David Mora's Avatar

David Mora

@dmoravera.bsky.social

Investigative reporter/researcher. Now digging into conflict and violence in Mexico for @crisisgroup.org

50 Followers  |  48 Following  |  14 Posts  |  Joined: 10.03.2025  |  2.1691

Latest posts by dmoravera.bsky.social on Bluesky

Monthly Migration at the U.S.-Mexico Border, Presented by “Nationality” Between 2025 and 2025 

Nationality	Oct-24	Nov-24	Dec-24	Jan-25	Feb-25	Mar-25	Apr-25	May-25	Jun-25	Total
Mexico	36,083	31,021	25,743	19,672	7,231	8,331	9,533	9,694	7,109	154,417
Venezuela	16,430	15,802	19,386	11,783	138	174	178	212	151	64,254
Guatemala	7,938	7,963	8,991	4,438	1,481	855	799	973	819	34,257
Cuba	8,039	8,213	8,798	6,136	111	73	90	97	65	31,622
Honduras	7,640	7,620	8,539	4,609	572	376	453	452	384	30,645
Other Countries	8,054	4,867	4,488	3,084	868	419	346	308	200	22,634
Colombia	6,337	4,709	5,885	3,210	137	103	100	80	88	20,649
El Salvador	3,121	3,106	2,971	1,713	286	198	154	208	124	11,881
Ecuador	2,697	2,662	3,178	1,921	227	105	87	91	69	11,037
Haiti	3,836	2,597	2,356	1,329	10	3	6	4	15	10,156
India	1,398	1,232	1,066	854	145	53	40	49	52	4,889
China	1,330	895	872	521	173	110	63	64	68	4,096
Brazil	992	886	966	478	81	64	16	15	12	3,510
Peru	671	767	1,077	687	42	41	28	37	23	3,373
Turkey	889	867	647	389	67	21	11	33	26	2,950
Nicaragua	560	568	642	362	35	26	48	48	44	2,333
Russia	248	336	382	231	81	18	46	59	37	1,438
Romania	42	22	14	5	1	22	8	8	12	134
Canada	10	25	18	9	16	16	14	10	6	124
Ukraine	2	21	16	14	2	8	2	3	1	69
Philippines	3	7	1	2	5	2	3	4	1	28
Myanmar (Burma)	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
Total	106,320	94,186	96,036	61,447	11,710	11,018	12,025	12,449	9,306	414,497

Monthly Migration at the U.S.-Mexico Border, Presented by “Nationality” Between 2025 and 2025 Nationality Oct-24 Nov-24 Dec-24 Jan-25 Feb-25 Mar-25 Apr-25 May-25 Jun-25 Total Mexico 36,083 31,021 25,743 19,672 7,231 8,331 9,533 9,694 7,109 154,417 Venezuela 16,430 15,802 19,386 11,783 138 174 178 212 151 64,254 Guatemala 7,938 7,963 8,991 4,438 1,481 855 799 973 819 34,257 Cuba 8,039 8,213 8,798 6,136 111 73 90 97 65 31,622 Honduras 7,640 7,620 8,539 4,609 572 376 453 452 384 30,645 Other Countries 8,054 4,867 4,488 3,084 868 419 346 308 200 22,634 Colombia 6,337 4,709 5,885 3,210 137 103 100 80 88 20,649 El Salvador 3,121 3,106 2,971 1,713 286 198 154 208 124 11,881 Ecuador 2,697 2,662 3,178 1,921 227 105 87 91 69 11,037 Haiti 3,836 2,597 2,356 1,329 10 3 6 4 15 10,156 India 1,398 1,232 1,066 854 145 53 40 49 52 4,889 China 1,330 895 872 521 173 110 63 64 68 4,096 Brazil 992 886 966 478 81 64 16 15 12 3,510 Peru 671 767 1,077 687 42 41 28 37 23 3,373 Turkey 889 867 647 389 67 21 11 33 26 2,950 Nicaragua 560 568 642 362 35 26 48 48 44 2,333 Russia 248 336 382 231 81 18 46 59 37 1,438 Romania 42 22 14 5 1 22 8 8 12 134 Canada 10 25 18 9 16 16 14 10 6 124 Ukraine 2 21 16 14 2 8 2 3 1 69 Philippines 3 7 1 2 5 2 3 4 1 28 Myanmar (Burma) 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 Total 106,320 94,186 96,036 61,447 11,710 11,018 12,025 12,449 9,306 414,497

All CBP migrant encounters at the U.S.-Mexico border so far in fiscal year 2025. Includes Border Patrol apprehensions and port-of-entry encounters.

