Kristian Åtland

[1/2] Three area closures for SS-N-23 SKIFF (Sineva) submarine-launched ballistic missile launch are in effect on 20-24 & 28 October 2025 (05:00-17:00 daily)

Russian Easter vodka binges delayed Ukraine’s covert bomber-killing drone strike, SBU reveals - Euromaidan Press Ukraine's Security Service head just explained exactly how Ukraine had smuggled attack drones into Russia and hit four military bases simultaneously in their most audacious operation yet.

New details about Operation Spider Web.

Vladimir Socor - Wikipedia

Very sorry to hear about the passing of Vladimir Socor (1945-2025). His recent analyses of the Ukraine ceasefire negotiations were nothing short of brilliant. He will be missed.

How to Negotiate with Moscow Based on Experience of a Ukrainian Diplomat We are publishing this piece because Roman Bezsmertny is a Ukrainian diplomat who participated in nearly 60 rounds of talks with Russian representatives during the Minsk peace process. His experience ...

"Russia, similar to the Soviet Union before it, sees diplomacy as a tool in its arsenal of war."

A corner of NATO where Lenin presides Barentsburg, a Russian-run company town in Arctic Norway, could become a geopolitical headache

A bust of Lenin glowers over the square. Public signs are in Cyrillic script and the Russian flag flaps from buildings. This spot in Norway is a geopolitical quirk—for the West it could become a headache

The corresponding coastal warning (PRIP) for the Murmansk region says "MISSILE FIRINGS 20 TO 21 JUN".

Confirmed: Russian bombers were armed with cruise missiles and poised to bomb Ukrainian cities when they were destroyed by Ukrainian drones in Sunday’s audacious airbase attacks

The Russian MoD has now also confirmed the Ukrainian strikes.

However, they claim that the Ukrainians only succeeded in Olenya and Belaya - they say strikes in Ivanovo, Ryazan (Dyagilevo) and Amur were repelled. They didn't specify the amount or types of aircraft lost. 1/

The U.S. Reinforces Europe’s Northern Front, Fearing War With Russia The U.S. military has doubled down in Northern Europe in a quest to make NATO more lethal.

The U.S. military is doubling down in Northern Europe in a quest to make NATO more lethal.

Lively outside Andøya today. Looks like "Formidable Shield" is in progress, featuring a series of live-fire events in the coming days. Participating nations are Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Italy, The Netherlands, Norway, Spain, U.K., and US. More info at www.c6f.navy.mil/Press-Room/N...

Scoop: Trump envoy’s conflict of interest: a Russia-linked business partner Steve Witkoff, Trump's Special Envoy, has a serious and unreported conflict of interest in Russia-Ukraine negotiations: his relationship with Ukraine-sanctioned businessman Len Blavatnik.

"(...) can Trump’s envoy, with business ties to a billionaire who built his wealth in Russia and is sanctioned by Ukraine, serve as a genuinely neutral mediator in peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine?"

Russia Uses Black Sea Ceasefire Talks to Regain Former Hegemony Executive Summary: The Black Sea is the only theater in which Ukraine is prevailing over Russia in the ongoing war. The Kremlin regards the U.S.-brokered, deadline-driven ceasefire talks as an opportu...

"Moscow regards a Black Sea ceasefire as an opportunity to reverse Ukraine’s successes in the maritime war" (Valdimir Socor).

U.S. Preemptive Concessions Gain Nothing From Russia in Ukraine Ceasefire Talks (Part Two) (Part One) Executive Summary: Moscow is drawing Washington into an incremental, conditions-tied process, instead of a quick and unconditional ceasefire in Russia’s war against Ukraine. The U.S. White ...

Another good analysis by Vladimir Socor:
"Moscow should be aware that any easing of sanctions by Washington would hardly benefit Russia, as long as the European Union continues to maintain these same sanctions."

Putin driver et narrespill, om noen skulle være i tvil om det.

Slik trener kystjegerkommandoen opp de ukrainske dødsenglene Podcast Episode · Forsvarspodden · 03/26/2025 · 18m

Podcast (in Norwegian).

The Trump administration is not too fond of gender-neutral terms. It has now made the FAA reinstate the pre-December 2021 meaning of the abbreviation “NOTAM”…

Har Russlands militære atferd i nord endret seg? Russlands fullskala angrepskrig mot Ukraina har bidratt til radikale endringer i det sikkerhetspolitiske landskapet i Europa. Russlands forhold til den vestlige verden har gått fra vondt til verre, Sv...

On the changing pattern of Russian military activity in the High North (in Norwegian).

Putin’s Ukraine The end of war and the price of Russian occupation.

www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/puti...

7/7 Read more in a new special report from ISW Russia Fellow Nataliya Bugayova: isw.pub/LessonsOfMinsk