ethanscheiner.bsky.social

Paging @laderafrutal.bsky.social and @johncarey.bsky.social

You mean that coups don't have threads? Or do coups in the US not have threads. This is so new here that I'm not sure what the rules are.

And when that is gone, people turn to other approaches to “resolving” conflict.

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A military intervention currently seems implausible in the US. But a system in which one party has at best only limited ability to assert governmental power, even when it has majority public support, is a system that lacks effective, peaceful arena for channeling conflict.

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Lacking an effective arena of compromise or a constitutional ‘exit’ from the crisis, the formerly stable but now chronically polarized Chilean democracy was destroyed by a military intervention” (p. 203). This is chilling.

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(especially where one side has majority support but institutions prevent that majority support from having access to the levers of power): "What Chile needed was an institutional way to resolve a deadlock that had reached insurmountable proportions.

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(although we didn’t know then that such a system was already on the way in the US).

I’ve always been haunted by that discussion and especially the below, where they note the problems of a system that doesn’t allow for institutional paths to compromise

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There is so much brilliance in it, but my favorite is Ch9, which turns Cox’s efficient secret sort of on its head. In an amazing discussion they offer on the fall of Chilean democracy, S&C actually foreshadowed the dangers of a new, more programmatic US party/congressional system

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Ok, reupping my thread from a couple years ago--the problem is with us now:

My favorite work in Political Science is the 1992 Presidents and Assemblies by Shugart (@laderafrutal.bsky.social) and Carey (@johncarey.bsky.social). And it speaks in chilling (pun not intended) ways to our world today.
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We have obviously seen a big increase in threats of political violence – but this all gives us especially good reason to fear even more what’s to come as elections draw near.

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the stakes in elections (certainly congressional & state legislative/gubernatorial elections & state supreme court races and DEFINITELY presidential elections) have risen to horrifying levels.

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of course much, much greater now—in particular bc of the combination of 2, interrelated pieces: 1. The US IS “lacking an effective arena of compromise or a constitutional ‘exit.’” 2. With the authority the president is asserting now,

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A couple years ago I posted at X the below thread about important, horrifying insights about today’s world that we can draw from the 1992 Presidents and Assemblies by Shugart (@laderafrutal.bsky.social) and Carey (@johncarey.bsky.social). As concerned as I was at the time, the threat is

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Thank YOU for being one of the very, very few two-time guests! 🙏

Oh, no! Such a great pod. I will miss it.

Notable UC books of 2024 Featuring New York Times bestsellers, Pulitzer Prize winners and some of the most talked about books of the year, catch up on some of the great reads you may have missed from UC authors.

Very excited! My book Freedom to Win: A Cold War Story of the Courageous Hockey Team That Fought the Soviets for the Soul of Its People—And Olympic Gold tiny.cc/FTSSS was just listed as one of this year's notable books by a University of California author.

This election is so painfully mundane in poli sci terms:
-An incumbent party being defeated in the face of public economic discontent
-An authoritarian capitalizing on discontent to return to office, paying less of a price than we might hope at the ballot box because the public has other priorities

Don't take it from me, take it from one of the best in the business.

👇👇👇👇👇