October-January: 31% citizens of Mexico.
February-June: 74% citizens of Mexico.

Data table: cbpdata.adamisacson.com/cbp_data_tab...

16.07.2025 14:18 — 👍 9    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
En el escenario mundial, Trump no siempre consigue lo que quiere | International Crisis Group La siguiente es una adaptación del informe de la presidenta y directora ejecutiva de Crisis Group, Comfort Ero, al consejo directivo de la organización, presentado a mediados de mayo de 2025. Junto al...

📖 En el escenario mundial, Trump no siempre consigue lo que quiere

En este comentario, nuestra presidenta y CEO, @comfortero.crisisgroup.org, y nuestro vicepresidente ejecutivo, Richard Atwood, analizan la política exterior de la segunda administración Trump hasta la fecha 🔽

20.06.2025 14:28 — 👍 2    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
Post image

NEW Q&A | U.S. Troops to Los Angeles: A Dangerous Escalation

As residents in Los Angeles protest a crackdown on undocumented migrants, Donald Trump has sent in military personnel. @bcfinucane.bsky.social explains why this order is an ominous sign.

www.crisisgroup.org/united-state...

12.06.2025 16:10 — 👍 6    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
The Gaza Starvation Experiment | International Crisis Group Israel’s new U.S.-backed aid scheme in Gaza integrates food into military strategy. Since the war began, Israel has restricted aid, easing up when famine alerts appeared, tightening as attention faded...

Starvation as Statecraft

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

07.06.2025 09:18 — 👍 12    🔁 18    💬 0    📌 5
Preview
Una baja participación marca la elección de jueces en México | International Crisis Group David Mora, experto de Crisis Group, analiza los efectos de la victoria de los candidatos de gobierno en las históricas elecciones del país

Una baja participación marca la elección de jueces en #México

@dmoravera.bsky.social, experto de Crisis Group, analiza los efectos de la victoria de los candidatos de gobierno en las históricas elecciones del país 🔽

www.crisisgroup.org/es/latin-ame...

06.06.2025 16:53 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Low Turnout Mars Mexico’s Bid to Elect Its Judges | International Crisis Group Crisis Group expert David Mora on the effects of victory for pro-government candidates in the country’s landmark judicial polls

Following Sunday’s elections, Mexico’s ruling party gained control over the country’s high courts. But this happened with a low 13% turnout. My quick take for @crisisgroup.org on what this implies:

06.06.2025 12:55 — 👍 2    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
A People’s Court? Weighing Mexico’s First Elections for Judges | International Crisis Group Mexico will soon become the only country in the world to elect all its judges. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert David Mora explains the rationale behind the initiative – and its many potential pitfall...

We at @crisisgroup.org @latam.crisisgroup.org wrote a Q&A about the election. Its origins, the controversies around the move and the potential impacts on impunity/violence crisis. Do read it. (También en español)

03.06.2025 13:40 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Se registran 22 millones de votos nulos y en blanco, más que votos por futuros ministros

(2) A low 12% turnout revealing:

- MORENA's core mobilizing capacity

- Large indifference/major disapproval: one of every 5 votes cast for justices was either spoiled or unmarked. Could be simple mistakes (it was a complex vote) but also reports showing voters protesting through ballots

03.06.2025 13:37 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Preview
Morena toma la Suprema Corte Los nueve candidatos que el partido gobernante proponía han salido elegidos. El abogado mixteco Hugo Aguilar, el más votado, se perfila como presidente del alto tribunal

Mexico's judicial election results are trickling in. So far we know Supreme Court votes. Full results, including all judges, will be tallied only until next week. Noticing two things:

(1) Ruling party, MORENA, is poised to control the Supreme Court with most of the future justices with party ties.

03.06.2025 13:37 — 👍 2    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0
Preview
¿Jueces del pueblo? Sopesando las primeras elecciones judiciales en México | International Crisis Group En los próximos días México se convertirá en el único país del mundo que elige por voto popular todos sus jueces. En estas preguntas y respuestas, el experto de Crisis Group David Mora explica los mot...

También en español:

@latam.crisisgroup.org

28.05.2025 12:19 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
A People’s Court? Weighing Mexico’s First Elections for Judges | International Crisis Group Mexico will soon become the only country in the world to elect all its judges. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert David Mora explains the rationale behind the initiative – and its many potential pitfall...

