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Filipe Campante

@filipecampante.bsky.social

Bloomberg Distinguished Professor (SAIS & Carey Business School), Johns Hopkins University. Political economy, Brazil, and a little bit of futebol.

20,708 Followers  |  1,092 Following  |  7,570 Posts  |  Joined: 04.07.2023  |  2.0361

Latest posts by filipecampante.bsky.social on Bluesky

The problem with the horse-race coverage of Trump II is that, across the board, he is destroying nonzero sum arrangements: rule of law, institutions, collective goods, trade relationships, alliances.

So what the media portrays as a win for Trump is usually a net loss for everyone, including the US.

03.08.2025 22:19 β€” πŸ‘ 397    πŸ” 109    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 14
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Katie Ledecky continues her reign in 800-meter freestyle in thrilling race at worlds

Go Porpoises!

www.nytimes.com/athletic/653... Katie Ledecky continues her reign in 800-meter freestyle in thrilling race at worlds

02.08.2025 14:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Not to pick on anyone in particular, but here’s why the positive responses to the Columbia β€œdeal” were so obviously and predictably misguided. There is no β€œsettlement” possible, only an unending loop of blackmail.

02.08.2025 14:11 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Favoring friends and disfavoring who supports the opposition? β€œWell, it’s always like that, right?”Gerrymandering to make it hard for the opposition to win? β€œOldest trick in the book!” Interfering about independent agencies? β€œDo you remember that presidents X and Y complained about them too?”

02.08.2025 11:39 β€” πŸ‘ 30    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Thinking more about this, and you see that the success of the β€œcompetitive” approach to authoritarianism comes from how it takes features of a normal democratic system, and just stretches them beyond recognition. But that process allows things to feel β€œnormal” along the way.

02.08.2025 11:39 β€” πŸ‘ 78    πŸ” 24    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 2
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It’s striking how the workings of a competitive authoritarian system have already been internalized by the mainstream political press. It is now officially β€œpolitics as usual”.

01.08.2025 23:39 β€” πŸ‘ 245    πŸ” 84    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 8

The speed with which the US is going full Peronist is nothing short of breathtaking.

01.08.2025 19:19 β€” πŸ‘ 71    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 2

Incorrect. Germany 7-1 Brazil in 2014 was the actual event that broke the space-time continuum, the Cubs winning β€” plus Leicester City winning the Premier League, Brexit, Trump, and all the rest β€” it all flows from that.

31.07.2025 19:40 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I said this months ago. Those who were counting on a Trump-induced economic meltdown saving democracy had the wrong model in their heads. www.nytimes.com/2025/07/31/o...

bsky.app/profile/fili...

31.07.2025 18:33 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I can prove to you that the US Constitution is fatally flawed & requires replacement.

All agree that any minimally adequate form of government must include a way to remove a chief executive for flagrant misconduct. Impeachment is the US's main way to do that, but it's entirely broken.

06.01.2025 14:26 β€” πŸ‘ 501    πŸ” 105    πŸ’¬ 23    πŸ“Œ 37

Their common ideology is authoritarianism. They both believe very deeply in it.

31.07.2025 12:10 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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β€˜The Naked Gun’ Review: A Chip Off the Old Blockhead

Se isso aqui no Brasil nΓ£o se chamar β€œCorra Que A PolΓ­cia Vem AΓ­ De Novo”, Γ© que a coisa anda mal… www.nytimes.com/2025/07/31/m...

31.07.2025 11:48 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
A college football player named Dude Person

A college football player named Dude Person

Proposal to replace "John Doe" with this

30.07.2025 01:56 β€” πŸ‘ 311    πŸ” 41    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 7

I will not be surprised if (when?) we learn that there was unusual trading in Embraer shares before the announcement of the tariff exception.

30.07.2025 19:32 β€” πŸ‘ 159    πŸ” 44    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

And the good graduate students wouldn't put up with that system either, bc competition would mean that they could get paid to write their papers without sharing credit, in the absence of a real capital input into the research.

30.07.2025 18:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The thing is, in lab sciences the lab matters *a lot* for the quality of the output. Work in the social sciences is more human-capital intensive, hence if you were to pay the graduate students and get credit on their papers, the papers would probably not be as good. That's why it doesn't happen.

30.07.2025 18:00 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

That's not my point. If you could use the ERC grant to pay for other people to write papers and then you get credit for them, the research output would be sustained.

30.07.2025 18:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Absolutely. My sense is that, with the "deadwood" exceptions that certainly exist, everyone in (serious) academia is working their a**es off all the time. It's just a different mix of where the work is going, who gets credit for what, etc.

30.07.2025 17:49 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

No one is coasting, it's different technologies that call for different kinds of input and output.

30.07.2025 17:46 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It would be equally misleading to think that the lab science professors are coasting on the work of their students and post-docs. When capital is important for research, the investment that creates it (getting + managing grants, etc.) is really important.

30.07.2025 17:46 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

Bc they get more grants. Again: capital allowing for the maintenance of research output.

30.07.2025 17:44 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

I think it's very misleading to point at this and say "aha, people start coasting after tenure in the woke humanities and social sciences!" -- which, I'm afraid, is definitely what will happen.

30.07.2025 17:43 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

The simple explanation is: any discipline where research is capital-intensive allows for the maintenance of research output, bc the pre-tenure period created the capital (i.e. the lab) that will be used later. Other responsibilities crowd out research output when research is labor-intensive.

30.07.2025 17:41 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

Eu sei, mas nΓ£o estou vendo vΓ­deo lΓ‘ no conteΓΊdo deles...

30.07.2025 17:24 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Tem uma versΓ£o desse vΓ­deo com legenda em inglΓͺs, por acaso??

30.07.2025 17:21 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Trump has a lot of quislings in the academy and such, but a lot of very powerful institutions simply can't believe what is happening. they stand there like a jacklighted deer going "buhh? guhh?" while MAGA draws a bead on their forehead bsky.app/profile/unav...

30.07.2025 15:56 β€” πŸ‘ 1435    πŸ” 225    πŸ’¬ 31    πŸ“Œ 16

And mind you, I’m sure Lula loves this framing, because he’s quite naturally using Trump’s truculence to his own political advantage. But it’s incorrect, and it assumes that the rule of law in Brazil is as frayed as it is in the US β€” and right now, believe it or not, it is stronger.

30.07.2025 15:21 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Americans may be unused to the notion, but the Brazilian president can’t order anyone to drop a prosecution. There can’t be anything like an Eric Adams case in Brazil, the executive has no role in any of this.

30.07.2025 15:15 β€” πŸ‘ 26    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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No One Is Defying Trump Like Brazil’s President

I’m sorry, but that is yet again very bad framing by the @nytimes.com. To say that Lula is β€œdefying Trump” when Trump’s ask is stopping Bolsonaro’s prosecution, that’s BS. Lula literally *cannot* do that. www.nytimes.com/2025/07/30/w...

30.07.2025 15:15 β€” πŸ‘ 58    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This is a really terrific piece that reads like an American tragedy: a smart and curious young man interested in history and technology bought into the online far-right ideas about govt and used his talents to eviscerate it.

Some thoughts 🧡

29.07.2025 19:13 β€” πŸ‘ 1023    πŸ” 383    πŸ’¬ 27    πŸ“Œ 18

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