Erick Padilla

New paper out @wepsocial.bsky.social!

🥡 Key Take-Away: Opposition parties seek more conflict with the government when performing poorly in the polls – especially when falling below their previous election result.

Read full 🧵 below:

🧪How did COVID-19 affect citizens’ democratic preferences?

➡️ @cescamat.bsky.social A.Arenas A.Falcó & @jordimunoz.bsky.social find a lasting rise in technocratic preferences and a temporary bump in the willingness to sacrifice civil rights and freedoms www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

People are more likely to accept gender inequality if it is men who are worse off.

A new paper with experiments on 35k Americans shows that when men are worse off people are:
- more likely to attribute the inequality to a difference in effort
- less likely to support pro-equality policies.

📢 Publication alert:
Our paper "Unpacking the rural–urban divide: Identities and stereotypes" - with @tonirodon.bsky.social, @griambau.bsky.social, ‬ and Andreu Rodilla - is now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.

New WP w/ @riazsascha.bsky.social: via >42 million placebo tests, we show type I error inflation in Unexpected Event during Survey Designs (UESD), propose an adjustment, implement via new R package uesdRobust, and demonstrate utility by replicating two top UESD studies.

osf.io/preprints/os...

1/9

I took a closer look at the program #EPSA2024 and found some interesting trends – there seem to be more US based scholars than last year 🇺🇸

@epsanet.bsky.social‬

A thread on this year's authors and affiliations 🧵

Survey Nonresponse After Elections: Investigating the Role of Winner-Loser Effects in Panel Attrition Abstract. When and for whom do election outcomes drive survey nonresponse? This paper investigates whether belonging to the winners or losers of an electio

🚨 Excited to see my first solo-authored paper now published in IJPOR! 🚨

Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really.

The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇

academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

🚨New article🔥

🏠UnfAirbnb! The Effect of Short-Term Letting on Electoral Behaviour, with JM Raya & C Llaneza at @polstudies.bsky.social

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... What do we study? (1/n) @upf.edu @politiquesupf.bsky.social

Really interesting findings. I am curious why, in the Barcelona context, the effects are different from those in other contexts. For instance, in this case, in London, he found an increase in Brexit voting. etheses.lse.ac.uk/4279/1/Fonta...

When do parties go digital? Examining the drivers of internal and external party digitalisation - Adrià Mompó, Marco Meloni, Oscar Barberà, Fabio Lupato, Giulia Sandri, Felix von Nostitz, 2025 Our paper investigates the drivers of party digitalisation, measuring the influence of environmental factors, inter-party competition and party characteristics ...

🚀 Just published! Our study in Party Politics investigates what drives political parties to digitalise internally (member engagement) & externally (campaigning)
✅ Bigger parties digitalise participation more
✅ Competition boosts digitalisation
👉 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
#DigitalPolitics

Immigrants increase innovation and economic growth [full stop]

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library What are the political consequences of rising domestic connectivity? I study this question in Sub-Saharan Africa, asking how mobile technology shapes public opinion in geographically isolated communi...

Absolutely delighted that my paper “The political consequences of Africa’s mobile revolution” is now Early View at @ajpseditor.bsky.social ! Quick thread (1/n) onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Analista de dades | Universitat de Barcelona Analista de dades per a l'anàlisi política i la gestió pública

Avui, i fins al 15 de juny, hem obert les inscripcions per la novena edició del postgrau d'analista de dades per l'anàlisi política i la gestió pública que fem a @cpoliticaub.bsky.social @ub.edu www.ub.edu/analista-de-...

New working paper with @erickpadilla.bsky.social

- We find that politicians' democratic attitudes and preferences are malleable to electoral losses!

- It resembles voters' BUT the interaction between candidate and party-level results (which we theorize) adds interesting nuances (we believe!)

📢 New working paper!
Does losing an election make politicians less committed to democracy? 🗳️

With @canalejoalvaro.bsky.social we show that even mainstream politicians' democratic attitudes resent after defeat—especially when their party loses. ⚖️📉

Link: osf.io/preprints/os...

🧑‍🎓In November we will be hosting the VII International Doctoral Workshop on "The pressing challenges to inequality in contemporary society"
📅Apply by June 9
Find all relevant information on our website: sites.google.com/view/ublawco...

If you're interested, don't hesitate to submit your paper! It’s a great opportunity to share your work and receive academic feedback in an international environment.
Please share this call with colleagues and other young researchers. And feel free to DM me in case you have any questions!

