World's Second-Biggest AtlasIntel Hater

NYers saying they hate ICE but mildly like deportations implies they want some people deported and not others.

I understand that fine, thank you.

Democrats saw trump get a bunch of unearned credit for putting his name on checks and went "how horrible" and not "how can we get in on this". Fundamentally I think we have too many principles on stuff that fundamentally does not matter. Black cat, white cat, I do not care. Does. It. Catch. Mice.

no, I'm saying the Siena College poll of anti-ICE but pro-border security and vague deportations aligns with the Pew poll.

And I don't think they're multiple issues if perception (not reality) of not securing the border under Biden drastically hurt immigration sentiment across the board.

that doesn't explain why Trump being a racist and anti-immigrant freak is constantly able to get like 20% of Dems to say his border policies are good.

And yes polling is indicating a supermajority hates ICE bc they're targeting non-criminals and normal ppl. Doesn't invalidate the other answer

I hear this a lot, but how many different ways do we need to word the question if Trump constantly has better approvals on immigration than any other issue? Now, ICE's fascist occupation has driven this gap down from its previous high (probably mid-2024), but like..it is what it is.

people fucking hate ICE now, at least!

bsky.app/profile/corn...

seems like what they're indicating in polls outside of the diehard Republican racist vote

Definitely backward. +8 on illegal immigrants being deported, but 67% said ICE went too far, and 61% opposed ICE's tactics.

bsky.app/profile/corn...

However, ICE polled really, really badly. Almost supermajority support for "ICE has gone too far" and very negative favorables for support of ICE arresting illegal immigrants.

However, ICE polled really, really badly. Almost supermajority support for "ICE has gone too far" and very negative favorables for support of ICE arresting illegal immigrants.

bsky.app/profile/corn...

Yet this is probably better than it was in 2022-24! Harris was only +4 on immigration in New York in October 2024. No poll on deportations, but like, that probably means the question was like +15-20!

They polled "do you support deporting illegal immigrants?"

and it polled at +8 in New York, on a D+27 voting intention. It was only -14 with Dems. There were lots of undecideds, but it was favorable with all racial groups as well.

This is also a D+27 voting intention for the generic ballot sample, which would be bluer than the state has been since 2012. Crazy that Trump is winning any issue with that.

Popularity of eliminating taxes on tips up to $25K in New York.

+53 overall
winning Liberals, Moderates, and Conservatives

basically supermajority support across the board

Slopulism decade

Even with Venezuela, he just replaced one leftist he hated with one he liked. If Maduro had bothered to bribe and make concessions he would've survived easily

even in New York state Trump has a positive approval on the border

From the crosstabs, that question is underperforming Democratic margins with pretty much everyone. Not much of a difference across income, maybe better with Latinos.

From the crosstabs, that question is underperforming Democratic margins with pretty much everyone. Not much of a difference across income, maybe better with Latinos.

on a D+27 sample in Siena, no less

Almost all votes in for NY SD-47, 12 pts bluer than Harris 2024 and 15-16 pts left of Hoylman-Sigal's results. Put it on the spreadsheet.

(this district is on the West Side, btw)

real ones know that I picked Aliyev because he did win 92% of the vote

more votes in and Dems did fine on Election Day. Another 10-14% overperformance incoming.

Bottcher is winning by D+85 Aliyev margins in the first batches of SD-47 results.

This was a Harris +71 and D+68 downballot seat in 2024, so another overperformance within range.

sorry for misclassifying this election as a primary when it is, in fact, a general election with only Democrats running

absolute cinema

lol. lmao.

Blok vs. name that sounds like a fish! I know who I’m voting for!

When I lived in Illinois I would always write-in my friends for various drainage and sewage positions