Beau Bayh is running for secretary of state in Indiana, where his father Evan was governor and senator (and a top contender in the 2008 veepstakes) indianacapitalchronicle.com/2025/10/06/d...
07.10.2025 13:25 β π 66 π 13 π¬ 5 π 6@baseballot.bsky.social
Until March 5, I was the senior editor and senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. Email, don't DM: nrakich at gmail dot com.
Beau Bayh is running for secretary of state in Indiana, where his father Evan was governor and senator (and a top contender in the 2008 veepstakes) indianacapitalchronicle.com/2025/10/06/d...
07.10.2025 13:25 β π 66 π 13 π¬ 5 π 6This game has had 23 101+ mph pitches.
That's more than were thrown in the 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2018, 2019, 2020 or 2024 postseasons.
Smithers, Iβm beginning to think that Rob Thomson isnβt the brilliant tactician I thought he was.
07.10.2025 01:46 β π 25 π 2 π¬ 3 π 0The main steps of Syracuse University.
Nathaniel Rakich lecturing in front of a classroom of students.
I had a blast visiting @syracuseu.bsky.social @newhousesu.bsky.social @maxwellsu.bsky.social today as part of my fellowship with the Syracuse Institute for Democracy, Journalism & Citizenship. The kids are all right, guys.
06.10.2025 22:12 β π 13 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0Dear Stan Javier, you had a good run. Julio's home run is the first run scored at home for the Mariners in the playoffs since Javier homered in 2001 off Mike Mussina.
(Stan Javier is 61 years old, btw.)
Undecided voters are a thing! They exist in polls but wonβt exist in the final results. That alone will push him close to 50%.
03.10.2025 01:32 β π 24 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Itβs getting late Early out there
03.10.2025 01:28 β π 15 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Oh man, JosΓ© RamΓrez is great but you cannot risk that out
02.10.2025 21:48 β π 7 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0A study in why we may have gone too far to devalue starting pitching!
02.10.2025 21:20 β π 20 π 0 π¬ 1 π 1Clip and save
02.10.2025 14:37 β π 17 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0Those of us who write about polls need to experiment more with radically different presentations like this in order to communicate better with the public. I'll have more on this soon.
02.10.2025 14:08 β π 36 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0This story on WaPo's shutdown poll is a clinic in how to present polling data in an accessible way. Look at that headlineβcouldn't be simpler, but it's a perfect way to describe a poll! www.washingtonpost.com/politics/int...
02.10.2025 14:00 β π 89 π 10 π¬ 3 π 2Someday Mason Millerβs arm is going to burst into flames on national television and we will have no one to blame but ourselves
01.10.2025 22:15 β π 12 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0Former #Royals great Frank White, not so popular anymoreβ¦
01.10.2025 05:00 β π 9 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Meanwhile, even crazier budget stuff is going down in Michigan.
01.10.2025 04:13 β π 22 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0Links! www.insideelections.com/news/article... www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/hou...
30.09.2025 21:45 β π 5 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0TFW @erincovey.bsky.social and I publish #TN07 previews within minutes of each other
30.09.2025 21:44 β π 8 π 1 π¬ 2 π 0β οΈ
28.09.2025 19:23 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Itβs that time of year where itβs very inconvenient that the two sports leagues I decided to care about are MLB and the WNBA
28.09.2025 19:08 β π 19 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Yes, thatβs a good point too. Theyβre kind of proxy fighters in this case but they each have their own roles.
28.09.2025 18:44 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Yes, itβs a spectrum for sure
28.09.2025 18:08 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Both are worthy goals, of course, although itβs easy to see how you can go overboard with either position. The utility of a party is figuring out how to strike a balance: winning elections while still standing for something tangible.
28.09.2025 18:00 β π 15 π 3 π¬ 2 π 0This gets at an unspoken problem with the centrist vs. progressive debate: theyβre actually interested in different things. Centrists prioritize winning elections; progressives prioritize ideological purity. When they donβt realize this, they talk around each other.
28.09.2025 17:56 β π 20 π 3 π¬ 10 π 5Itβs gonna be tempting for everyone to just add Adamsβs vote share to Cuomoβs, but voters are more complicated than that. In practice, some Adams voters will go Cuomo, some will go Mamdani, some will go Sliwa, and some will just stay home.
28.09.2025 17:47 β π 41 π 3 π¬ 2 π 2The Harvard Political Analytics Conference looks like it has some great speakers, but it's really disappointing to see 23 men and only 4 women on the program. You don't have to go to any special effort to think of several excellent political analysts who happen to be women.
26.09.2025 15:25 β π 20 π 3 π¬ 3 π 5Check out our new CNN poll deep dive into who political independents are, how they engage with politics and what they think about the current political moment. The classic swing voter appears to be a thing of the past. www.cnn.com/interactive/...
26.09.2025 13:12 β π 62 π 20 π¬ 7 π 15It's not in DC!!
24.09.2025 18:54 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0From one Boston transplant to another, Paul, prepare for a sharp dropoff in the quality of your Italian and Asian food. (We do have Tatte down here at least.)
24.09.2025 18:51 β π 9 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Because I use a neutral baseline, you can compare this directly to past cyclesβand it's slightly better than the average Democratic overperformance even in 2017β18 (which was 11 points).
24.09.2025 18:27 β π 30 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0