Laura Nahmias

Everything’s Going Wrong for NYC’s Adams in Bid for Reelection In July, New York City Mayor Eric Adams was predicting that by this point in his race for reelection, he’d be proving his doubters wrong, surging in the polls.

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Everything’s Going Wrong for NYC’s Adams in Bid for Reelection
www.bloomberg.com/news/article... via @bloomberg.com @lauranahmias.bsky.social , Georgia Hall

2025 NYC mayoral first round results (w/same color scheme and layout as adjacent 2018 map)

2018 governor primary results in NYC (w/same color scheme and layout as adjacent 2025 map)

If Cuomo makes an active run in the general election, I wanted to get a clearer picture of how much he lost support from his base since the last time he ran in NYC (2018 primary vs Nixon) & how much Mamdani ate into that base. Maps below now use same layout, color scheme, & ranges.

First post-Dem primary poll by Honan Strategy Group of 817 likely voters:

If Cuomo runs as an independent, he is tied with Mamdani 39-39.

Cuomo leads 44-40 if Adams drops out.

Mamdani leads Adams 46-31 if Cuomo is out.

Those distinctions strike at the heart of not just the New York mayoral race, but also the future of the American Democratic party. After Kamala Harris’ loss in the 2024 presidential election to Trump, Democrats have been convulsed by debate and indecision over how best to regain their mojo with voters. Superstar congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who has endorsed Mamdani, is in a camp that believes populist economic policies and progressive cultural ideas channeled via young candidates is the way forward. The other cohort, including older members of the party establishment, is of the view that a more centrist approach will prove the winning strategy.

If Cuomo becomes mayor, there is a fair chance he runs for president in 2028. Even if he doesn't, his victory will be seen as a sign that Dems prefer experienced moderates to younger progressives. As @lauranahmias.bsky.social writes: www.bloomberg.com/graphics/202...

Programming note: former Governor Andrew Cuomo, candidate for New York City mayor, is joining Bloomberg radio live at 9 am.

TONIGHT at 7pm on NBC New York/WNBC Channel 4 and Telemundo 47. Also on our streaming platforms: www.nbcnewyork.com/new-york-cit...

Here’s Where NYC Mayoral Candidates Stand on Key Issues From housing and childcare affordability to crime and immigration, here’s where the top nine Democratic candidates for NYC mayor stand

The first televised debate in NYC's Democratic mayoral primary contest is tonight, at 7 p.m., Early voting starts in 10 days!

Read Bloomberg's guide to where the top candidates stand on the issues here:

www.bloomberg.com/graphics/202...

Councilwoman Vickie Paladino on X: "Let’s just talk about how insane it is to elect someone to any major office who hasn’t even been a US citizen for ten years—much less a radical leftist who actually hates everything about the country and is here specifically to undermine everything we’ve ever been about. Deport." / X Let’s just talk about how insane it is to elect someone to any major office who hasn’t even been a US citizen for ten years—much less a radical leftist who actually hates everything about the country and is here specifically to undermine everything we’ve ever been about. Deport.

NYC Mayor Eric Adams won't specifically condemn New York City Council Member Vickie Paladino calling for the deportation of mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani, a naturalized U.S. citizen. x.com/VickieforNYC...

"I think all of us could tone down the rhetoric," Adams says.

"Where's your consistency?" is the question Eric Adams says he would ask Andrew Cuomo at tomorrow night's Democratic primary debate. "I spend so much time fixing the governor's mess," Adams says.

NYC's Campaign Finance Board announces they are withholding a total of ~$1.3 million in public matching funds from Andrew Cuomo's mayoral campaign, after deciding they have reason to believe the campaign coordinated with an outside PAC supporting Cuomo's bid for mayor.

New York City's Campaign Finance Board is approving public matching funds payments for the June 2025 primary election today.

City Council Speaker Adrienne Adams will receive more than $2 million in public matching money. Former Governor Andrew Cuomo will receive more than $1.7 million.

Early voting in the June 2025 primary election starts two weeks from tomorrow. (!)

