No Stat Is Free: What MLB's New Normal Reveals About 2026 Draft Strategy
Back in June, I wrote about developing a year-round mind for fantasy baseball.
5 of the 10 lowest league-wide batting averages ever have come since 2020.
Home runs and steals are near all-time highs, but AVG remains near the floor.
More on the hitting environment driving modern fantasy baseball:
brendantuma.substack.com/p/no-stat-is...
16.10.2025 13:14 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
No Stat Is Free: What MLB's New Normal Reveals About 2026 Draft Strategy
Back in June, I wrote about developing a year-round mind for fantasy baseball.
The juiced ball.
Sticky stuff.
Rule changes.
MLB has finally settled into a new era
And for fantasy baseball, that means one thing:
We finally have a macro edge again.
Live now - my favorite piece of the year
brendantuma.substack.com/p/no-stat-is...
15.10.2025 13:10 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
Iβve been obsessed with the macro fantasy landscape ever since the juiced ball era.
This week, I found more clarity than ever before.
Live tomorrow:
14.10.2025 17:07 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
The Great Repricing
Why Everything Scarce Got So Expensive, So Fast
Building on last week's housing article
I wrote about why everything scarce -- not just home prices -- has become so expensive, so fast.
What I'm calling the Great Repricing:
brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-great-...
19.09.2025 13:36 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
The House Always Wins
What trying to buy a home taught me about the system behind money and markets
I wrote from the perspective of a hopeful first-time homebuyer in the 2020s.
Itβs not just about housing. Itβs about understanding the rules of the financial game.
The house always wins...but awareness is its own kind of edge.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-house-...
09.09.2025 13:40 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
As tick populations explode, tickborne diseases are becoming more and more common. To address this threat, novel solutions are clearly needed. Could wildfire management help to address this menace? I believe it could! See:
doi.org/10.1093/bios...
#ticks #lymedisease #alphagal #ehrlichiosis
24.08.2025 22:55 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
Join me as I go "back to my roots"* (plant pun intended) and discuss the wonderful world of liverworts that exist in New England.
*note: botanically speaking, liverworts don't have true roots. Interested in more facts like that? Make sure to register!
www.nativeplanttrust.org/events/an-in...
26.08.2025 02:36 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
The Magic of Backyard Baseball
Live tomrorrow. Subscribe (for free) here: brendantuma.substack.com
18.08.2025 20:14 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
The Magic of Backyard Baseball
Live tomrorrow. Subscribe (for free) here: brendantuma.substack.com
18.08.2025 20:14 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
Tuma's Take: Milwaukee Brewers
Andrew Vaughn, Isaac Collins fuel baseball's first 70-win team
Most fantasy coverage focuses on breakout rookies and busted early-round picks.
But leagues are often won on the margins, with midseason shifts and quiet breakouts.
Tuma's Take: Milwaukee Brewers
brendantuma.substack.com/p/tumas-take...
08.08.2025 13:19 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Tuma's Take: Colorado Rockies
With a few notes on whatβs next for the newsletter
I returned from my honeymoon and immediately wrote about the Colorado Rockies.
Plus some updates on the future direction of the newsletter.
substack.com/home/post/p-...
04.08.2025 14:11 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Backyard Scouting: Arizona Diamondbacks
A Skills-First Review of the Diamondbacksβ Lineup
I never once considered Eugenio SuΓ‘rez in offseason drafts.
Now he might be having the best season of his career.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...
11.07.2025 14:28 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Leading Off: Midnight Alarms and My First Shot in Fantasy Sports
The summer I nearly burned out trying to break in
I wrote about what itβs like to chase a niche career path without a clear roadmap.
No blueprint. Just midnight alarms, a podcast I had no idea how to produce, and the stubborn belief it might lead somewhere.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/leading-of...
08.07.2025 13:41 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
Leading Off: Midnight Alarms and My First Shot in Fantasy Sports
The summer I nearly burned out trying to break in
I wrote about what itβs like to chase a niche career path without a clear roadmap.
No blueprint. Just midnight alarms, a podcast I had no idea how to produce, and the stubborn belief it might lead somewhere.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/leading-of...
08.07.2025 13:41 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
Jacob Misiorowski's 100 MPH Stuff Fueling Breakout With Brewers As MLB Velocities Rise
Jacob Misiorowski is the latest pitcher to take MLB by storm, and he's done it with some of the nastiest stuff in baseball.
Baseballβs hardest throwers in 2025 arenβt just throwing 100 mph. Theyβre building complete arsenals around it.
Misiorowski, Greene, Mason Miller, more.
Who's next?
My new piece @baseballamerica.com
www.baseballamerica.com/stories/jaco...
29.06.2025 13:32 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
What the 2025 Run Environment Means for Fantasy Baseball
The League Keeps Changing. Here's How to Stay Ahead.
