6/ Future Questions :
If rivalry can produce “inadvertent cooperation” (à la Danny Quah), when does competition generate public goods?
How do middle powers navigate and extract gains?
How sensitive are protect/peel/pressure/preserve strats to leader change and regime type?
20.02.2026 14:35 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
5/ Key takeaways:
Global crises are important arenas for great power competition.
Foreign aid can be humanitarian, strategic, or both. My typology helps better characterize how, and can be applied beyond the realm of vax or health diplomacy.
20.02.2026 14:34 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
4/ The US distribution strategy leans heavily toward:
• Protecting high-need countries
• Peeling countries away from rivals
China’s distribution shows a mix of:
• Preserving existing relationships
• Pressuring (no vax to Taiwan allies)
20.02.2026 14:34 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
3/ I analyze US and Chinese vaccine distribution (2021–2022) using:
📊 Cross-national regression
🧠 Bayesian reasoning
🎙️ Original elite interviews
📚 Two in-depth case studies (Paraguay & Nicaragua)
20.02.2026 14:34 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
2/ I develop a new typology of aid distribution amidst provider competition:
• Preserve – reward existing partners
• Pressure – punish or coerce those pursuing disfavored policies
• Protect – allocate based on health need
• Peel – pull states away from rivals
20.02.2026 14:34 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
1/ The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated the importance of health diplomacy during great power rivalry.
Given constraints and competing interest, how did the US (under Biden) and China allocate life-saving vaccines?
20.02.2026 14:33 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Finally out in @isq-jrnl.bsky.social!
“Preserve, Pressure, Protect, and Peel: The US–China Rivalry and the Politics of Vaccine Provision”
How do great powers decide who gets life-saving aid? Preserve friends? Pressure others? Protect health? Peel fence-sitters?
academic.oup.com/isq/article/...
20.02.2026 14:33 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Stephen Colbert SLAMS CBS for not letting James Talarico on Late Night
17.02.2026 08:01 — 👍 1748 🔁 584 💬 62 📌 53
I'm teaching a few survey research courses live and online.
First, a free one hour seminar. Feb 20
instats.org/seminar/surv...
Then a set of two (half) day courses. Not free (sorry!).
-Intro Surveys (Feb 26-27):
instats.org/seminar/intr...
-Advanced Surveys (March 5-6):
instats.org/seminar/adva...
16.02.2026 00:46 — 👍 22 🔁 17 💬 1 📌 0
Two things can be true: we’re a competitive authoritarian state with all sorts of efforts to put a thumb on the scale of who has power AND we have sufficiently free and sufficiently fair elections that every month we see the party in power lose.
01.02.2026 06:28 — 👍 1873 🔁 330 💬 26 📌 15
2nd Round R&R ➡️ Conditional Acceptance 🥳
23.01.2026 13:35 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Got a fellowship rejection and an interview invite for a different fellowship within minutes of each other.
The job market really said: stay humble, stay hopeful, stay glued to your inbox.
19.01.2026 23:48 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Job market season is such a rollar coaster. Got a game-changing R&R!
26.11.2025 21:15 — 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
One more piece of evidence that the defining problem of an AI world is not “how do we harness the genius machine?”, it is “how do we contain the lying machine?”
19.11.2025 12:16 — 👍 56 🔁 10 💬 1 📌 2
Thank you @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social and @kmatush.bsky.social for an amazing Global Public Opinion workshop! Great scholars and conversations ! Wonderful to see @jkertzer.bsky.social @jonathan-renshon.bsky.social @eunajo.bsky.social too!
18.11.2025 23:35 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Congratulations to @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social and @kmatush.bsky.social for the launch of the Global Public Opinion Lab (GPOL) at Florida State! Lots of exciting plans in the works!
(I couldn't take any pictures of public opinion, so here's one of Spanish moss)
18.11.2025 14:36 — 👍 12 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0
Presenting this afternoon Peace Science - last panel of the day 😊 With @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social , @kmatush.bsky.social , and Eun A Jo!
15.11.2025 17:21 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
New version just uploaded 😊
15.11.2025 17:17 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Democratic Backsliding Damages Foreign Public Support for Security Cooperation
Does democratic backsliding shape foreign public preferences for security cooperation with the backsliding state? We argue that it does. Backsliding erodes the
🧠 Big takeaway: Democratic decline doesn’t just undermine norms at home — it erodes the public foundations of alliance cooperation abroad.
Trust and shared values aren’t abstractions; they’re the glue of intelligence networks and security ties.
📄 Full working paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
16.10.2025 18:09 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
🇺🇸🇬🇧🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿 The effect is consistent and sizable: when a partner democracy is portrayed as backsliding, public willingness to share intelligence drops markedly — even when that partner is the US itself.
Democratic erosion travels. So do its security costs.
16.10.2025 18:09 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
🧩 Test: Pre-reg experiments (N ≈ 6,000) across the UK, Canada, Australia & New Zealand — the US’s core intelligence partners.
Respondents evaluated intelligence-sharing with another democracy, randomly described as either stable or backsliding.
Result? Backsliding ↓ support across every country.
16.10.2025 18:09 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Democratic Backsliding Damages Foreign Public Support for Security Cooperation
Does democratic backsliding shape foreign public preferences for security cooperation with the backsliding state? We argue that it does. Backsliding erodes the
Democracy isn’t just a value—it’s national security.