On Sunday, Mexico will be choosing close to 2,600 judges – a first in the country and the world. The election has been deeply dividing and turnout will be low. In this @crisisgroup.org Q&A we dive into the controversial move and the potential outcomes for the violence crisis and sky-high impunity.

28.05.2025 12:19 — 👍 6    🔁 8    💬 1    📌 0
Preview
A People’s Court? Weighing Mexico’s First Elections for Judges | International Crisis Group Mexico will soon become the only country in the world to elect all its judges. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert David Mora explains the rationale behind the initiative – and its many potential pitfall...

NEW Q&A | A People’s Court? Weighing Mexico’s First Elections for Judges

Mexico will soon become the only country in the world to elect all its judges. In this Q&A, @crisisgroup.org expert @dmoravera.bsky.social explains the rationale behind the initiative – and its many potential pitfalls.

26.05.2025 19:04 — 👍 1    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
Video thumbnail

MAPPING CONFLICT | Haiti on the verge of gang takeover

Gangs in Haiti are growing closer to taking complete control of the capital, Port-au-Prince. Using satellite imagery, @diegodarin.bsky.social explains how the gangs have been able to expand their control.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=3wBb...

15.05.2025 08:36 — 👍 5    🔁 8    💬 0    📌 2
Preview
Colombia’s Stolen Children Bogotá must do more to stop armed groups from recruiting minors.

Armed groups in #Colombia rely so heavily on child recruitment that in many areas, the war is over the kids.

Communities who stand in the way are targeted. Kids who resist or escape are killed.

Our @crisisgroup.org story, through eyes of Cauca's children🧵

www.foreignaffairs.com/north-americ...

08.05.2025 19:34 — 👍 11    🔁 11    💬 1    📌 5
Preview
México lucha por su seguridad bajo la presión de la Casa Blanca | Crisis Group La administración Trump ha realizado fuertes demandas a México para reducir el número de migrantes y la cantidad de narcóticos ilegales que ingresan a EE. UU. En estas preguntas y respuestas, el exper...

NUEVA TRADUCCIÓN | México lucha por su seguridad bajo la presión de la Casa Blanca

www.crisisgroup.org/es/latin-ame...

02.05.2025 10:50 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
México lucha por su seguridad bajo la presión de la Casa Blanca | Crisis Group La administración Trump ha realizado fuertes demandas a México para reducir el número de migrantes y la cantidad de narcóticos ilegales que ingresan a EE. UU. En estas preguntas y respuestas, el exper...

El texto también está disponible en español:

www.crisisgroup.org/es/latin-ame...

01.05.2025 13:18 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

It will take time to see if Sheinbaum's long-term security civilian strategy will actually reduce violent crime affecting Mexicans. For now, the militarized counternarcotics U.S.-backed response, tallied in arrests and seizures, has played well for both govs. But down the road the two might collide.

01.05.2025 13:18 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

The White House war rumbling has no legal basis and the FTO designation doesn’t give the military that authority. Beyond the spectacle of military crackdowns, they have simply proven ineffective in reducing drug trafficking or violence. These two things have been openly recognised by DoD.

01.05.2025 13:18 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

Sheinbaum has delivered greater law enforcement cooperation with the U.S. (dozens of jailed crime bosses transferred, many more presumably on the way, counternarcotics activity…) But the only item she’s demanded back, guns flowing south, has been largely ignored by the USG.

01.05.2025 13:18 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

On the ground, lethal violence doesn’t seem to have changed much. Sheinbaum’s first six months in power saw just 139 fewer murder victims than the same period under López Obrador (Oct 23 - Mar 24), which means a roughly 1% decrease.

01.05.2025 13:18 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

Sheinbaum’s more active stance against organised crime, though, predates Trump. Relying on fed forces, she’s left behind the “abrazos no balazos” and is poised to invest in civilian intelligence and policing. The question is whether her reforms will be sustainable and effective.

01.05.2025 13:18 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

Trump’s demands are open-ended in nature. One day he praises Sheinbaum and the next the White House chastises her administration for not doing enough. Sheinbaum can’t help but keep reacting to Washington’s policy gyrations, underlining the highly asymmetric relationship between the two countries.