📢 Publication alert:

Not just about the ruling: when does the opposition challenge a law in the Spanish Constitutional Court?

📄 [https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13608746.2025.2475019]

🎉🎉 Excited to share that our paper "The Value of Liberal Democracy: Assessing Citizens’ Commitment to Democratic Principles", co-authored with @ehernandez.bsky.social, Enrique Prada and Damjan Tomic, is now published in the European Journal of Political Research!🎉

The value of liberal democracy: Assessing citizens' commitment to democratic principles Recent studies suggest that citizens are unlikely to trade off free elections for other desirable outcomes, such as economic growth. However, while free elections are central to democracies, today de...

Among all the democratic principles, free elections are the principle that individuals value the most. Citizens are firmly committed to elections, as they are not willing to forgo this principle even when compensated with high increases in income ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Mario Vargas Llosa, giant of Latin American literature, dies aged 89 Nobel laureate, a star of the international boom in Latin American literature, also once ran for president in Peru

www.theguardian.com/books/2025/a...

'Vargas Llosa, un cruce entre Gustave Flaubert y Victor Hugo', por Javier Cercas dozz.es/n2mhq5

Rental Market Risk and Radical Right Support - Tarik Abou-Chadi, Denis Cohen, Thomas Kurer, 2024 A growing literature examines how economic threat affects support for anti-establishment parties. While most existing work focuses on transforming labor markets...

Great article over here:

Rising local rent levels increase support for radical right parties among long-term residents with lower household incomes.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of internet access on reducing incumbent advantages in elections in low-income democracies with a specific case study of Malawi.

NEW -

Mobile Internet and the Quality of Elections in Low-Income Democracies - cup.org/4bCpDAo

- @alexyeandle.bsky.social

"The paper contributes to the literature on information technology, party strategy, and election administration in low-income settings."

#OpenAccess

BJPolS academic abstract discussing the implications of democratic deconsolidation and voter behavior on political culture in Poland.

NEW -

The Demand Side of Democratic Backsliding: How Divergent Understandings of Democracy Shape Political Choice - cup.org/4hy5Nrf

- Natasha Wunsch, @marcjacob.bsky.social & Laurenz Derksen

#OpenAccess

📢Difusión pls!

🧑‍🎓Investigación UAB

Si eres padre (♂️) de niños menores de 5 años, queremos conocer tu experiencia sobre conciliación laboral y familiar.

🗓️ 1 hora | 🌐 Virtual | 🤝 Voluntario
💬 Grupos de discusión
👉 Inscríbete: forms.office.com/e/gNUEF0aFRC

¡Gracias! 🙌

Another success in the second seminar of the BJ-REPS 🧑‍💻!

Last Friday we had @klaramueller.bsky.social presenting an awesome joint work with @aleferna.bsky.social on snap elections.

Many thanks to the participants and next month more!

Yesterday I had the opportunity to present most recent work joint with @aleferna.bsky.social on the effect of snap election calls on vote intention (un)certainty at BJ REPS 🎓 🗳️
Great atmosphere and lovely to see such an engaged crowd of PhDs from Barcelona‘s different universities! #polisky

Abstract: How does anti-immigrant rhetoric by mainstream politicians affect norms of tolerance? How does this compare to similar statements made by radical-right politicians? Drawing on experimental evidence, we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians. Subsample analyses suggests that this is because statements by mainstream-right politicians erode norm perceptions of right-wing individuals, while those by radical-right politicians induce backlash among left-wing individuals, who hold closer to the norm in place. The latter effect (backlash by the left) disappears when similar statements are made by mainstream right politicians. We argue that this difference occurs because mainstream politicians represent the views of a larger part of the population or have a higher status. Our results highlight the pivotal role of mainstream politicians in enforcing or eroding democratic norms, and that similar political statements can have different effects depending on their sender.

Very happy that our paper (w/ @dziblatt.bsky.social & E Dinas) has been accepted @bjpols.bsky.social .

We've seen the center right increasingly adopt far-right rhetoric.

Our experiment in 🇩🇪 finds that this erodes anti-prejudice norms *more* than when the far-right employs similar rhetoric.

1/3

🗓️ Submission deadline: February 28 🗓️
Join us to the workshop "The Politics of AI: Actors, Policy, Geopolitics, and Resistances" (Barcelona 2-3 October 2025).
Submission form: forms.gle/daA2S1qcSnxc...
Call for papers: www.ibei.org/en/call-for-...