New WP with @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social @kmatush.bsky.social & @eunajo.bsky.social finds that across 4 close US partners (UK, Canada, Australia, NZ), backsliding sharply reduces public support for intelligence sharing—even with the US.
16.10.2025 18:08 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 3 📌 1
Was just in a behavior workshop today and this piece is still so helpful for people to consider when designing experiments and interpreting (null) effects!
26.09.2025 23:01 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Rikio Inouye
Website: rikioinouye.org
11.09.2025 18:55 — 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Infographic Rikio Inouye against a chevron inspired background of Princeton's black and orange.
Rikio Inouye
International Relations
Expertise: International Politics, Race, Ethnicity, and Identity, Foreign Policy, Political Psychology
Dissertation: How Far for Whom: How Identity Heuristics Shape Foreign Policy Support and Foreign Policy Making
Committee: John Ikenberry, Tali Mendelberg, Naima Green-Riley
Princeton University Logo. Princeton Politics Logo.
@rinouye.bsky.social examines how racial and religious identities of countries in conflict shape public support for them. He argues identity isn’t just another factor, but a lens shaping how people interpret strategic and material information, with real consequences for conflict support.
11.09.2025 15:52 — 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
About That Japan Deal
Arithmetic has a well-known globalist bias
An instant post about that Japan deal. It's basically a joke
paulkrugman.substack.com/p/about-that...
23.07.2025 12:17 — 👍 1129 🔁 371 💬 41 📌 42
The last two months have been rough with three rejections. But today I got a great R&R! 🥳
20.07.2025 00:45 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Fans React to Colbert ‘Late Show’ Cancellation With Puzzlement and Anger
Many questioned the timing of and motivation for the announcement, noting that Mr. Colbert hosted the most-watched show in late night television.
The first people to hear that CBS was canceling “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” reacted to the news loudly, and viscerally, with a chorus of “No!” that turned into a sustained round of boos.
18.07.2025 03:00 — 👍 498 🔁 111 💬 60 📌 14
State Department to Soon Begin Mass Layoffs
700 diplomats at State are set to be laid off. This amounts to 60% of all foreign service officer currently based in DC. 60%!
State Department to Soon Begin Mass Layoffs www.nytimes.com/2025/07/10/u...
10.07.2025 23:45 — 👍 1927 🔁 904 💬 225 📌 316
Committed to the daily re-imagining of what a university press can be since 1962.
Website: https://mitpress.mit.edu // The Reader (our home for excerpts, essays, & interviews): https://thereader.mitpress.mit.edu
Texas State Representative, former middle school teacher, and Presbyterian seminarian running for the U.S. Senate to take power back for working people.
Assistant professor at the University of Toronto and faculty affiliate at PASCL-Stanford. (Almost done) writing a book about how institutions can shape intergroup relations in conflict-ridden societies.
www.chagaiweiss.com
A journal of the International Studies Association (ISA). Publishes cutting-edge research on global security and global aspects of debates in security studies.
World Politics is an internationally recognized journal that is devoted to advancing the scholarly discipline of political science through the publication of novel theoretical and empirical contributions in comparative politics and international relations.
Asst Prof, UC Berkeley, Political Science. Study protests, stats & race: 1/ Agenda Seeding http://j.mp/agenda-seeding 2/ Race as a Bundle of Sticks http://j.mp/bundle-of
Postdoc @ Stanford CISAC; romance book enthusiast
Faithful as your EBT. Race and International Relations Theory. Political Science. Incoming MacArthur Fellow at Stanford. http://kevinbustamante.com
The official account of Princeton University. In the Nation’s Service and the Service of Humanity.
Professor of Political Science & International Relations, UW-Madison
John Zwaanstra Professor of International Studies and of Government at Harvard University | International relations 🤝 political psychology
jkertzer.sites.fas.harvard.edu
PhD Candidate at FSU | IPE/CPE | Informal Economies | Labor Outcomes | Trade | Backyard BBQ | www.chrisgahagan.com
Wesleyan prof. OUP author. SER editor. PhD, UC Berkeley. I write about political economy, public policy, state, finance, climate, American politics. New Haven. NYC.
Political Scientist. Professor at NYU’s Center for Global Affairs. Experiments, data analysis, guitar, drums, fan of comedy. Make guides for @statacorp.bsky.social users. Two boys and exhausted all the time. More at www.johnvkane.com
As one of Princeton University's largest departments, Politics brings together the diverse perspectives of nearly 60 faculty, 150 undergraduate concentrators and 140 graduate students.
Ex NY Times, now author of Substack Paul Krugman. Nobel laureate and, according to Donald Trump, "Deranged BUM". Also Research Professor at the City University of New York Graduate Center and senior scholar at the GC-CUNY Stone Center.
Official BlueSky account of the International Society of Political Psychology (ISPP), exploring the link between politics and psychology.
Follow the Political Psychology journal account for updates: @ispp-pops.bsky.social
https://ispp.org/
Law, history, politics. Latest book: Making the Forever War: Marilyn Young on the Culture and Politics of American Militarism.
https://makingtheforeverwar.mystrikingly.com/ #lawsky 🗃
Professor | Books: Growing God's Family; Addicted to Lust; Taking America Back for God; The Flag and The Cross; Religion for Realists | CV: https://tinyurl.com/4hs86ntn
Forum for next generation U.S. scholars and experts on China to contribute academically informed, policy relevant analysis on pressing issues in U.S.-China relations.
https://global.upenn.edu/future-of-us-china-relations/
