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Erin Lockwood

@erinkaylockwood.bsky.social

Assistant professor of Political Science at the University of California, Irvine | researching and teaching IPE, financial politics, global inequality | fan of plants, birds, snacks, sci-fi, quilting | she/her

2,875 Followers  |  1,550 Following  |  1,074 Posts  |  Joined: 14.11.2024  |  2.1568

Latest posts by erinkaylockwood.bsky.social on Bluesky

It is hard to overstate the stress produced by the incoherence of academic institutions pumping generative AI when they want to play business and then leaving instructors to deal with the results when they want to play school

28.10.2025 13:45 β€” πŸ‘ 582    πŸ” 181    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 12

Cheating with an LLM is the easiest thing in the world for a student to do, but it creates a massive, laborious headache for a prof, if you intend to take it seriously. There’s meetings, emails, discussions, moral dilemmas. It’s just incredibly burdensome, on top of everything else right now.

28.10.2025 12:55 β€” πŸ‘ 792    πŸ” 178    πŸ’¬ 27    πŸ“Œ 25

This is a real thing that a judge had to say to the Chief of US Customs and Border Protection.

28.10.2025 15:20 β€” πŸ‘ 7197    πŸ” 2356    πŸ’¬ 60    πŸ“Œ 18

Every single person who has trafficked in the contrived moral panic over trans athletes or bathroom access or gender-affirming healthcare bears some degree of culpability for creating a world a beautiful strong young woman would rather leave than live in.

27.10.2025 22:27 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

We've had one baseball game, yes, but what about second baseball game?

28.10.2025 06:39 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

base ... ball ...

28.10.2025 06:31 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

you're listening to the 2025 world series on espn radio

you're listening to the 2025 world series on espn radio

you're listening to the 2025 world series on espn radio

you've always been listening to the 2025 world series on espn radio

you'll always be listening to the 2025 world series on esp

28.10.2025 06:15 β€” πŸ‘ 209    πŸ” 21    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 1

This was three hours ago.

28.10.2025 06:11 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Does the Dodgers stadium organist get paid overtime?

28.10.2025 06:06 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

p(16 innings | 15 innings) > p(15 innings | 14 innings) > ... 😭

28.10.2025 06:01 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@mcsardo.bsky.social says you shouldn't be allowed to intentionally walk anyone after the 14th inning lol

28.10.2025 05:55 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

... more ... baseball ...

28.10.2025 05:38 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Put the kids to bed, figured I'd watch the last inning before giving comments on a dissertation chapter. Two hours later, that chapter remains unopened.

28.10.2025 05:34 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Baseball being baseball, I'm certain someone has calculated these conditional probabilities; I am simply referring to Vibes

28.10.2025 05:24 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The thing about extra innings in baseball is that both teams just keep getting more tired, so it feels like p(14 innings)|13 innings > p(13 innings)|12 innings > p(12 innings)|11 innings ...

28.10.2025 05:23 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

just ... get ... to ... keep ... having ... more ... baseball

28.10.2025 05:12 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

My dad just called Kershaw, who is one (1) year older than me, "old" so now I'm going to have to process that for a while.

28.10.2025 04:41 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
28.10.2025 03:44 β€” πŸ‘ 13929    πŸ” 4318    πŸ’¬ 100    πŸ“Œ 86

A nice thing about baseball is that sometimes you just get to keep having more baseball.

28.10.2025 04:22 β€” πŸ‘ 241    πŸ” 27    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 6

CUCFA's lawsuit against the University of California revealed that, among other demands the Trump administration has imposed on UCLA and on top of a $1.2bn fine, are a suite of anti-trans policies. UC leaders must bear in mind the very real human costs of conceding to these transphobic demands.

27.10.2025 22:27 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Every single person who has trafficked in the contrived moral panic over trans athletes or bathroom access or gender-affirming healthcare bears some degree of culpability for creating a world a beautiful strong young woman would rather leave than live in.

27.10.2025 22:27 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The fairy costume is mostly Simplicity 9841, minus the cape and with wings (purchased) instead. She's going to wear it with some ridiculously sparkly gold Mary Janes. My mermaid is going to have to be persuaded to wear shoes for trick-or-treating so send me your thoughts and prayers Friday night.

27.10.2025 18:38 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks! It involved two very late nights, but I had fun and they're happy :)

27.10.2025 18:35 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Iridescent Forest Green dress with white glitter tulle neck band, gold lamΓ© belt with glitter tulle paniers and white and gold fairy wings

Iridescent Forest Green dress with white glitter tulle neck band, gold lamΓ© belt with glitter tulle paniers and white and gold fairy wings

Mermaid costume with shiny green lamΓ© top, iridescent fish scale blue "tail" skirt and a necklace strung with seashells found on a recent camping trip

Mermaid costume with shiny green lamΓ© top, iridescent fish scale blue "tail" skirt and a necklace strung with seashells found on a recent camping trip

Kids' Halloween costumes are done! Green and gold forest fairy for the 5 yo (she picked out all the fabrics and pattern) and mermaid for the 3 yo (free-handed and not especially well, but meets 3 yo standards). We worked together on the shell necklace, with shells collected on a recent camping trip.

