected for inflation (traded and non) from 1979 to 2023.  Median wages have grown at 0.2% over this period, and are often underwater.

Graph of real median wages corrected for inflation (traded and non) from 1979 to 2023. Median wages have grown at 0.2% over this period, and are often underwater.

Imagine if non traded "fixed" costs grow 1% faster than overall inflation. We have "real wages" growing from 17.48 to 19.25 over 47 years; a whole 10% or avg 0.2% per year (!). And for non-traded it is a 32% drop in wages.

And the real gap is larger than 1% per year. share.google/qYDvL3D8dERf...

09.11.2025 18:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Here is the fun bit. If you are short money, you can patch clothing and wear more worn clothing.

If you can't afford rent you are homeless.

Paying a larger percentage of your income on "variable" as opposed to "fixed" goods makes you more resilient to cost shocks.

Max(1960->now) is baseline

09.11.2025 18:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Maximize lazy solutions. Identify one thing to blame for your problems. Ensure your standards make it so that verifying your theory is impossible. Attach your ego to something that requires no virtue on your part.

Bad guys who are both all powerful *and* inferior is perfect for this.

09.11.2025 15:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

But flatscreen TVs have gotten 8x the pixels and halved in price. That is 95% deflation!

09.11.2025 14:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I can't stand autocorrect as a programmer; sometimes I will write stuff that isn't proper English thank you very much. And I prefer my typos to be from my fingers.

09.11.2025 14:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Why are the chicago PD disobeying city priorities?

08.11.2025 21:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

So his plan is "gofundme".

08.11.2025 20:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 21    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Naw, seems like a false claim not backed by reality. Everywhere is a stupidly strong claim.

08.11.2025 00:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

We have non democratic states gaining economic power producing a crop of both non democratic millionaires and billionaires, plus a model for millionaires and billionaires to have power without democracy.

In the 20th century the consensus was democracy was good for business and defeats communism.

07.11.2025 23:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Traditional would be the white DEI category?

07.11.2025 23:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Um, racism was the tradeoff? The other GOP members would play lip service to racism, but Trump would actually both be openly racist and say openly racist things.

07.11.2025 00:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

And a massive opposition campaign with deep pockets. And massive opposition from the party apparatus. And massive media opposition.

And he pulled 50% anyhow.

06.11.2025 21:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 24    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Get CO2 into WTO.

Get cheap Chinese EVs in Canada. Import batteries and assemble cars here?

Electrify our heating.

All are doable and would swing the climate needle.

06.11.2025 01:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Imprison ice. Imprison any judge who said racial profiling is ok.

05.11.2025 23:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

You male a phone call, ID.

You ask a question at school, ID.

You come out of your mother's womb, ID.

You go for a walk outside your house, papers please.

05.11.2025 17:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I mean, the point of it being Slavery is to remove the "indivisible"; if need be, succession against injustice should be on the table, and aligning yourself with no succession shuts that option off.

But the civil war was about succession in order to keep slavery, followed by a war of union.

05.11.2025 16:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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