Cardinal Research

Newfoundland and Labrador is a difficult province to poll, and we respect our fellow pollsters who took the risk and polled it

We're happy to nail the NDP vote share & have the PCs well within our margin of error

Congrats to our colleagues at MQO for being closest to the mark!

Newfoundland & Labrador Oct 2025 - Cardinal Research Here are the key takeaways from our Newfoundland & Labrador survey

We surveyed Newfoundland and Labrador residents and found the Liberals still hold a comfortable lead in the province

🔴 Liberals: 49%
🔵 Prog. Conservatives: 41%
🟠 New Democrats: 8%
⚪️ Others: 2%

Full report here: cardinalresearch.ca?research=new...

British Columbia Provincial Poll - Oct 2025 - Cardinal Research Here are the key takeaways from our British Columbia survey

The NDP and Conservatives remain highly competitive in British Columbia

Despite that, Rustad's unfavourables remain the highest of the three party leaders

You can find the toplines here: cardinalresearch.ca?research=bri...

Calgary Election Poll, Oct 2025 - Cardinal Research Here are the key takeaways from our Calgary survey

Here's our latest mayoral poll for Calgary!

🔵 Farkas: 25%
🟢 Sharp: 16%
🟣 Gondek: 14%
🟡 Davison: 12%
🔴 Thiessen: 6%
⚪️ Others: 3%

⚫️ Undecided: 24%

You can find the full poll here: cardinalresearch.ca?research=cal...

Alberta Provincial Poll Sept 2025 - Cardinal Research Here are the key takeaways from our Alberta survey

Our latest Alberta survey is out!

The Republican Party is cutting into the UCP's margins, helping to make the NDP more competitive

Plus we ran a hypothetical question with the Progressive Conservatives, and it's nothing but 2015 déjà vu

Read it here: cardinalresearch.ca?research=alb...

Cardinal Edmonton Election Poll 2025 Final - Cardinal Research Here are the key takeaways from our national survey

Here's our latest mayoral poll for Edmonton!

🔵 Walters: 15%
🟣 Knack: 13%
🟡 Cartmell: 13%
🟢 Jaffer: 5%
🔴 Mohammad: 4%
⚪️ Others: 2%

⚫️ Undecided: 48%

You can find the full poll here: cardinalresearch.ca?research=car...

Cardinal Calgary Election Poll 2025 Final - Cardinal Research Here are the key takeaways from our national survey

Here's our latest mayoral poll for Calgary!

🔵 Farkas: 34%
🟣 Gondek: 15%
🟡 Davison: 14%
🟢 Sharp: 10%
🔴 Thiessen: 3%
⚪️ Others: 3%

⚫️ Undecided: 21%

You can find the full poll here: cardinalresearch.ca?research=car...

We'll be releasing a new mayoral poll for Calgary soon

If you're a local Albertan/Calgary news outlet that would like to have the poll emailed to you when it's out, please reach out to us via the submission box at the bottom of our site!

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Aurora-Oak Ridges-Richmond Hill was a hotly contested riding during the federal election

The Conservatives slightly overperformed our final poll, though they still won the riding, as our data suggested they would 🐦

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Another poll done by our team that was right on the mark, this time in Vancouver Quadra!

We strive for accuracy, and that's what we deliver to those that work with us 🐦

www.cardinalresearch.ca

Another day, another look back at our 2025 election track record

Vancouver Granville was another riding poll of ours that was well within the margin of error 🐦

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Surrey Centre saw a very competitive race this past election, with the Conservatives making huge gains in the riding

Our final poll in the riding a week and a half out suggested it would be a close fought race 🐦

www.cardinalresearch.ca

Another riding poll that was well within the margin of error was North Vancouver-Capilano

There were no worries to be found for the Liberals in that riding during the election, and our data backed that up ahead of election day 🐦

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Polling competitive ridings, such as Cloverdale-Langley City, is no easy task, but we do the best we can to get the most accurate results

Liberals overperformed in April, yet the Conservatives held on as our data suggested they were most likely to do 🐦

www.cardinalresearch.ca

Another one of our riding polls, this time Coquitlam-Port Coquitlam, was right on the mark during the federal election

Accuracy in data is the thing we strive for most at Cardinal Research 🐦

www.cardinalresearch.ca

Our final riding poll in Burnaby North-Seymour suggested incumbent Terry Beech was on his way to an easy re-election

The results of the election fell well within the margins of our poll, with another win for data accuracy 🐦

cardinalresearch.ca

Our final riding poll in Burnaby Central suggested Jagmeet Singh was unlikely to return to parliament

Sure enough, our riding poll was well within the margin of error

We're focused on delivering the most accurate results for our clients🐦

cardinalresearch.ca

One last congratulations to our team at Cardinal Research for their hard work this election, and to our colleagues in the market research space!

We're looking forward to sharing new insights with Canadians in the future 🐦

Congratulations to our fellow pollsters for a job well done this election!

Our team at Cardinal is more than happy with our final poll result, and our riding polls this election

Can't wait to do more work in the future 🐦

National Survey April 18-23 , 2025 - Cardinal Research Here are the key takeaways from our national survey

Here are the results of our final election survey!

LPC: 44%
CPC: 39%
NDP: 7%
BQ: 7%
GPC: 2%

The survey was conducted between April 18-23, with 4057 Canadians randomly selected to participate through IVR

The survey has an MOE of 2%

cardinalresearch.ca?research=nat...

Our one and only national poll will be out soon!

Keep an eye out for it 🐦

Riding Polls April 10-16 , 2025 - Cardinal Research As the campaign approaches its final week, we were back in the field in seventeen ridings in British Columbia and Ontario.

We're back with ongoing updates in seventeen ridings in British Columbia and Ontario!

Surveys were conducted between April 10-16, via telephone, IVR, and independent door-to-door canvassing

You can find the report below

cardinalresearch.ca?research=rid...

We'll have an update on a number of ridings later today! 🐦

Riding Polls April 2 - 9 , 2025 - Cardinal Research As we enter the second half of the campaign, we've conducted twelve new riding polls in British Columbia and Ontario

We returned to twelve ridings this week in Ontario and British Columbia

Liberals lead in all but one of the ridings we polled

cardinalresearch.ca?research=rid...

Riding Polls March 27 - April 2 , 2025 - Cardinal Research With the election in full swing, Cardinal Research has conducted a series of riding polls in British Columbia and Ontario.

We have twenty (Yes, 20) new riding polls for you to shift through today, with a focus on GTA and Lower Mainland ridings!

The Liberals hold a lead in 18 of the ridings we polled

cardinalresearch.ca?research=rid...

As the election kicks off, we want to hear from Canadians like you!

Sign up for free and join our online survey panel

Join here: cardinalresearch.ca/sm-registrat...

Here's how we did in the Nova Scotia election!

The Liberals and NDP were well within our margin of error range of +/- 3.5%, while the PCs were a little bit outside of it

Our average error rate was 3.48, while also being the only pollster to have the Liberals finishing second 🤠

Based on our provincial numbers in Nova Scotia, despite the Liberals being ahead of the NDP by 6-points provincially, the NDP would be expected to form official opposition in the province

We also asked Nova Scotians how they would vote in a federal election, if one were held today!

LPC: 40%
CPC: 37%
NDP: 17%
GPC: 3%
PPC: 1%

You can read the full report here: cardinalresearch.ca?research=nov...

Our latest survey is here for the province of Nova Scotia!

Progressive Conservatives: 48%
Liberals: 26%
New Democrats: 20%
Greens: 3%
Others: 3%

You can read the full report here: cardinalresearch.ca?research=nov...