Basic #takeaways: The likelihood of change is low in foreseeable future. The systemic changes under way create powerful path dependencies. Still, the #EU can take steps to further 'unpower' Putin's regime, including through secondary sanctions, and to invest in a peaceful future Russia.
04.02.2026 14:09 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
What a delight to convene a group of brilliant experts on Russia’s elites, economy, and society to discuss where Russia is headed - and what the EUshould prepare for. Many thanks to the Polish Permanent Representation for hosting!
04.02.2026 14:09 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Where could change in Russia really come from - elites or society? @markgaleotti.bsky.social shares his take on Russia’s possible futures.
03.02.2026 14:07 — 👍 2 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0
EU ambassadors near deal on Ukraine loan
BRUSSELS — EU ambassadors are close to a deal on a €90 billion loan to finance Ukraine’s defense against Russia thanks to a draft text that spells out the participation of third countries in arms d…
EU ambassadors are close to a deal on a €90 billion loan to finance Ukraine’s defense against Russia - with talks expected to be finalized today - thanks to a draft text spelling out participation of third countries in arms deals, say three diplomats.
04.02.2026 13:56 — 👍 43 🔁 17 💬 1 📌 1
Pleased to speak with @financialtimes.com about Russia's ambitions and military posture in the increasingly busy #Arctic: www.ft.com/content/4130....
More in our recent @euiss.bsky.social
analysis for more about Russia's foothold in the region: iss.europa.eu/publications....
27.01.2026 13:09 — 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
"Russian imperialism is still the gravest threat to European security & the European project."
@ditrych.bsky.social at @europarl.europa.eu.
Watch his intervention: www.europarl.europa.eu/delegations/...
23.01.2026 11:31 — 👍 8 🔁 3 💬 2 📌 0
Mocenský pletenec v Arktidě. „Nemůžeme podceňovat riziko konfliktu,“ říká expert - Seznam Zprávy
Tlak Donalda Trumpa na získání Grónska udivil nejen Evropu. Zároveň ale nasvítil střet mocenských zájmů v oblasti Arktidy, kde se kromě USA snaží šířit svůj vliv i Rusko a další. Situaci popisujeme ve...
Trump v Davosu ujistil, že si Grónsko silou brát nebude. Reálné zájmy velmocí v Arktidě ale zůstávají a nejvíce se to vedle USA týká Ruska. Jak se to s posilováním jeho vojenských kapacit v oblasti má, vysvětluje v @zaminutusest.bsky.social analytik @euiss.bsky.social @ditrych.bsky.social
22.01.2026 09:35 — 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
I had the pleasure of speaking yesterday at the
@euparliament.bsky.social. I argued that Putin’s Russia remains the gravest threat to European security, and discussed the key contexts (transatlantic, prospective ceasefire) in which it’ll be evolving.
europarl.europa.eu/delegations/...
22.01.2026 10:39 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
To challenge Moscow’s Arctic ambitions, Europe should end LNG imports from the Russian Arctic & reduce dependence on Rosatom, argues @ditrych.bsky.social in WorldECR. Future sanctions & export controls could also target Arctic minerals, increasingly accessible due to climate change.
14.01.2026 13:07 — 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Infographic map titled "Russia's hydrocarbon economy: The importance of the Arctic."
🧊 The #Arctic is central to Russia's power but also its Achilles' heel.
As Moscow's threat to European security grows, the EU must make the Arctic a strategic priority, constraining Russia's revenues and countering its hybrid campaigns, argues @ditrych.bsky.social. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
26.12.2025 09:59 — 👍 5 🔁 6 💬 0 📌 0
Will the reparations loan to Ukraine be adopted? What consequences if it isn't? And what are the other options on the table?
@sbeverts.bsky.social & @ditrych.bsky.social unpack the strategic stakes of the European Council.
▶️ Watch the full discussion: youtube.com/live/UbeFjlC...
18.12.2025 09:16 — 👍 7 🔁 5 💬 0 📌 0
I would rule it out, actually, but explain why mentioning the accession matters in the context of the peace framework negotiations.
16.12.2025 10:51 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
A decisive week for EU support to Ukraine.
As diplomatic discussions intensify around possible peace terms, #EUCO will decide on funding options on Thursday: reparation loan or another model?
Join @sbeverts.bsky.social and me on Wednesday to discuss the options and their strategic consequences.
15.12.2025 16:41 — 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
A decisive week for EU support to Ukraine.
As diplomatic discussions intensify around possible peace terms, #EUCO will decide on funding options on Thursday: reparation loan or another model?
Join @sbeverts.bsky.social and me on Wednesday to discuss the options and their strategic consequences.
15.12.2025 16:41 — 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
EU financial assistance may be one of Europe’s last chances to shape the course of the war. Will it seize the moment?
Ahead of the #EUCO, join @ditrych.bsky.social & @sbeverts.bsky.social on the options to continue supporting #Ukraine.
🗓️ 17 Dec | 10:00 CET
📍 youtube.com/watch?v=UbeF...
15.12.2025 10:16 — 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 2 📌 1
But how much money does Ukraine really need from the EU?
The Commission proposed two solutions to support Ukraine in 2026-27, totalling €90 billion. But the funding gap amounts to at least €135 billion
The European Commission has proposed two possible solutions to maintain support in 2026-2027, amounting to €90 billion.