01.05.2025 13:18 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 2    📌 0
Preview
Mexico Struggles for Security under White House Duress | Crisis Group The Trump administration has made a series of harsh demands upon Mexico to reduce the number of migrants and the amounts of illegal narcotics coming into the United States. In this Q&A, Crisis Group e...

In 100 days in power, Trump’s tariffs and rumble of military action pushed Sheinbaum to confront criminal groups with splashy results: much more fentanyl seized, suspects detained, etc. But how does Sheinbaum’s sec doctrine overlap with Trump’s whims? Read Crisis Group’s latest:

shorturl.at/Q8f1G

01.05.2025 13:18 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 1
Preview
Latin America Struggles for a Single Voice | Crisis Group Crisis Group’s Elisabeth Malkin on discontent with the Trump administration’s heavy hand as well as deep divisions at this week’s summit of regional leaders

The Community of Latin American and Caribbean States’ failure to come up with a more assertive statement may reflect how unwieldy the association of 33 countries has become. www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

10.04.2025 14:11 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Venezuela insiste en sus reclamos territoriales mientras se agudiza la disputa con Guyana | Crisis Group La creciente tensión entre Venezuela y Guyana por la disputada región del Esequibo ha reavivado los temores de un conflicto fronterizo entre ambos países. En esta sesión de preguntas y respuestas, el ...

Nuevo Q& A | #Venezuela insiste en sus reclamos territoriales mientras se agudiza la disputa con #Guyana 🔽

www.crisisgroup.org/es/latin-ame...

08.04.2025 17:28 — 👍 2    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Presidente Petro informó que alias "Chirimoya", quinto cabecilla del Clan del Golfo, fue dado de baja Nuevo golpe al Clan del Golfo: alias "Chirimoya" fue dado de baja, en una operación coordinada entre la Policía de Colombia y la DEA.

🚨 Alert: Stretches of northern #Colombia today are forcibly confined, after EGC ordered all businesses closed and residents to stay put for 3 days, following the death of a senior commander in a military operation yesterday.

www.radionacional.co/actualidad/c...

06.04.2025 16:39 — 👍 1    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0
Preview
Unpacking the Use of U.S. Wartime Powers against a Criminal “Invasion” | Crisis Group President Donald Trump has used a 1798 law to deport alleged members of the Venezuelan criminal network Tren de Aragua to El Salvador, in whose notorious prisons they are now held. In this Q&A, Crisis...

NEW Q&A | President Trump has used a 1798 law to deport alleged members of the criminal network Tren de Aragua to El Salvador, in whose notorious prisons they are now held. @crisisgroup.org explains the group’s origins and the policy’s potential consequences.

www.crisisgroup.org/global-unite...

26.03.2025 22:38 — 👍 0    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Unpacking the Use of U.S. Wartime Powers against a Criminal “Invasion” | Crisis Group President Donald Trump has used a 1798 law to deport alleged members of the Venezuelan criminal network Tren de Aragua to El Salvador, in whose notorious prisons they are now held. In this Q&A, Crisis...

New Q&A from @crisisgroup.org on the implications of the Trump administration's invocation of the Alien Enemies Act to send Venezuelan migrants to a prison in El Salvador.
www.crisisgroup.org/global-unite...

26.03.2025 16:25 — 👍 9    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Miedo, mentiras y lucro: el uso de redes sociales por los grupos criminales en México | Crisis Group En México, las redes sociales son una de las principales fuentes de información sobre crímenes violentos, y muchos lugares son demasiado peligrosos para los periodistas. Pero mucha información es inex...

#México
Los grupos criminales mexicanos están reclutando nuevos miembros y difundiendo desinformación en línea, fortaleciéndolos y generando un gran flujo de información no verificada que pone a la población en mayor riesgo. Las plataformas han tenido dificultades para responder adecuadamente.

25.03.2025 19:13 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Guayaquil, foco mundial del tráfico de drogas: la alianza entre pandillas, el cartel de Sinaloa y paramilitares colombianos Una investigación de Crisis Group demuestra que el narcotráfico con arraigo en Ecuador se teje por una serie de asociaciones internacionales

El crimen organizado se ha fragmentado y descentralizado, volviéndose más resiliente a las medidas de seguridad adoptadas en su contra.

Hoy en @elpaisamerica.bsky.social les contamos cómo y porqué el ecosistema criminal está generando nueva y más violencia local

elpais.com/america/2025...

12.03.2025 18:16 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

@dmoravera is following 19 prominent accounts