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Brendan Tuma

@toomuchtuma.bsky.social

Head of MLB Info at Underdog; words for Baseball America.

1,060 Followers  |  155 Following  |  100 Posts  |  Joined: 18.10.2023  |  2.0464

Latest posts by toomuchtuma.bsky.social on Bluesky

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No Stat Is Free: What MLB's New Normal Reveals About 2026 Draft Strategy Back in June, I wrote about developing a year-round mind for fantasy baseball.

5 of the 10 lowest league-wide batting averages ever have come since 2020.

Home runs and steals are near all-time highs, but AVG remains near the floor.

More on the hitting environment driving modern fantasy baseball:

brendantuma.substack.com/p/no-stat-is...

16.10.2025 13:14 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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No Stat Is Free: What MLB's New Normal Reveals About 2026 Draft Strategy Back in June, I wrote about developing a year-round mind for fantasy baseball.

The juiced ball.
Sticky stuff.
Rule changes.

MLB has finally settled into a new era

And for fantasy baseball, that means one thing:

We finally have a macro edge again.

Live now - my favorite piece of the year

brendantuma.substack.com/p/no-stat-is...

15.10.2025 13:10 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I’ve been obsessed with the macro fantasy landscape ever since the juiced ball era.

This week, I found more clarity than ever before.

Live tomorrow:

14.10.2025 17:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Great Repricing Why Everything Scarce Got So Expensive, So Fast

Building on last week's housing article

I wrote about why everything scarce -- not just home prices -- has become so expensive, so fast.

What I'm calling the Great Repricing:

brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-great-...

19.09.2025 13:36 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The House Always Wins What trying to buy a home taught me about the system behind money and markets

I wrote from the perspective of a hopeful first-time homebuyer in the 2020s.

It’s not just about housing. It’s about understanding the rules of the financial game.

The house always wins...but awareness is its own kind of edge.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-house-...

09.09.2025 13:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Magic of Backyard Baseball The best sports video game still holds up almost 30 years later

Why Backyard Baseball is still the greatest sports video game of all time:

brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-magic-...

19.08.2025 13:10 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

As tick populations explode, tickborne diseases are becoming more and more common. To address this threat, novel solutions are clearly needed. Could wildfire management help to address this menace? I believe it could! See:

doi.org/10.1093/bios...

#ticks #lymedisease #alphagal #ehrlichiosis

24.08.2025 22:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Join me as I go "back to my roots"* (plant pun intended) and discuss the wonderful world of liverworts that exist in New England.

*note: botanically speaking, liverworts don't have true roots. Interested in more facts like that? Make sure to register!

www.nativeplanttrust.org/events/an-in...

26.08.2025 02:36 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Magic of Backyard Baseball The best sports video game still holds up almost 30 years later

Why Backyard Baseball is still the greatest sports video game of all time:

brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-magic-...

19.08.2025 13:10 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Magic of Backyard Baseball

Live tomrorrow. Subscribe (for free) here: brendantuma.substack.com

18.08.2025 20:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Magic of Backyard Baseball

Live tomrorrow. Subscribe (for free) here: brendantuma.substack.com

18.08.2025 20:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Tuma's Take: Milwaukee Brewers Andrew Vaughn, Isaac Collins fuel baseball's first 70-win team

Most fantasy coverage focuses on breakout rookies and busted early-round picks.

But leagues are often won on the margins, with midseason shifts and quiet breakouts.

Tuma's Take: Milwaukee Brewers
brendantuma.substack.com/p/tumas-take...

08.08.2025 13:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Tuma's Take: Colorado Rockies With a few notes on what’s next for the newsletter

I returned from my honeymoon and immediately wrote about the Colorado Rockies.

Plus some updates on the future direction of the newsletter.

substack.com/home/post/p-...

04.08.2025 14:11 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Backyard Scouting: Arizona Diamondbacks A Skills-First Review of the Diamondbacks’ Lineup

I never once considered Eugenio SuΓ‘rez in offseason drafts.

Now he might be having the best season of his career.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...

11.07.2025 14:28 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Leading Off: Midnight Alarms and My First Shot in Fantasy Sports The summer I nearly burned out trying to break in

I wrote about what it’s like to chase a niche career path without a clear roadmap.

No blueprint. Just midnight alarms, a podcast I had no idea how to produce, and the stubborn belief it might lead somewhere.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/leading-of...

08.07.2025 13:41 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Leading Off: Midnight Alarms and My First Shot in Fantasy Sports The summer I nearly burned out trying to break in

I wrote about what it’s like to chase a niche career path without a clear roadmap.

No blueprint. Just midnight alarms, a podcast I had no idea how to produce, and the stubborn belief it might lead somewhere.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/leading-of...

