Nathan Walker's Avatar

Nathan Walker

@bbstats.bsky.social

basketball analytics person data science @ NFL

2,502 Followers  |  1,586 Following  |  156 Posts  |  Joined: 03.07.2023  |  2.1155

Latest posts by bbstats.bsky.social on Bluesky

Guy who won't stop using spotify even when the CEO spends $600,000,000 on AI war equipment, because it's too much effort to him to listen to music literally any other way: We Won't Take This Any More! There Will Be A Revolution!

10.11.2025 01:37 β€” πŸ‘ 166    πŸ” 23    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Beshear: Let me be clear. The president has both the funding and the authority to fund snap during a shutdown. In fact, every other president in every other shutdown has done so. People going hungry in this instance is a choice that this president has made.

05.11.2025 16:44 β€” πŸ‘ 43450    πŸ” 15706    πŸ’¬ 763    πŸ“Œ 719
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Welch: "This has nothing to do with the shutdown. The law requires and the funds are available to continue SNAP right now without any interruption. So that is a decision the president is making on his own to allow people to go hungry."

29.10.2025 18:08 β€” πŸ‘ 27483    πŸ” 11816    πŸ’¬ 810    πŸ“Œ 639

Coop's favorite spot so far is 3-10ft, where he's hitting...14%

25.10.2025 18:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Sure!

24.10.2025 02:16 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Por que no los dos

24.10.2025 02:02 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Caruso pick 6 dot com

22.10.2025 01:15 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ”Š TONIGHT! The season 4 premiere of Make Some Noise launches on Dropout at 7pm ET / 4pm PT!

Starring host @samreich.bsky.social, and guestsβ€”The Noise Boys:
πŸ“’ @joshruben.bsky.social
πŸ“’ Zac Oyama
πŸ“’ @brennanleemulligan.bsky.social

13.10.2025 15:00 β€” πŸ‘ 355    πŸ” 58    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 34

(the even shorter version of the story is - on data with a large sample size...like sports...logistic regression almost always has worse calibration plots in my experience)

09.09.2025 14:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Google Colab

here's some non-cherry-picked calibration plots using random forest vs logistic regression. no clear winner but I think RF is slightly better.

colab.research.google.com/drive/1thJ3S...

09.09.2025 14:36 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

more of the picture they are painting - Logistic Regression's "probability" is usually worse-calibrated than other models.

often times these sorts of "statistical reasons" for using one algo vs another only focus on one aspect of what could make probability calibration better or worse.

09.09.2025 14:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
1.16. Probability calibration When performing classification you often want not only to predict the class label, but also obtain a probability of the respective label. This probability gives you some kind of confidence on the p...

It's wild to me how very wrong this section is in practice

scikit-learn.org/stable/modul...

09.09.2025 12:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Blessed by the Black and White Cometeer puck this morning

#NCcoffeeIsActuallyGoated

01.09.2025 14:50 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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An extremely silly song we made with the kiddos

www.youtube.com/watch?v=hCgn...

26.08.2025 13:39 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Rebounds are pretty height related, threes are a gamble. Overall makes sense though.

19.08.2025 18:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Good way of doing this!

19.08.2025 18:30 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Had to make a hot dog immediately after watching @gamechangershow.bsky.social at like 10pm last night

29.07.2025 13:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

everyone forgot about Bean Dad because that happened right before Jan 6

24.07.2025 23:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Most interesting AI failure I've seen in the Gemini 2.5 era is that model's struggles with pyz7r, even when giving it the documentation. It will always recommend directly using .read / .readall on files despite neither of those being in the library.

20.07.2025 14:12 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

GEMINI STOP INCLUDING TRY/EXCEPT BLOCKS CHALLENGE: Impossible

18.07.2025 17:25 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The data here described in the features is the data they're requesting access to. Nothingburger.

17.07.2025 12:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

No involvement! Ask @lucashaupt.bsky.social perhaps?

16.07.2025 22:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I love @quarto.org so much.

10.07.2025 00:12 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Bullet dodged

03.07.2025 21:27 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image 01.07.2025 15:13 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Defense wins championships

30.06.2025 23:40 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Plus-minus is like astrophotography: Completely unusable raw data...but with a huge number of samples and precise error correction, you can see the universe.

Ok it's not that serious but you get the idea.

28.06.2025 14:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

it’s interesting that they call it a heat β€œwave,” because i would like to β€œsay”goodbye to it. or i mean i would like to β€œwave” goodbye to it

25.06.2025 12:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1627    πŸ” 152    πŸ’¬ 24    πŸ“Œ 1
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So cute

23.06.2025 03:12 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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