@glaeldys.bsky.social
Analyst, South Andes @crisisgroup.org I Bolivia, Ecuador, Perú
NUEVA PUBLICACIÓN | La maldición del oro: Minería y violencia en el sur de Venezuela
La minería ilegal de oro está causando estragos en el sur de Venezuela. Aunque es difícil persuadir a Caracas, los gobiernos extranjeros deben presionar por medidas para frenar los daños que conlleva.
Esta semana, con @glaeldys.bsky.social, hemos tenido el privilegio de estar en Quito conversando con distintos sectores acerca de la situación de seguridad y cómo el país está enfrentando la rápida y alarmante erupción de la violencia del crimen organizado en Ecuador.
09.07.2025 18:56 — 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
On the Horizon sounds the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate over the next three to six months.
In our new edition we focus on #BurkinaFaso, #Iraq, the #KoreanPeninsula, and the #Taiwan Strait ⬇️
www.crisisgroup.org/burkina-faso...
Bolivia’s Ombudsman has called on the government and political leaders to engage in dialogue to prevent further escalation of the conflict and secure agreements that ensure fair elections on 17th August, tackle the economic crisis, and safeguard human rights. 6/6
12.06.2025 16:21 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Morales, in turn, claims that the protests have been criminalised and warns that removing the blockades will provoke greater rebellion and further insurrection against the government. 5/6
12.06.2025 16:21 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Evo Morales is barred from running due to a 2023 Constitutional Court ruling that set a two-term limit for presidents.
He failed to register his candidacy in May, preventing his participation in the upcoming elections. 4/6
The government argues that the blockades are a pressure tactic aimed at forcing authorities to allow Evo Morales to run for a fourth term in the 17 August presidential elections. 3/6
12.06.2025 16:21 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Since 2nd June, protesters have blocked key roads across Bolivia, with 20 active blockade points in Cochabamba, Potosí, Oruro, and Santa Cruz.
This week, clashes in Llallagua (Potosí Department) resulted in four police officers killed and dozens injured. 2/6
Rising Pre-Election Tensions in Bolivia
Bolivia faces escalating unrest as road blockades by organisations aligned with former president Evo Morales enter day 11.
Protesters cite the economic crisis as their main grievance and are demanding President Arce’s resignation. 1/6
The brazen assassination attempt against Sen Miguel Uribe has raised fears in Colombia that the country could slip back into darker times.
The attack was a show of audacity by as yet unknown interests, who feel confident striking at highest levels 👇
www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...
Following Sunday’s elections, Mexico’s ruling party gained control over the country’s high courts. But this happened with a low 13% turnout. My quick take for @crisisgroup.org on what this implies:
06.06.2025 12:55 — 👍 2 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
On Sunday, Mexico will be choosing close to 2,600 judges – a first in the country and the world. The election has been deeply dividing and turnout will be low. In this @crisisgroup.org Q&A we dive into the controversial move and the potential outcomes for the violence crisis and sky-high impunity.
28.05.2025 12:19 — 👍 6 🔁 8 💬 1 📌 0
I spoke with @thetimes.com for a video explainer on Ecuador's war on drugs, examining how the country became a hub for the cocaine trade, Noboa's approach to combating drug trafficking, and whether the crackdown has been effective.👇
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ULfJ...
Mientras Europa intensifica su lucha contra el crimen organizado, debe tener en cuenta que produce una doble problemática:
La oferta de drogas a los consumidores y el recrudecimiento de la violencia contra la población civil
Escribo para @latam.crisisgroup.org
www.crisisgroup.org/es/latin-ame...
Si te interesa la conflictividad en Ecuador, "Llamas: Observatorio Ecuatoriano de Conflictos" es una herramienta útil.
Monitorea enfrentamientos armados, violencia de género, xenofobia y más, ofreciendo análisis para entender mejor las dinámicas del país.
www.llamasuce.com/ecuador-en-l...
El año pasado, empecé una investigación sobre reclutamiento de menores en Cauca.
Meses después, mataron al líder protagonista en la prevención y recuperación de niños.
Esa es la historia de Edgar Tumiña y su vocación: Sacar los niños de la guerra.
www.foreignaffairs.com/guest-pass/r...
Armed groups in #Colombia rely so heavily on child recruitment that in many areas, the war is over the kids.
Communities who stand in the way are targeted. Kids who resist or escape are killed.
Our @crisisgroup.org story, through eyes of Cauca's children🧵
www.foreignaffairs.com/north-americ...
@crisisgroup.org examined Trump's foreign policy across multiple regions during the first 100 days of his second term, evaluating its impact on peace and conflict.👇
www.crisisgroup.org/global-unite...
Ecuador will soon embark on a new chapter. Navigating security challenges, fostering alliances, and pursuing reform will define the nation’s path forward in the coming years.
14.04.2025 14:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0The Pachakutik Indigenous Party will play a key role in legislative power dynamics. Their stance and alliances will shape the future of Ecuador’s governance.
14.04.2025 14:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Neither Noboa’s ADN nor González’s Citizen Revolution Movement achieved a legislative majority, making coalition-building crucial for reforms.
14.04.2025 14:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Set to take office in May, Noboa will continue to face the dual challenge of addressing the country’s security crisis and ensuring governance.
14.04.2025 14:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Relations with Mexico will likely remain severed following last year’s military raid on the Mexican embassy in Quito to arrest former vice-president Jorge Glas on corruption charges.
14.04.2025 14:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Noboa also aims to deepen ties with the U.S. and negotiate new free trade agreements with the U.S. and Canada.
14.04.2025 14:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
These policies have so far failed to curb violence and criminality in the country, which experienced its deadliest start of the year so far.
www.primicias.ec/seguridad/ec...
Noboa pledges to continue his political agenda alongside the ADN party. On security, this includes keeping the military central for combating organised crime and pursuing the establishment of foreign military bases.
14.04.2025 14:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Electoral observation missions from the OAS and the European Union reported earlier that the elections were conducted smoothly.
14.04.2025 14:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
The Citizen Revolution party denounced several irregularities during the process. Although several of its members, including Guayaquil mayor Aquiles Álvarez, have accepted the results.
14.04.2025 14:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0"Correísmo" suffers its third consecutive defeat in a presidential election. Luisa González denounced electoral fraud and refused to recognise the results. She also announced plans to demand a recount.
14.04.2025 14:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Source: Primicias
Daniel Noboa triumphed in 19 provinces. Luisa González only won in Esmeraldas, Manabí, Santa Elena, Los Ríos, and Sucumbíos.
14.04.2025 14:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