08.07.2025 13:41 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Jacob Misiorowski's 100 MPH Stuff Fueling Breakout With Brewers As MLB Velocities Rise Jacob Misiorowski is the latest pitcher to take MLB by storm, and he's done it with some of the nastiest stuff in baseball.

Baseball’s hardest throwers in 2025 aren’t just throwing 100 mph. They’re building complete arsenals around it.

Misiorowski, Greene, Mason Miller, more.

Who's next?

My new piece @baseballamerica.com

www.baseballamerica.com/stories/jaco...

29.06.2025 13:32 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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What the 2025 Run Environment Means for Fantasy Baseball The League Keeps Changing. Here's How to Stay Ahead.

Home runs per game are down 20% from the 2019 peak.

Stolen bases per game are up nearly 60% since 2021.

On a rebalanced league environment and what it means for fantasy baseball

open.substack.com/pub/brendant...

25.06.2025 13:04 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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What the 2025 Run Environment Means for Fantasy Baseball The League Keeps Changing. Here's How to Stay Ahead.

Home runs per game are down 20% from the 2019 peak.

Stolen bases per game are up nearly 60% since 2021.

On a rebalanced league environment and what it means for fantasy baseball

open.substack.com/pub/brendant...

25.06.2025 13:04 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

That's a good profile to avoid πŸ˜‚

He isn't good enough to warrant it but like a "peak" version of Andrew Vaughn comes to mind lol

23.06.2025 20:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Too Much Tuma | Brendan Tuma | Substack Brendan Tuma’s research-based baseball insights for fans, fantasy, and betting. Click to read Too Much Tuma, by Brendan Tuma, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.

Thank you! Lots of (free) Backyard references and fantasy analysis to be found here!

brendantuma.substack.com

23.06.2025 20:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Matt Chapman has 22 stolen bases since joining the Giants last year.

That’s 2/3 of his career total!

23.06.2025 16:47 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Backyard Scouting: San Francisco Giants A Skills-First Review of the Giants’ Lineup

Backyard Scouting: San Francisco Giants

Rafael Devers in a new park, Heliot Ramos flashing growth, and Jung Hoo Lee adjusting to MLB.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...

23.06.2025 15:25 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Backyard Scouting Report: San Diego Padres A Skills-First Review of the Padres’ Lineup

Fernando Tatis Jr. has the lowest K% of his career.

On his evolving approach and a skill-first breakdown of the Padres' lineup.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...

17.06.2025 18:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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What I Learned From Building 2025 Projections… in June Every battle is won before it's ever fought

"In other words, the real edge is less about individual moves and more about how you evaluate players in the first place."

I wrote about my takeaways from building 2025 projections in June:

brendantuma.substack.com/p/what-i-lea...

11.06.2025 16:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Backyard Scouting Report: Los Angeles Dodgers A Skills-First Review of the Dodgers’ Lineup

Backyard Scouting Report is a new series where I'll regularly be tracking hitters one team at a time.

The goal is to develop a long-term view of the player pool that enables us to stay competitive in both redraft and keeper formats.

First up: The Dodgers

brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...

10.06.2025 00:42 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Backyard Scouting Report: Los Angeles Dodgers A Skills-First Review of the Dodgers’ Lineup

Backyard Scouting Report is a new series where I'll regularly be tracking hitters one team at a time.

The goal is to develop a long-term view of the player pool that enables us to stay competitive in both redraft and keeper formats.

First up: The Dodgers

brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...

10.06.2025 00:42 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Backyard Scouting Report: Los Angeles Dodgers A Skills-First Review of the Dodgers’ Lineup

New series!

Each week I’m breaking down one lineup to track how fantasy value is shifting. Kicking off with the Dodgers.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...

09.06.2025 17:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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How Youth Movements Are Powering 3 Top MLB Teams Brendan Tuma highlights how younger players are helping to lead the way in fast starts for the Cubs, Yankees and Tigers in 2025.

Pete Crow-Armstrong. Ben Rice. Spencer Torkelson.

I wrote about young stars powering 3 of the top teams in MLB.

New for @baseballamerica.com

www.baseballamerica.com/stories/how-...

16.05.2025 14:11 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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How Youth Movements Are Powering 3 Top MLB Teams Brendan Tuma highlights how younger players are helping to lead the way in fast starts for the Cubs, Yankees and Tigers in 2025.

Pete Crow-Armstrong. Ben Rice. Spencer Torkelson.

I wrote about young stars powering 3 of the top teams in MLB.

New for @baseballamerica.com

www.baseballamerica.com/stories/how-...

16.05.2025 14:11 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

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