Home runs per game are down 20% from the 2019 peak.
Stolen bases per game are up nearly 60% since 2021.
On a rebalanced league environment and what it means for fantasy baseball
open.substack.com/pub/brendant...
25.06.2025 13:04 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
What the 2025 Run Environment Means for Fantasy Baseball
The League Keeps Changing. Here's How to Stay Ahead.
Home runs per game are down 20% from the 2019 peak.
Stolen bases per game are up nearly 60% since 2021.
On a rebalanced league environment and what it means for fantasy baseball
open.substack.com/pub/brendant...
25.06.2025 13:04 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
That's a good profile to avoid π
He isn't good enough to warrant it but like a "peak" version of Andrew Vaughn comes to mind lol
23.06.2025 20:09 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Matt Chapman has 22 stolen bases since joining the Giants last year.
Thatβs 2/3 of his career total!
23.06.2025 16:47 β π 6 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0
Backyard Scouting: San Francisco Giants
A Skills-First Review of the Giantsβ Lineup
Backyard Scouting: San Francisco Giants
Rafael Devers in a new park, Heliot Ramos flashing growth, and Jung Hoo Lee adjusting to MLB.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...
23.06.2025 15:25 β π 3 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
Backyard Scouting Report: San Diego Padres
A Skills-First Review of the Padresβ Lineup
Fernando Tatis Jr. has the lowest K% of his career.
On his evolving approach and a skill-first breakdown of the Padres' lineup.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...
17.06.2025 18:47 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
What I Learned From Building 2025 Projections⦠in June
Every battle is won before it's ever fought
"In other words, the real edge is less about individual moves and more about how you evaluate players in the first place."
I wrote about my takeaways from building 2025 projections in June:
brendantuma.substack.com/p/what-i-lea...
11.06.2025 16:22 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Backyard Scouting Report: Los Angeles Dodgers
A Skills-First Review of the Dodgersβ Lineup
Backyard Scouting Report is a new series where I'll regularly be tracking hitters one team at a time.
The goal is to develop a long-term view of the player pool that enables us to stay competitive in both redraft and keeper formats.
First up: The Dodgers
brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...
10.06.2025 00:42 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
Backyard Scouting Report: Los Angeles Dodgers
A Skills-First Review of the Dodgersβ Lineup
Backyard Scouting Report is a new series where I'll regularly be tracking hitters one team at a time.
The goal is to develop a long-term view of the player pool that enables us to stay competitive in both redraft and keeper formats.
First up: The Dodgers
brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...
10.06.2025 00:42 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
Backyard Scouting Report: Los Angeles Dodgers
A Skills-First Review of the Dodgersβ Lineup
New series!
Each week Iβm breaking down one lineup to track how fantasy value is shifting. Kicking off with the Dodgers.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...
09.06.2025 17:47 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Writer and researcher at mlb dot com. BBWAA member.
Formerly: San Francisco Giants β’ The Athletic β’ Locked On Angels
βοΈ: brent.maguire@mlb.com
Managing Editor, Universal Desk, The Athletic.
I dig dogs, books, my kids and their kids. Among other things.
Fantasy Football and NFL Draft for ESPN
βThe Insidersβ on NFL Network, NFL+, and wherever you get your podcasts.
National Insider for NFL Network and www.nfl.com. Made seven cameos in the movie Draft Day.
Inquiries: shahob@william-raymond.com
https://link.me/rapsheet
Purveyor of truth of the all-22 |King of Typos |NFL Staff Writer:
@TheAthleticNFL |Just Win Podcast
NFL insider @bleacherreport
NFL insider 104.3 The Fan Denver
π Philly born and raised. Buckeye π
Minnesota Vikings beat writer @TheAthletic. Hosting Vikes pod, @AlecLewisShow. Mizzou alum from βBama. alewis@theathletic.com. Let the kids write.
Bills beat reporter for The Athletic. Creator of too many spreadsheets. Husband. Dad. (dog)Dad.
MLB
https://bit.ly/fistbumps4als
ποΈ Host of Fantasy Baseball Today & FBT Express
Prospect guy at MLB Pipeline.
Words about baseball. Defending everyone breaking the unwritten rules.
Writer at FanGraphs. Guitarist for The Subway Ghosts and The Spaghettis. Baker of cookies. He/him. DMs open.
davyandrews.bandcamp.com.
Creator of All Thirty Two
Co-Host of the Bootleg Football Podcast.
https://www.youtube.com/c/brettkollmann
GM of Content, @baseballhq.com. Website; books (#BF25, #MLBA25); live events (#FPAZ, First Pitch Forums). Fantasy baseball. Philly. Be kind.
Newsletter-er: readoptional.substack.com | Writer: The Guardian | Previously: NFL/CFB Scout; recruiting analyst