Kevin Hjortshøj O’Rourke

Worth reposting in light of the US essentially giving Moscow its full backing

Trump may change his mind tomorrow. But if this becomes fixed US policy there will have to be personal and political consequences, for the US will have become more of an enemy than a friend. And I don't think it can then be business as usual. I for one wouldn't visit the US under such circumstances.

Hopefully US proposals that Ukraine capitulate to Russia will fail. In the meantime Europe needs to be clear: it will never buy oil and gas from Russia unless it withdraws from Ukraine, it will not participate in G8 meetings involving Russia, and if this holds the US-EU trade deal is off.

La mondialisation à l’épreuve de Trump - 05/11 - 18h00 (LYON 2) YouTube video by Journées de l'Economie

#JECO2025 𝘓𝘢 #𝘮𝘰𝘯𝘥𝘪𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘴𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 à 𝘭’é𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘶𝘷𝘦 𝘥𝘦 𝘛𝘳𝘶𝘮𝘱
@vvicard.bsky.social (CEPII)
@mathildedupre.bsky.social (Institut Veblen)
@pierrehaski.bsky.social (France Inter)
Eric Monnet (EHESS, PSE)
@kevinhorourke.bsky.social (CNRS, Sciences-Po)
www.youtube.com/live/IScMgL5...
@les-jeco.bsky.social #econsky

The Baltic countries showed Ireland great solidarity at the time of Brexit, as did all EU members. They bought our argument that the border issue was a security issue. They now face a huge security issue and if we turn our backs on them we will deserve all the consequences that will flow from that.

Dennis Novy becomes lead economic advisor to the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office Congratulations to CAGE Impact Director, Dennis Novy who has been appointed as Chief Economist and Director of Analysis at the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO).

Congratulations to CAGE Impact Director @dennisnovy.bsky.social on his appointment to the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office as the lead economic adviser to the Foreign Secretary on the UK’s foreign and international development policy.

For anyone who's published a book. (Source: www.alcs.co.uk/news/the-lat...)

Absurd, and embarrassing for the country. If there is a 1930s analogy for today’s German rearmament, it would be British rearmament in the face of Nazi aggression in Europe. Not everyone in Ireland was on the British side then and not everyone in Ireland is on the Ukrainian and European side now.

Europe will retaliate by talking a lot.

Sometimes it's nice to remember that even Marcus Aurelius was like "you don't have to comment on everything bro"

The ‘missing intercept’ problem with going from micro to macro Many applied microeconomics papers conclude with a back-of-the-envelope calculation that scales their cross-sectional estimates to the aggregate level. These types of aggregate estimates are only vali...

Very useful discussion on the perils of using micro/cross-sectional parameter estimates in inferring the aggregate effects of policies/shocks. This is pervasive in Economics, yet the two effects can even have the opposite signs. (Example in next post.) voxdev.org/topic/method...

A tragic piece of news. Conor Gearty FBA was a wonderful human being, as kind as he was brilliant, thoughtful, self-deprecating and witty; a man of dialogue and convictions, always ready to listen, and one who had much to give the world.

Hands off Bradley. We need good managers making our domestic league internationally competitive.

Countries that don’t invest in the basics — coaching, training facilities, pathways for young players, domestic leagues — have no right to expect that they will do well in international football competitions #Ireland #worldcup #FAI

If the EP were to vote down this preposterous and illegal "deal" it would among other things mean that the Commission could credibly tell partners that there are limits to what is politically possible in Europe.

A regulatory superpower that can’t even regulate itself (if true)

September's dawning reality English original of article published in Italian this morning by La Stampa

The reality that Europe must acknowledge, in Ukraine and the transatlantic relationship open.substack.com/pub/billemmo...

We are deeply saddened to hear that former Finn Harps, Galway United and Fanad United coach Ollie Horgan has passed away. 💙

A massive loss for Irish football. 😢

One of the main benefits of doing a US PhD is the extra time you get, that's one of the big reasons I advised my students to apply for US programmes. We offer a four year degree here, there'd be no advantage over us. The US is euthanising its massive advantage in research for no good reason.

On a parochial (Shamrock Rovers) note well done to Darragh Burns with an assist and two successfully converted spot kicks.

Helt sikkert.

Mette Frederiksen undskylder for spiralsagen | Berlingske På »vegne af Danmark« siger statsministeren undskyld for spiralsagen.

www.berlingske.dk/indland/mett...

If anyone is in position to know, she is.
So: you can’t be a little bit sovereign, if you want to be the master in your own house you need to be sovereign across the board. That’s the agenda, and it has to start with Russia’s defeat in Ukraine. Time to massively scale up the Danish model

„We have a land war on European continent. We are fully dependent on US. None of the EU members was ready to risk further escalation“.
The way @sabineweyand.bsky.social explains EU-US-deal is exactly right. She explains EU‘s trade-offs & rationale — and doesn‘t put lipstick on a pig.
(SZ-Dossier)

📢 New initiative: we are launching a monthly virtual seminar in French Economic History to share and discuss the latest research in the field!

🌍 Open to all interested in #econhist.

👉 Info & updates: sites.google.com/view/vwfhe/h...

Donald Trump threatens retaliation over taxes that ‘discriminate’ against US tech President claims other countries’ digital levies hurt American companies while ignoring China

So much for the certainty that rewarding Trump for breaking the law provided us with.

Show a bully that you’re weak and he’ll walk all over you.

on.ft.com/3JzL772

Norwegians decide on the Nobel Peace Prize. They suffered under Nazi occupation. Nazi occupation was not peace. Russian occupation is not peace. Perhaps someone should explain this to Mr Trump.

This is a moment of truth for Europe. If our leaders don’t act to defend our vital interests there is no point in complaining about the failure of others to do so.

If the argument is that the EU had no choice in the trade talks but to reward the US for breaking the law, because we need its security support, then a consequence should be that if the US takes Russia’s side in demanding that Ukraine give up land, then all bets will be off as regards trade.

Economic history has lost one of its greats.