But how much money does #Ukraine really need from the EU?
With Bohdan Popov (United Ukraine) and @ditrych.bsky.social (@euiss.bsky.social)
newunionpost.eu/2025/12/04/e...
04.12.2025 11:31 — 👍 1 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
The EU has a last real chance to shift Russia’s war on Ukraine: a reparation loan. It must find a political compromise to issue it but also design it well to channel the money for maximum impact.
I suggest how here: iss.europa.eu/publications....
01.12.2025 11:58 — 👍 1 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 1
Beyond traditional propaganda, today’s tools like brain science, big data & AI enable direct targeting of human cognition, shaping how people perceive and process reality itself, explains @ditrych.bsky.social.
📺 Watch the full discussion on cognitive security: youtube.com/watch?v=OM0x...
25.11.2025 10:28 — 👍 1 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
The diplomatic process to end Russia’s war in Ukraine is moving in the right direction, which makes it less likely that Moscow will accept it. For the EU, the next phase is the reconstruction loan, which could be a real game-changer explains @ditrych.bsky.social on @f24debate.france24.com ⤵️
25.11.2025 09:48 — 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
YouTube video by EU Institute for Security Studies
Shielding democracy through cognitive security
This isn’t the first time in history that human minds have been targeted. But today’s tools change everything: weaponised brain science, big data & AI-driven manipulation are affecting the very foundations of our societies.
How the EU can ramp up cognitive security ⤵️ www.youtube.com/watch?v=OM0x...
19.11.2025 09:55 — 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 2 📌 0
YouTube video by DW News
NATO nations boost protection of Arctic flank amid increasing Russian threats | DW News
💬 The #Arctic is emerging as a serious potential flashpoint between NATO & Russia, says @ditrych.bsky.social on DW: m.youtube.com/watch?v=pV9B...
Read his analysis of how the region is central to Russia's power but also its Achilles' heel: www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
10.11.2025 16:33 — 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
New EUISS Commentary written by Rossella Marangio | The fall of El-Fasher: Sudan's war outpaces truce plan
🇸🇩 Sudan's war is not only one of the world's most acute humanitarian crises, but also a source of growing regional instability.
As risks of further escalation, proxy wars and spillover rise, Rossella Marangio explores how the EU can contribute to peace efforts. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
04.11.2025 13:04 — 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
Researching and teaching International Relations, social theory, German politics and politics of Central Europe. Associate Professor at Charles University | @ims.fsv.cuni.cz | @prcp.bsky.social | Last book: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-32703-2
Senior Fellow, Carnegie Europe, all things Caucasus, Eastern Europe, Black Sea. Also Russian poetry.
Military analyst, military history expert. Co-founder of Black Bird Group. Focusing on Ukraine, Russia and northern Europe.
Contact:
+358 407388158
emil.kastehelmi@gmail.com
@Black_BirdGroup
Finnish OSINT group. Currently following the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Don't DM, Email us:
contact@blackbirdgroup.fi
Map:
https://tinyurl.com/BlackbirdMap
Our site:
https://blackbirdgroup.fi/
EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy
Vice-President of the European Commission
Bellingcat is an independent investigative collective of researchers, investigators and citizen journalists brought together by a passion for open source research.
Want to support our charity? bellingcat.com/donate
Nobody knows politics and policy like we do.
Prof & Director CSDS - VUB // Director & Senior Analyst Brussels Office Elcano
Director of Research and the US program @ECFR, Washington DC. Bio at https://ecfr.eu/profile/jeremy_shapiro/.
HCSS is an independent knowledge institute in the Netherlands conducting research on geopolitical, defence & security issues.
https://hcss.nl
Ambassador and Permanent Representative of the UK to NATO
Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies. Founded in 1831, RUSI is the oldest defence and security think tank in the world.
Website 💻: https://rusi.org/
WhatsApp 📱: https://bit.ly/4h0M5FQ
Analyst, SCEEUS, Swedish Institute of International Affairs: @sceeus-ui.bsky.social @uisweden.bsky.social. Editor, SPPS & Ukrainian Voices: www.ibidem.eu/en/Series/Society-Politics/. Assoc. Prof., Kyiv-Mohyla Academy: orcid.org/0000-0001-7916-4646.
Senior Analyst, European Union Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social, Paris/Brussels. Formerly European Commission, DGAP, UI. China, digital technology, EU-China relations. More at www.timruhlig.eu
The Munich Security Conference (MSC) is the world’s leading forum for debate on international security. #MSC2026: February 13-15, 2026
French diplomat. Personal account. Views are my own.
Author of NOT ONE INCH: AMERICA, RUSSIA, AND THE MAKING OF POST-COLD WAR STALEMATE
Foreign-language editions now in press/in print, including German: NICHT EINEN SCHRITT WEITER NACH OSTEN (Not One Step to the East), C.H. Beck, 2023
The Centre for Security, Diplomacy and Strategy at the VUB’s Brussels School of Governance. Proud home to the Japan Chair and KF-VUB Korea Chair.
Nukes at UNIDIR. Views own, RT/❤️ ≠ endorsement
Diamond-Brown Senior Research Fellow for Economic Sanctions, Standards and Strategy, IISS | Ex @FIIA_fi and UniZurich | Economic statecraft, sanctions & energy.
