@frankkuhn.bsky.social
Doctoral Researcher @PRIF.org | Coordinator @cntrarmscontrol.org | Nuclear Scholar @poni.csis.org | Nuclear Weapons | Arms Control | Nuclear Deterrence | Cold War History | Military Technology and Strategy | Opinions my own
Maybe editors should check citations, after all...
07.10.2025 10:27 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0โThe APKWS II guidance section has a unit cost between $15,000 and $20,000, with the rocket motor and warhead adding a few thousand dollars more to the full price tag.โ
Shaheed-type drones reportedly cost around $20,000+, so that's not a bad cost-exchange-ratio.
There is even a Transportation Security Administration (TSA) slideshow available online, showing how some of the purported drone sightings can be explained.
03.10.2025 08:41 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0While the hightened awareness to drone activity in Europe is commendable and important, increasing political attention and media reporting will also result in false positives. Just remember the New Jersey drone scare, where most of the sightings turned out to be lawfully operating manned aircraft.
03.10.2025 08:34 โ ๐ 6 ๐ 2 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 0Remember last year in the United States, where โauthorities have assessed that many of the purported uncrewed aerial systems spotted overhead are actually innocuous crewed aircraft like airliners.โ
03.10.2025 06:55 โ ๐ 5 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0โThe missiles now follow a typical trajectory before diverting and plunging into a steep terminal dive or executing manoeuvres that โconfuse and avoidโ Patriot interceptors.โ
02.10.2025 07:18 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Foreign Relations of the United States, 1989-1992, Volume XXXI, START I, 1989-1991 Editor: James Graham Wilson General Editor: Kathleen B. Rasmussen Department of State Washington 2025
Foreign Relations of the United States, 1989โ1992, Volume XXXI, START I, 1989โ1991 is out today!
Huge congratulations to @jamesgrahamwilson.bsky.social and the rest of the team at the State Department's Office of the Historian. history.state.gov/historicaldo...
Hegseth's words seem especially chilling in light of his whitewashing of the Wounded Knee Massacre as a heroic "battle" only a few days ago. The message would seem to be that the Trump Administration is willing to forgive any atrocity US troops may commit as an "earnest mistake."
30.09.2025 12:57 โ ๐ 2016 ๐ 581 ๐ฌ 96 ๐ 23Wie wirkt sich #KI konkret auf die globale Sicherheit aus? Am 6.11. erscheint der neue CNTR Monitor mit aktuellen Analysen zu Chancen, Herausforderungen und Lรถsungsansรคtzen. Darรผber diskutieren wir auch im Rahmen der @berlinscienceweek.bsky.social. โฌ๏ธ
www.cntrarmscontrol.org/de/veranstal...
Foreign Relations of the United States, 1989โ1992, Volume XXXI, START I, 1989โ1991 ๐
30.09.2025 07:09 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Also vor รผber 35 Jahren wurde die NVA aufgelรถst. Wenn man mit 18 Jahren 1990 in der NVA war dann ist der heute 53.... ๐คก
www.n-tv.de/politik/Pers...
Real post on another network:
26.09.2025 11:13 โ ๐ 7013 ๐ 2428 ๐ฌ 376 ๐ 327Iโm not joking when I say that I sort of expect him to announce new medals for William Calley, Frank Barker, and Oran Henderson for carrying out and concealing the My Lai Massacre.
26.09.2025 11:25 โ ๐ 137 ๐ 28 ๐ฌ 10 ๐ 0NSC staffer William Cockell to National Security Advisor Poindexter in 1986: โJSTPS [Joint Strategic Targeting Planning Staff] will find a use for every warhead and still complain there arenโt enough. Whether the two SSBNs fill a โreal worldโ requirement is another question, however.โ
NSC staffer William Cockell to National Security Advisor Poindexter in 1986: โJSTPS [Joint Strategic Targeting Planning Staff] will find a use for every warhead and still complain there arenโt enough. Whether the two SSBNs fill a โreal worldโ requirement is another question, however.โ
25.09.2025 08:56 โ ๐ 3 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0Wouldn't European governments and the strategic community have had a collective heart attack if any other sitting US president before had publicly said, โwe just can't ever use themโ? Remember the fuss about "sole purpose"? But in a Trump speech full of crazy stuff, that just gets lost?
24.09.2025 09:51 โ ๐ 5 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Thank you!
23.09.2025 14:34 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0I guess we agree about what the conventional wisdom in the D.C. national security bubble is these days. Whether we think an increase in warheads, delivery vehicles and additional sub-strategic options (SLCM-N) is sensible or needed is another question.
23.09.2025 12:59 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0And yet, there was no photo-op. What prevented Trump from extending New START in 2020 then?
23.09.2025 12:50 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0Point taken, conventional wisdom is fine with me. We also both know that it is not about โmore nukesโ (as I wrote above due to a lack of remaining characters) in terms of total numbers, but about an increase in deployed warheads and delivery systems.
23.09.2025 12:45 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0And Putin has offered to extent New START multiple times during Trump I, yet there was no extension back then. What would be different now? Also keep in mind that the treaty was negotiated under Obama, which if you are Trump makes it a bad treaty per se.
23.09.2025 11:33 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 0I agree regarding interference. But why would you commit yourself to a one-year extension if you intented to upload and break the treaty anyways? Doesn't seem to make a lot of sense to me, especially because some in USG will likely be worried about remaining locked in NST numbers (even if informal).
23.09.2025 11:31 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 0The White House is completely unpredictable nowadays, so Trump might take on Putinโs offer โ especially due to his interest in โdenuclearizationโ and self-image as a great dealmaker. However, we shouldnโt kid ourselves: It's almost common sense in D.C. that more nukes are needed to counter China.
23.09.2025 07:53 โ ๐ 13 ๐ 2 ๐ฌ 3 ๐ 0Nachdem drei russische Kampfflugzeuge vom Typ MiG-31 in den Luftraum des NATO-Mitglieds Estland eingedrungen sind, ist in Deutschland eine Diskussion รผber den Umgang mit Luftraumverletzungen entfacht.
Sind die NATO-Prozeduren noch zeitgemรคร? Darรผber habe ich gestern mit der @taz.de gesprochen.
Cycling into sunrise
Commuting is awful.
23.09.2025 06:55 โ ๐ 6 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0