Armin Schaefer

Look at the distribution of wealth among politicians around the world relative to the people they represent!

The median politician in South Africa's has 200x the wealth of the typical household in that country.

I am looking for a PhD student in Comparative Politics @powimz.bsky.social. My research focuses on political (in-)equality, representation, and responsiveness. I would be grateful if you could help to spread the word.
stellenboerse.uni-mainz.de#/jgu/job/49637

Thank you, Klara!

Remarkably, winning and losing hardly matters to non-populist voters. Their satisfaction with democracy is not affected by election results. By contrast, populists are sore losers, and populist parties in power bend the rules to avoid losing in future elections. 5/5

We replicate these findings using panel data from Germany and the Netherlands. In these cases, we control for individual satisfaction with democracy before the election in order to estimate the satisfaction of winners and losers afterwards. Again, the results are very similar. 4/5

This figure shows the regression coefficients of two models indicating that losing has a stronger impact on more populist voters. The bottom part of the figure shows the marginal effect of losing for different levels of populism.

Multivariate analyses confirm the first impression both when we use only one wave of CSES data or all waves (which makes it necessary to use parties' populism scores based on @vdeminstitute.bsky.social's V-Party data as a proxy). The findings also can be reproduces with ESS data. 3/5

This graph shows the negative correlation between populist attitudes and satisfaction with democracy. However, the negative effect is much more pronounced for electoral losers than winners. In other words, the more populist the attitudes, the more severely losing dampens satisfaction with democracy.

This figure gives a first impression of the combined effect of populism and losing based on the fifth wave of @cses.bsky.social data. 2/5

I'm delighted to see this article out in @govandopp.bsky.social! Jonas Wenker and I show that losing an election has a far stronger negative effect on populist voters than on non-populist ones. For populists, losing signals that the system is broken. 1/5 www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

1/
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Help us spread the word! @rudalev.bsky.social & I are the editors!

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library We provide a comprehensive theoretical and empirical account of the relationship between campaign finance pressures and the wealth of politicians. We argue that the heavily right-skewed wealth distri...

Now out in @ajpseditor.bsky.social:

@luciamotoliniac.bsky.social, Marko Klašnja and I show that greater pressures to spend more money on campaigning leads not just to more politicians who are rich, but especially to more politicians who are are *super* rich

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

🚨 Newest Comparative Political Data Set released!🚨

Updated until 2023

Available here 👉cpds-data.org/data

@leuphana.bsky.social
@uniluzern.bsky.social
@ipz.bsky.social

New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...

Why are working class people under-represented in legislatures?

We propose one potential mechanism: working-class individuals are *perceived* as less likely to achieve political success, and are subsequently 'pragmatically' discriminated against.

We provide an experiment in the UK to test it:

JGU-Forschungspodcast-Moderator Lawrence Meinig (l.) mit Gesprächsgast Prof. Kai Arzheimer vom Institut für Politikwissenschaft der JGU (r.) (Foto/©: Philipp Neuweiler)

🎧 HÖRTIPP: #Forschungspodcast #MindsOfMainz – #DerGutenbergTalk | Folge 24: Wehrhafte #Demokratie – ein Bekenntnis zu Freiheit und gemeinsamen Werten | mit Prof. Kai Arzheimer 👉 www.magazin.uni-mainz.de/minds-of-mai...

@kai-arzheimer.com @powimz.bsky.social

#Politikwissenschaft #Innenpolitik

Low turnout and an unfair voting system: UK elections ranked in the bottom half of countries in Europe British voters are moving away from the two-party system, but their electoral system hasn’t kept up.

“It is estimated that there are around 7 million to 8 million people not correctly registered or missing from the registers entirely. This is not many less than the 9.7 million people whose votes gave the government a landslide majority.”

Attitudes toward Political Authoritarianism in Economically Advanced Democracies Cambridge Core - Politics: General Interest - Attitudes toward Political Authoritarianism in Economically Advanced Democracies

Our Element is out! 🎉

Why do authoritarian-leaning leaders target women’s and LGBTQ+ rights? Is there a systematic pattern that reaches beyond individual country cases, and how is this reflected in people’s attitudes and societal norms?

www.cambridge.org/core/element...

With this data, it is impossible to tell. But both @indubioproreto.bsky.social, @nilssteiner.bsky.social and I as well as others have papers that point at cohort effects.

4) If these trends continue, it will become more difficult to form a government in the future. It was only the 5% threshold that made the current coalition possible, yet there is absolutely no public debate about what growing voter pluralism means for government formation. 3/3

Middle-aged men are the strongest supporters of the AfD (though not me). 2) The Left performed exceptionally well among young women, achieving truly remarkable results. 3) Only voters above 60 saved the Christian and Social Democrats. The future of these parties does not look very bright. 2/3

This plot show how age groups voted in the general election earlier this year in Germany. There are striking differences beween age groups and women and men. Data: Federal Returning Office.

As @indubioproreto.bsky.social pointed out a few days ago, there is some interesting data from the Federal Returning Office in Germany on the age and gender divides in the general election. A few points stand out: 1) The AfD performs well across all age groups, with the exception of the oldest. 1/3

🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨

We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.

🔗 epssnet.org

Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.

🧵

Proportion of Papers by Year and Team Type

Excited to kick off #EPSA2025 on Day 1, Panel 1! 🎉

I’ll present my co-authored research with @michaelimre.bsky.social on 50 years of gender representation in political science publications. We analyze nearly 100,000 articles across 72 journals to uncover long-term trends. 🔍

@epsanet.bsky.social

Very stark GAL-TAN divide by age and gender in the UK electorate. On both and their interactions with education see also this paper by Armin Schäfer and @nilssteiner.bsky.social @wepsocial.bsky.social: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Great piece by @garritzmannj.bsky.social 👇

Is downward class mobility linked to far-right party voting and how? @dafnoukos.bsky.social, @a-gugushvili.bsky.social‬ & Tim Vlandas argue it significantly affects far-right voting but only under specific conditions. Read OPEN ACCESS in @polbehavior.bsky.social‬: buff.ly/Cljvggt

🧵 1/2

Lerne Fachvertreter:innen und Studierende direkt kennen. An unserem Pavillon werden all Deine Fragen beantwortet, und Du kannst spannende Einblicke in den Studienalltag gewinnen. Komm einfach vorbei!

𝗣𝗼𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗸𝘄𝗶𝘀𝘀𝗲𝗻𝘀𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗳𝘁 - 𝗣𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗼𝗻 𝗡𝗿. 𝟮𝟲

Deine erste Wahl!

Der neue Westen #12 - Wird der Populismus siegen? Sie behaupten, nur sie sprächen für „das Volk“. Mit dieser Strategie haben es Populisten längst in Regierungen geschafft. Fragen an Jan-Werner Müller.

Ein Gespräch über Populismus, Autokratie und das, was Demokratie einzigartig macht.

Don't replace the Lords - split the Commons What an elected second chamber is for.

New blog post about Lords reform. How ideas about semi parliamentary systems can give a clear purpose to change alexparsons.co.uk/blog/posts/s...