27.10.2025 18:32 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Hempel's raven paradox is in its training data, the logically equivalent "crow paradox" of course is not. The LLM is not reasoning; it's doing very fancy word association.

(People know this, but because it's so good at the very fancy word association, they often forget.)

18.06.2025 23:46 β€” πŸ‘ 27    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Does the existence of non-black non-crows confirm that all crows are black?

ChatGPT said:
No, the existence of non-black non-crows does not confirm that all crows are black.

Here's why:
The statement "All crows are black" is a universal claim:

For all x, if x is a crow, then x is black.
In logical terms:
βˆ€x (Crow(x) β†’ Black(x))

To confirm or support this claim, you'd need positive evidence of actual crows that are black. Finding things that are not crows and not black (e.g., a red apple or a white sheep) tells you nothing about the color of crows.

Does the existence of non-black non-crows confirm that all crows are black? ChatGPT said: No, the existence of non-black non-crows does not confirm that all crows are black. Here's why: The statement "All crows are black" is a universal claim: For all x, if x is a crow, then x is black. In logical terms: βˆ€x (Crow(x) β†’ Black(x)) To confirm or support this claim, you'd need positive evidence of actual crows that are black. Finding things that are not crows and not black (e.g., a red apple or a white sheep) tells you nothing about the color of crows.

Does the existence of non-black non-ravens confirm that all ravens are black?

ChatGPT said:
This is a classic twist on the raven paradox, and the short answer is:

Yes, but only in a very weak and indirect way β€” and it’s philosophically controversial.

Let’s unpack it.
The statement:

"All ravens are black"
Logically translates to:
βˆ€x (Raven(x) β†’ Black(x))

Does the existence of non-black non-ravens confirm that all ravens are black? ChatGPT said: This is a classic twist on the raven paradox, and the short answer is: Yes, but only in a very weak and indirect way β€” and it’s philosophically controversial. Let’s unpack it. The statement: "All ravens are black" Logically translates to: βˆ€x (Raven(x) β†’ Black(x))

Let’s unpack it.
The statement:

"All ravens are black"
Logically translates to:
βˆ€x (Raven(x) β†’ Black(x))

This is logically equivalent to its contrapositive:

βˆ€x (Β¬Black(x) β†’ Β¬Raven(x))
In plain English:
"All non-black things are non-ravens."

So when you observe a non-black non-raven (say, a green apple), you are technically confirming the contrapositive, and thus the original statement.

Let’s unpack it. The statement: "All ravens are black" Logically translates to: βˆ€x (Raven(x) β†’ Black(x)) This is logically equivalent to its contrapositive: βˆ€x (Β¬Black(x) β†’ Β¬Raven(x)) In plain English: "All non-black things are non-ravens." So when you observe a non-black non-raven (say, a green apple), you are technically confirming the contrapositive, and thus the original statement.

Look, I don't want to oversimplify, but the fact that ChatGPT tells you that the existence of non-black non-crows does not confirm that all crows are black but that the existence of non-black non-ravens DOES confirm that all ravens are black tells you a lot about what it is and is not doing.

18.06.2025 23:29 β€” πŸ‘ 47    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Yes, this, & set up a recurring donation if you can.

Cash is ALWAYS better than collecting food through drives. Food banks have deals with suppliers that enable them to stretch a dollar further than what we can buy at retail prices. They can take $5 and get $15+ in value from it to feed folks.

27.10.2025 05:09 β€” πŸ‘ 100    πŸ” 52    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 4

Costlier signals are generally assumed to be more credible in my field.

27.10.2025 15:32 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Please read this extraordinarily vulnerable thread about navigating a PhD program with PTSD. Thank you for sharing this, @whyhere4.bsky.social. May you be met with compassion as you reenter your program and may your experiences enrich our understanding of each other and of international relations.

25.10.2025 14:46 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Whenever people complain about the number of folks relying on food stamps, it is worth reminding them that SNAP is, by too large of a degree, a subsidy for corporations that refuse to pay a living wage and their political allies who reject public policy prescriptions to reduce income inequality.

27.10.2025 01:11 β€” πŸ‘ 34503    πŸ” 11393    πŸ’¬ 860    πŸ“Œ 682

@erinkaylockwood is following 20 prominent accounts