Álvaro Junquera

We are responding to this call for evidence:
ec.europa.eu/info/law/bet...

Do you have concrete examples of the added value of #Rstats in the public or private sectors?

Include the most important factors (risk, lock-in, security, innovation...) to assess the added value.

Thanks!

🌐BSC is proud to host the Dataverse Community Meeting 2026.

This year’s theme is “Advancing data and dataverse: #AI, interoperability, and sensitive data”.

☑ The Call for papers is now open!
bsc.es/4oC

@dataverseorg.bsky.social I @iqss.bsky.social I @harvard.edu I @mercecrosas.bsky.social

Falleció Oscar Cetrángolo, economista e investigador referente en temas fiscales Hizo aportes en temas tributarios, previsión social, de coparticipación y salud. Era profesor emérito de la UBA e investigador del Conicet.

Me envían está triste noticia desde el otro lado del charco. Oscar me abrió las puertas de la Universidad de Buenos Aires y me regaló unos cuantos cafés inolvidables sobre la historia política de la Argentina. Una pena...

www.clarin.com/economia/fal...

We're thrilled to open registration for our 1st 2026 Replication Games. The event will be at the University of Zurich on January 19th.

Psych, public health, pol sci and econ studies will be reproduced! Register here: www.surveymonkey.ca/r/Replicatio...

Challenges in Statistics: A Dozen Challenges in Causality and Causal Inference Causality and causal inference have emerged as core research areas at the interface of modern statistics and domains including biomedical sciences, social sciences, computer science, and beyond. The f...

Challenges in Statistics: A Dozen Challenges in Causality and Causal Inference (Carlos Cinelli, Avi Feller, Guido Imbens, Edward Kennedy, Sara Magliacane & Jose Zubizarreta)

arxiv.org/abs/2508.17099

From rules to forests: rule-based versus statistical models for jobseeker profiling - Journal for Labour Market Research Public employment services (PES) commonly apply profiling models to target labor market programs to jobseekers at risk of becoming long-term unemployed. Such allocation systems often codify institutio...

🎉 New article published in the Journal for Labour Market Research with Christoph Kern (@lmumuenchen.bsky.social)!

We compare the current rule-based profiling model with various statistical models in terms of model discrimination and calibration

labourmarketresearch.springeropen.com/articles/10....

The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2025 The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2025 was awarded “for having explained innovation-driven economic growth” with one half to Joel Mokyr “for having identified ...

Causal inference needs experiments *and* theory:

"Joel Mokyr (...) demonstrated that if innovations are to succeed one another in a self-generating process, we not only need to know that something works, but we also need to have scientific explanations for why"

www.nobelprize.org/prizes/econo...

"No ha sido el asombro, sino el fervor social surgido de los sórdidos callejones y la tristeza de las vidas marchitas lo que ha provocado la ciencia económica" (Arthur Pigou). Guau.

📙 Glad to share this new research with @junquera.bsky.social.

📊 We analyse how outsourcing affects time-related dimensions of job quality, focusing on temporary work, part-time contracts and scheduling in the facility management business.

📄 Chapter: lnkd.in/d9nB8Tzj
🔗 Book: lnkd.in/dsfuK6uW

One of the greatest beauties/difficulties of economics is the problem of being a system and its dynamics: multiple pipes (direct, indirect, and induced effects) and different forces (structural causal models) at the long and short run. It makes me crazy

Never ask a guy using/teaching clustering about the robustness of results to slight changes in the distance metric, the pre-specified number of clusters or the geometrical shape of the clusters

chart: capital expenditures, quarterly shows hockey-stick like growth in the capex expenditures of Amazon, Microsoft, Google and meta, almost entirely on data centers in the most recent quarter it was nearly $100 billion, collectively

The AI infrastructure build-out is so gigantic that in the past 6 months, it contributed more to the growth of the U.S. economy than /all of consumer spending/

The 'magnificent 7' spent more than $100 billion on data centers and the like in the past three months *alone*

www.wsj.com/tech/ai/sili...

"En el siglo XXI la divergencia en PTF con respecto a EE. UU. se explica principalmente por la debilidad de la productividad del capital en España, mientras que en el siglo XX la productividad del trabajo era la principal responsable de esta divergencia" www.fbbva.es/publicacione...

Sometimes a simple model is enough to describe the past

(@davidautor.bsky.social in doi.org/10.1126/scie...)

