Moritz Bondeli

Want to do cutting-edge research in an ambitious and supportive environment *and* live in a diverse, exciting city with outstanding quality of life?

Come join us at HU Berlin!

If you have questions about the position or the city, do not hesitate to reach out.

There is also "On the reliability of published findings using the regression discontinuity design in political science" by Stommes, Aronow and Sävje on RD: doi.org/10.1177/2053...

They are my favorite thing about surveys! Excellent for quality control and really insightful

Unsure which panel to finish your day with? Come join us in 0.A.02 for an exciting set of historical papers on violence, conflict and democracy. @dnsltr.bsky.social @franvillamil.bsky.social @golafs.bsky.social

Very happy to share the program for the 3rd edition of the Yale-UB Historical Political Economy Workshop.

Taking place at the University of Barcelona on June 30th and July 1st.

Really looking forward to it!

Cc: @didacqueralt.bsky.social

Which strikes me as important. The issue is not that the court was on board with the power grab. It is that courts are slow to check abuses of emergency powers.

de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Preu%C3...

The federal government did not win Preussen contra Reich -- important parts of the emergency decree and emergency actions (like the purge of the Prussian bureaucracy) were found unconstitutional.

The key point is that the court only ruled when the facts on the ground were irreversible.

Very excited to be a part of this workshop with a fascinating set of papers. I will be sharing my research on policing, political violence and extremist voting in Weimar Germany.

Thank you to @tinepaulsen.bsky.social, @pauvallprat.bsky.social & @franvillamil.bsky.social for bringing us together!

Thank you very much! I am incredibly excited to get started.

If you are in Berlin and work on extremism, political violence, democratic backsliding, causal inference, or any related issues, please reach out. I would love to meet for coffee!

Congratulations, Amanda! Fantastic news! 🎉

US inflation unexpectedly increases to 3% in January Figure bolsters case for Federal Reserve to proceed slowly with interest rate cuts

Unexpectedly? I cannot imagine to whom this might be unexpected.

www.ft.com/content/311a...

Donald Trump threatens to double tax rates for foreign nationals and companies President orders officials to draw up retaliatory measures against ‘extraterritorial’ taxes

Don't think people will want to become pawns in every garden-variety international dispute

www.ft.com/content/4461...

Is Europe serious about wanting to close its tech/AI gap with the US?

The Trump admin is reviving its policies of harassing, insulting, and making life difficult for workers from abroad contributing to the US economy.

This would be a golden opportunity to poach that talent.

PS: I guess the upshot is that in the debate between those who say left policy is not ambitious enough vs those who say left communication is poor, I am closer to the latter position

(3) Immigration Reform: Generally lower barriers to German citizenship, allowing dual citizenship after naturalization
(4) Legalization of cannabis
(5) Increase of minimum wage by 15% to 12 Euro/h

That's not a poor record in my mind!

(3/3)

(1) Deutschlandticket: Lowering the cost of local public transit with an affordable subscription ticket. Game changer if you care about reducing car usage.
(2) After the invasion of Ukraine, there were serious concerns about blackouts due to severe energy shortages. That didn't happen!
(2/3)

My sizzling hot take is that the Scholz chancellorship was not all that bad. Important achievements are clouded by a general sense of malaise that is disconnected from fundamentals.

There are several really significant achievements to show for! Off the top of my head:
(1/3)

Thank you!

Trying something new:
A 🧵 on a topic I find many students struggle with: "why do their 📊 look more professional than my 📊?"

It's *lots* of tiny decisions that aren't the defaults in many libraries, so let's break down 1 simple graph by @jburnmurdoch.bsky.social

🔗 www.ft.com/content/73a1...

Portugal: April 1974 - Watch the full documentary | ARTE in English In one day in April 1974, the Carnation Revolution in Portugal put an end to the Salazar dictatorship and five centuries of colonisation. This documentary is a blow-by-blow account of this momentous d...

She tells her story in a fascinating ARTE documentary on the Carnation revolution:

www.arte.tv/en/videos/11...

Please share what the students come up with! I am curious

When you say woke I think of things like the Respect for Marriage Act, which Baldwin was a key proponent of.

Maybe you have a narrower definition of woke? In which case I wonder why you think the electorate would pick up on things that none of the Dem party elites seem to have talked about.

Tammy Baldwin -- a decidedly progressive, lesbian senator -- wins reelection in Wisconsin, where Harris loses. That would appear to cut against the idea that "woke" is the problem.

Yes!

That's so exciting! With the public broadcaster, SRF?

Great to see my tax Francs put to such great use

And there's even less attention on how dire the situation was before the Voting Rights Act. US politics isn't taught very well in European schools

#APSA2024 👇

Interested in the role of law enforcement in democratic backsliding?

I will be presenting a new paper with evidence from Weimar Germany at 2pm in room 109A at the Pennsylvania Convention Center.

We've got a great panel discussing threats to democracy from a historical perspective. Come by!

Best coffee is at Thank you Thank you! 10 minute walk from the Marriott

Why A.I. Isn’t Going to Make Art To create a novel or a painting, an artist makes choices that are fundamentally alien to artificial intelligence.

"Believing that inspiration outweighs everything else is, I suspect, a sign that someone is unfamiliar with the medium."

Very true for art, and I think very true for science.

www.newyorker.com/culture/the-...