Op-Ed | A return to sanity will reclaim New York City’s promise | amNewYork New York has always been a beacon – vibrant, dynamic, sometimes chaotic, but always striving. But after generations of progress, it’s time to face the harsh

Board members of "Restore Sanity NYC," the 501c4 that appears to be backing Andrew Cuomo's mayoral run, write an op-ed for AM New York announcing their organization, but it doesn't mention any candidates by name...https://www.amny.com/opinion/return-sanity-reclaim-new-york-citys-promise/

Mayoral candidate Scott Stringer released his plan for reviving NYC's economy, called VIBE, or "Vision for International Business & Events." He wants to host the 2028 DNC, hold Comic-Con at Javits Center, and expand the Tribeca Film Festival

scottstringernyc.com/wp-content/u...

Trump's narrowest issue margin is on immigration, where 52% of New Yorkers surveyed said they disapproved of his handling of the issue, but 46% said they approved, including 27% of Democrats, 81% of Republicans and 52% of Independents

Majorities of New Yorkers disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president. They disapprove of his handling of; Trade 59%-37%, inflation 59-38, the U.S.'s global reputation, 58-39 and the economy 58-40
scri.siena.edu/wp-content/u...

Some interesting findings from new Siena poll today:

Bipartisan majorities support making it easier to cancel subscription services, providing free breakfast and lunch to every NY public school student, and restrictions on smartphone use in schools.

scri.siena.edu/wp-content/u...

Interesting footnote, from COIB: "This settlement brings to a successful conclusion the first ever enforcement action brought by the Board against a Mayor of the City of New York."

De Blasio has already paid $100,000 of the fine. He filed suit challenging the Board's decision back in 2023, but the petition was dismissed this year and de Blasio appealed. In the settlement announced today, de Blasio "agreed to withdraw his appeal" and said he "deeply regrets his conduct."

INBOX: Former NYC Mayor @billdeblasionyc.bsky.social will pay $329,794.20 in restitution and fines under a settlement with the City's Conflicts of Interest Board, after the Board found he had the city pay for his NYPD security during his ill-fated 2019 presidential campaign.

@bradlander.bsky.social says Eric Adams’s cooperation with the Trump Administration “has not helped New York City one iota.”

“Eric Adams is running an experiment in how you could capitulate in the most humiliating ways imaginable,” Lander says.

City Comptroller Brad Lander outlines specific impact to New York City budget from President Trump’s “skinny budget” released this week:

$266 million in CDBG grant funding
$229 million in education funding
$114 million in Ryan White funding
$70 million for LIHEAP
Section 8 funding

Asked to comment on Cuomo's plan to possibly run as an independent on a third party line if he loses the Democratic primary, Adams again suggests Cuomo is copying him and his heart isn't in the race. "It seems like he's just going through the motions," Adams says, chuckling to himself. "Is it me?"

"It seems like the governor's not really running, he's just going through the motions," Eric Adams says of Andrew Cuomo's platform on antisemitism. He accuses the governor of copying his policy platform on housing and mental illness. "All he's doing is looking at Eric Adams's playbook," Adams says.

He's leading Democratic Primary contenders in all the polls, but former Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo is also petitioning to run on an independent ballot line in November called the "Fight and Deliver" line. Their symbol? A pair of boxing gloves. Read more in our upcoming newsletter, The Sprint for City Hall

NYPD Commissioner Tisch says she "was surprised" to find that ICE officers showed up at a police precinct over the weekend, because "the NYPD does not participate in civil immigration enforcement." NYPD "did not turn over to ICE the person that was in custody at that time," Tisch says.

NYPD Commissioner Jessie Tisch says alleged perpetrators arrested in connection with the assault were members of a gang called "Los Diablos 42," affiliated with Tren de Aragua. Tisch argues that's why the city should keep its controversial gang database.

Mayor Adams, in press briefing at City Hall on assault on police officers late last week, says many people came up to him over the weekend pleading with him to be mindful of the teenaged alleged perpetrators' age. "I don't want to hear people tell me it's a young person," Adams says.

Ridership is a big concern for transit agencies in terms of their ability to raise funds from fares.

But one thing that's been exciting to watch is that while many agencies, like DC's WMATA, have lower ridership on weekdays than they did pre-pandemic, they now have higher ridership on weekends!

Food prices in the New York City metropolitan area have risen 25% since 2019, a new NY State Comptroller's office report finds. New York City's poorest residents spent 70% of their income on food in 2022-2023... www.osc.ny.gov/files/report...