OECD Employment Outlook 2025 Population ageing is one of the megatrends shaping the future of societies and labour markets. The old-age dependency ratio – the ratio of individuals aged 65 and older to the working-age population –...

OECD Employment Outlook 2025 -
Can We Get Through the Demographic Crunch?

www.oecd.org/en/publicati...

Jueces haciendo inferencia causal estilo compadre

Eso, concluye, “pone de manifiesto que la laboralización no ha entrañado ninguna pérdida de cuota de mercado por parte de Glovo”, si bien reconoce que el periodo analizado, de apenas medio año, tiene una significatividad estadística “reducida”, aunque pueda mostrar una tendencia."

La justicia exime a Glovo de pagar casi 300 millones a Just Eat por competencia desleal El juez carga contra “algún iluminado y omnisciente burócrata que parece gozar de un privilegiado acceso a la Verdad” para validar el modelo ‘riders’ falsos autónomos

"El juez considera que el cambio de marco laboral aplicado por Glovo desde diciembre de 2024, optando por la supresión paulatina de los falsos autónomos por otro modelo de contratación laboral no ha supuesto un cambio efectivo en las cuotas de mercado de ambas compañías.

elpais.com/economia/202...

Is working from home just a pandemic blip? Not according to the data.

We analysed 1 billion job postings in 20 OECD countries.

The share of jobs advertising remote/hybrid work quadrupled from 2.5% to 11% (2019–2023) and has been stable since

🧵

"After all, the NK model is composed of three equations, two of them obviously false as descriptions of reality (...) In short, it provides a common and generally understood structure from which to start and organize research and discussion."

From his recent paper on theoretical convergence in macro: "Is the minimalist model —say, the NK model developed by Jordi Gali in his book on monetary policy (2015)— better than the IS-LM model or its open-economy cousin, the Mundell-Fleming model?"

YouTube video by Fundación BBVA Acceptance speech of Olivier Blanchard, 17th Frontiers of Knowledge Award in Economics and Finance

youtu.be/_xPDQ4fwTVY?...

Homepage | European Alternatives We help you find European alternatives for digital service and products, like cloud services and SaaS products.

Interesting website centralizing European alternatives for digital services european-alternatives.eu

Recordemos que ACCIONA, junto a otras grandes constructoras de este país, han sido sancionadas por haber creado cárteles que amañaron concursos públicos.

Resultado: colegios, carreteras, hospitales, asfaltados, etc. costaron más a los contribuyentes por el cartel.

Breve hilo⬇️

YouTube video by CORE Econ Alvin Roth: How matching markets work

Another cool moment with @alroth.bsky.social

www.youtube.com/watch?v=r7vz...

5.3 Evaluating institutions and outcomes: Fairness How institutions influence the fairness and efficiency of the outcomes that result when people interact in the economy

It's truly pleasant to read The Economy 2.0 - Microeconomics. Although it is still defining market failures as Pareto-inefficiencies, it's cool it reflects Pareto-efficiency *and fairness* as two important criteria to evaluate allocations

www.core-econ.org/the-economy/...

The relations among three popular indices of risks The relative risk, risk difference, and odds ratio are three major indices of differences in risks of diseases between different groups. Although widely used in research and practice in biomedical an...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

🧵 1/9 📊 Dades obertes del MITMS ens permeten saber quanta gent hi havia a cada municipi en cada moment. Mobilitat, esdeveniments, hàbits socials! 💡Periodistes i urbanistes:
@elivivas.bsky.social @drxeo.eu @rogertugas.bsky.social
@kikollan.llaneras.es
📍Exemples 👇

The personal is political - Wikipedia

Carol Hanisch's 1969 essay?
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_per...

Trabajo y Comunidades Autónomas acuerdan la distribución territorial de 2.571 millones de euros en Políticas Activas de Empleo en 2025 miércoles, 21 de mayo de 2025. Como novedad, se establecen los criterios de distribución de créditos para los ejercicios 2026, 2027, 2028 y 2029 para dar estabilidad a la ejecución de las políticas ac...

Nueva Conferencia Sectorial de Empleo y Asuntos Laborales. Lo positivo: financiación plurianual para las políticas activas de empleo. Lo negativo: seguimos con indicadores de desempeño que no dicen casi nada.

www.lamoncloa.gob.es/serviciosdep...