IPCid-Ipea

📥 Read the Brief: [https://ipcid.org/publications/notes-on-bolsa-familia-expansion-employment-and-poverty-eradication-as-a-national-goal/]
#IPEAresearch #BolsaFamíliaEvidence

💡 Why This Matters
Cash transfers didn't reduce work—they:
1️⃣ Enabled escape from low paid informal jobs
2️⃣ May have stimulated formal job growth (through similar channel as documented in (Gerard et al 2021)

🔍 The twist:
• Participation rate includes BOTH employed + unemployed
• When unemployment drops sharply (↓3.4 pp since 2019), participation can fall even as employment grows
• This signals a healthier labor market, not laziness

🔍 Critical Context
• Employment rate declines concentrated in exploitative work:

Unpaid family workers: ↓1.1 pp (poorest quintile)

Low paid informal workers: ↓2.1 pp (poorest quintile)

Formal employment: ↑1.1 pp (bottom 40%)

📊 Key Findings
✅ Employment rate: ↑7.6 pp (51% 2020 → 58.6% 2024)
✅ Unemployment: ↓ to 4.2% (2024 historic low)
📉 Participation rate dip? Fewer job-seekers (↓3.4 pp unemployed compared to 2019)

Marcos Hecksher's @ipcid-ipea.bsky.social policy brief debunks the "lazy beneficiary" myth with Brazil's post-pandemic labor data.

🚨 New Research Alert (@IPCid-ipea.sky.social)

❌ The Myth: Critics point to Brazil's 2024 labor force participation rate (62.8%) still below 2019 level (63.9%) as "proof" people won't work.

🔍 The twist:
• Participation rate includes BOTH employed + unemployed
• When unemployment drops sharply (↓3.4 pp since 2019), participation can fall even as employment grows
• This signals a healthier labor market, not laziness

🔍 Critical Context
• Employment rate declines concentrated in exploitative work:

Unpaid family workers: ↓1.1 pp (poorest quintile)

Low paid informal workers: ↓2.1 pp (poorest quintile)

Formal employment: ↑1.1 pp (bottom 40%)

📊 Key Findings
✅ Employment rate: ↑7.6 pp (51% 2020 → 58.6% 2024)
✅ Unemployment: ↓ to 4.2% (2024 historic low)
📉 Participation rate dip? Fewer job-seekers (↓3.4 pp unemployed compared to 2019)

Marcos Hecksher's @IPCid-ipea.sky.social policy brief debunks the "lazy beneficiary" myth with Brazil's post-pandemic labor data.

New Policy in Focus launched in Timor-Leste! 🚀

Featuring contributions from over 60 experts, this issue presents 22 original articles offering evidence-based insights to tackle food insecurity and malnutrition. 🍽️

#Ipea @wfp-de.bsky.social @socialprotection.org

ipcid.org/news/the-fir...

Hunger is unacceptable. With Brazilian leadership, the G20 launched a Global Alliance to eradicate hunger and poverty by 2030, a historic movement to end hunger worldwide.

⏰💻 The #SPorgWebinar ‘Reflections from the Forum on Social Protection in Fragility and Conflict’, organized by @‌STAAR_Facility, BASIC Research and @‌FCDOGovUK

begins in 30 minutes!

🔗 Join us: https://buff.ly/495FPZS

#sporg #sp #SocialProtection #SocialSecurity