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Mark N. Katz

@marknkatz.bsky.social

Professor Emeritus, George Mason U. Schar School of Policy and Government; Nonresident Senior Fellow, Atlantic Council. Russian foreign policy; great power competition.

282 Followers  |  128 Following  |  22 Posts  |  Joined: 14.11.2024  |  1.7213

Latest posts by marknkatz.bsky.social on Bluesky

Trump sanctions won’t stop Putin unless militarily action is used | Mark N. Katz
YouTube video by Times Radio Trump sanctions won’t stop Putin unless militarily action is used | Mark N. Katz

I spoke with Stewart Willy of Times (of London) Radio about how Trump's sanctions are unlikely to induce Putin to agree to a ceasefire in Ukraine:
youtu.be/SG7Ez07WO4U?...

31.07.2025 13:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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If Putin Were Smart, He Would Accept Trump’s Ceasefire Deal Putin could strategically benefit from ending the Ukraine war by shifting US focus toward China, reducing dependence on Beijing, and regaining leverageβ€”but he is too proud to do it.

My latest article for The National Interest:
nationalinterest.org/feature/if-p...

26.07.2025 15:45 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
When will Russia and China turn on each other? Alliances, distrust, mistakes, scenarios? – Mark Katz
YouTube video by NEMYRIALIVE When will Russia and China turn on each other? Alliances, distrust, mistakes, scenarios? – Mark Katz

Long interview with Kyiv-based journalist Liudmila Nemirya, whose work I admire greatly: www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTqq...

13.07.2025 18:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Honored that my 2005 article, "Iran and America: Is Rapprochement Finally Possible?" was included in the just published special issue of Middle East Policy, published by @mideastpolicy.bsky.social, on the Israel-Iran War.

24.06.2025 22:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Opinion: A Path Not Taken: Russia’s Reaction to the US Strike on Iran How the complex realities of geo-political decision-making can mark the difference between an imagined scenario and a real-world crisis.

My reflections on what Putin did not do to forestall the U.S. attack on Iranian nuclear facilities: www.kyivpost.com/opinion/55053

24.06.2025 13:59 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Why Russia Is Still a Little Skeptical About BRICS Expansion While Putin sees BRICS expansion as a tool to counter Western influence, internal disagreements and differing group goals limit its effectiveness as a unified anti-Western alliance.

I argue in The National Interest that, "As more Global South governments that cooperate with the West join BRICS, it will be harder for Russia to orchestrate an anti-Western consensus within an expanded BRICS."
nationalinterest.org/feature/why-...

18.06.2025 21:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Dr Mark N. Katz – Russia, the Middle East and the US: Shifting Regional Politics and a Changing Global Order Dr Mark N.

Dr Mark N. Katz – Russia, the Middle East and the US: Shifting Regional Politics and a Changing Global Order
open.substack.com/pub/duforumo...

18.06.2025 13:35 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Can the Trump Phenomenon Be Considered Revolutionary? While Trump has succeeded in uniting disparate groups with differing interests, it is not clear whether anyone else can do so.

In this article, I discuss how various theories of revolution as well as analogies with previous revolutions can provide suggestive, even if not definitive, answers about whether and to what extent the Trump phenomenon can be considered a revolution.

www.e-ir.info/2025/06/08/c...

08.06.2025 14:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Pleased to have contributed a paper on "Russia, the Black Sea, and the Middle East" to the Transatlantic Leadership Network project on "Russian Intentions and Actions in the Black Sea":
www.transatlantic.org/wp-content/u...

12.05.2025 15:42 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Analysis: Kremlinology Is Dead. Putinology Rules. Inside Russia’s New Power Game What the 2025 Moscow Victory Day Parade reveals about Russia’s shifting global alliances – and why the age of Kremlinology is over.

Quoted in the Kyiv Post by Jason Jay Smart in an article comparing Cold War Kremlinology with present day Putinology: www.kyivpost.com/analysis/52380

10.05.2025 15:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Opinion: Diverging European and US Foreign Policy Interests Aren’t Just about Ukraine From the start of the Trump administration, there has been a clash in the transatlantic view of foreign policy, particularly noticeable is how best to resolve Russia’s war on Ukraine.

My latest for the Kyiv Post:
www.kyivpost.com/opinion/50648

13.04.2025 15:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

My latest op-ed for The Hill:
thehill.com/opinion/5176...

06.03.2025 20:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Opinion: Will Donald Trump Be Another Neville Chamberlain? The parallels between the 1938 Munich Agreement’s appeasement of Nazi Germany and Donald Trump’s Munich Security Conference accommodation of Putin should not be ignored.

My thoughts on the dangers of making an agreement about Ukraine without Ukraine:

www.kyivpost.com/opinion/47276

17.02.2025 15:47 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Opinion: Can Putin Really Keep Russia’s Bases in Syria? Neither the US nor Israel should help Putin out by providing the new Syrian government with a motive to allow him to keep his bases in Syria.

My thoughts on what Putin said about Syria during his December 19 press conference:

www.kyivpost.com/opinion/44314

22.12.2024 16:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Will Russia be able to keep its bases in Syria? It would be in the United States’ and Israel’s interests not to give the new Syrian government reasons to let Russia keep those bases.

My latest for the Atlantic Council:
www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...

18.12.2024 18:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Not So Bad After All: How US Foreign Policy Could Navigate a Multipolar World Containing rivals via buck-passing may be less costly for the U.S. than continuing to respond to each and every threat as if in a unipolar world.

Not So Bad After All: How US Foreign Policy Could Navigate a Multipolar World www.e-ir.info/2024/12/15/n...

15.12.2024 16:08 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Experts react: Rebels have toppled the Assad regime. What’s next for Syria, the Middle East, and the world? Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad has been ousted as opposition forces quickly took Damascus. Atlantic Council experts share their insights.

Pleased that my comments were included in an Atlantic Council "Experts React" roundup on the implications of the fall of Assad: www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

08.12.2024 16:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Opinion: Putin’s Stakes in Syria Couldn’t be Higher The current setbacks faced by Russian forces in the face of rebel advances in Syria could have an impact that spreads far beyond that long-beleaguered Middle Eastern country.

My thoughts on what's at stake for Putin in Syria for the Kyiv Post: www.kyivpost.com/opinion/43408

07.12.2024 12:56 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Query: Since "TΓΌrkiye" has replaced "Turkey" as the correct spelling for the country, does this mean that "TΓΌrkiyish" should now be used as an adjective instead of "Turkish"? That would seem to be consistent in terms of spelling.

26.11.2024 15:26 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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ATACMS Missiles and Ukraine: What Will Donald Trump Do? After many months of Ukrainian leader Zelensky asking, President Biden finally allowedΒ Kyiv to fire U.S.-made Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) missiles into Russian territory. What will Donald Tr...

My latest article for The National Interest: nationalinterest.org/feature/atac...

22.11.2024 14:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Supporting Ukraine against Russia is not a distraction from China Since China and Russia are so closely aligned, thwarting Russian ambitions in Ukraine and elsewhere is a crucial element of the U.S. effort to contain China.

My latest commentary for The Hill:
thehill.com/opinion/nati...

20.11.2024 20:40 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump Is Not the Only Problem: Implications of Declining Supply of and Demand for American Security Assistance In the geopolitical realm, American power and influence in various countries has usually depended on the convergence of two factors: 1) the demand on the part of other countries for American securi…

My first post on Bluesky is something I published today in my long neglected blog on American foreign policy:
marknkatz.wordpress.com/2024/11/14/t...

14.11.2024 21:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

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