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Thomas Drechsel

@tdecon.bsky.social

German macroeconomist. Assistant professor at the University of Maryland. PhD from the London School of Economics. https://econweb.umd.edu/~drechsel/

767 Followers  |  318 Following  |  15 Posts  |  Joined: 11.11.2024  |  1.7254

Latest posts by tdecon.bsky.social on Bluesky

What a nice surprise - I received the AEJ-Macro Best Paper Award for my paper โ€œEarnings-Based Borrowing Constraints and Macroeconomic Fluctuationsโ€

The full paper can be found here: www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

Thank you to everyone who helped me write it back in the day ๐Ÿ˜Š

23.04.2025 12:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Come and see Amy Handlan present her research on 'text shocks and monetary surprises' this Friday

I am looking forward to moderating the event

16.04.2025 12:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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We just completed a first, preliminary draft of a new paper:

๐“๐ก๐ž ๐Œ๐š๐œ๐ซ๐จ๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐œ ๐„๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐๐š๐ง๐ค ๐‘๐ž๐ ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: ๐๐ž๐ฐ ๐„๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐š ๐‡๐ข๐ ๐ก-๐…๐ซ๐ž๐ช๐ฎ๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ฒ ๐€๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐š๐œ๐ก

Joint with Ko Miura

econweb.umd.edu/~drechsel/pa...

31.03.2025 13:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Happening today!

26.02.2025 13:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Our paper โ€œIdentifying Monetary Policy Shocks: A Natural Language Approachโ€

with Boragan Aruoba

was just conditionally accepted at AEJ:Macro!

Latest version:
econweb.umd.edu/~drechsel/pa...

Our estimated shocks, Fed sentiments & more are available here:
econweb.umd.edu/~drechsel/fi...

24.02.2025 13:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Looking forward to this online seminar!

I will present my research on the economic consequences of political pressure on the Federal Reserve: econweb.umd.edu/~drechsel/pa...

20.02.2025 13:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
https://www.axios.com/2025/01/23/trump-davos-world-economic-forum

Donald Trump during Davos speech:

โ€œI'll demand that interest rates drop immediatelyโ€” and likewise, they should be dropping all over the worldโ€

t.co/TqxNo1lUjZ

23.01.2025 17:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Link to full paper:

econweb.umd.edu/~drechsel/pa...

04.01.2025 18:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Key figure from my #ASSA2025 talk below

How often did US Presidents meet with Federal Reserve officials?

Figure shows large variation, e.g.
Clinton: 6x
Nixon: 160x

In the paper, I combine this new data with a narrative approach to gauge the economic effects of political pressure on the Fed

04.01.2025 18:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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At the AEA meetings in San Francisco?

Check out this nice session on Friday morning: "Identifying Monetary Policy"

With presentations by Amy Handlan @michaeldbauer.bsky.social @kronerniklas.bsky.social myself and Philippe Andrade

Thank you Philippe for organizing! #ASSA2025

02.01.2025 14:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 11    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Preview
2024 in Featured Charts Economists addressed issues related to remote learning, carbon pricing, species extinction, and more.

From the academic consequences of remote learning, to pricing carbon, to the cost of species extinction: here are the 10 most-read Featured Charts of 2024. #econsky www.aeaweb.org/research/cha...

23.12.2024 10:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 36    ๐Ÿ” 15    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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We recently posted a new version of our paper

"Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks: A Natural
Language Approach" - with Boragan Aruoba

We use natural language processing techniques to identify monetary policy shocks!

Paper available here: econweb.umd.edu/~drechsel/pa...

26.11.2024 14:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 15    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Job Market Candidates 2024-2025 | ECON l Department of Economics l University of Maryland Coordinators Luminita Stevens Placement Director (301) 405-3515 stevens7@umd.edu Pablo Ottonello Placement Director (301) 405-7842 ottonell@umd.edu Nolan Pope Placement Director (801) 995-9184 npope@umd.edu Orpha Jewell Coordinator

If you are hiring on the econ job market this year, please take a close look at the excellent candidates from the University of Maryland!

www.econ.umd.edu/graduate/job...

20.11.2024 13:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Happy to see my work mentioned in the Financial Times

In the paper, I estimate the effects of political pressure on the Fed through time, using new data

Link to the full paper here:
econweb.umd.edu/~drechsel/pa...

19.11.2024 14:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

New NBER working paper, joint with Sebastian Doerr and Donggyu Lee

We show that higher income inequality tightens financing conditions for bank-dependent firms compared to those accessing stock/bond markets

The reason is that high income households tend to save in stocks/bonds instead of deposits

18.11.2024 12:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Hi everyone, I just recently signed up to Bluesky. I am mostly interested in macroeconomics and monetary economics, but also politics and history. Letโ€™s connect! ๐Ÿ™‚

14.11.2024 13:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@tdecon is following 19 prominent accounts