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Duncan Weldon

@duncanweldon.bsky.social

Economics writer. Author. Expect history, economics, finance and other stuff. Wrote Two Hundred Years of Muddling Through. Blood and Treasure, on the economics of war, out now.

23,356 Followers  |  1,535 Following  |  5,215 Posts  |  Joined: 12.11.2024  |  1.9471

Latest posts by duncanweldon.bsky.social on Bluesky

Once upon a time we’d have had to wait until the evening news for a correspondent to tell us what sort of noises they heard coming from the PLP meeting. Nowadays we can get live updates on the applause level. And maybe hear about some contradictory WhatsApps on the mood. Exciting times.

09.02.2026 07:59 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Deep(er than I expected when I clicked) dive in Japan’s public sector balance sheet from @tobyn.bsky.social.
Really interesting.

www.ft.com/content/f7d3...

09.02.2026 07:55 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The problem here is that format demands 800-1000 words but all the real info is in one short paragraph: no one really knows what happens next.

Chris Mason: Crunch time for the prime minister www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

09.02.2026 07:46 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 1

Landman is a good watch. (And also interesting in that it’s pretty clearly an attempt to make a more MAGA friendly prestige drama show).

08.02.2026 21:18 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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One of the more depressing paragraphs in a throughly depressing read.

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/08/b...

08.02.2026 20:22 β€” πŸ‘ 66    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 4

Exactly this. And even doing it journalistically - coding up 200 speeches/articles/TV appearances for hawkishness is, conservatively, about 75-100 person-hours of work I reckon. Not something you could turn around this quickly.

08.02.2026 19:33 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Sure I’ve seen the data before.
Related and fascinating chart on a small win from more flexible working patterns:

08.02.2026 19:19 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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Fantastic use of AI.

Untangling the ideas of Donald Trump’s Fed nominee
economist.com/finance-and-...

08.02.2026 19:11 β€” πŸ‘ 39    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1

This is not a rule I apply to WhatsApp!

08.02.2026 18:51 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Absolute case for a third party audit given the leaks last time!

08.02.2026 18:50 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

My unpopular opinion: releasing the emails & messages surrounding Mandelson’s appointment is entirely reasonable.
Releasing every communication between Mandelson and any ministers or Spads over the course of his ambassadorship is disproportionate, unnecessary and sets a really bad precedent.

08.02.2026 18:44 β€” πŸ‘ 141    πŸ” 18    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 2
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Oh no.

08.02.2026 18:29 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Sure it’s fine.

08.02.2026 18:28 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

BRB, just googling β€œwhat happens if you get rid of your lightning rod and there is more lightning?”

08.02.2026 18:28 β€” πŸ‘ 37    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0

The thing is: I wouldn’t rule it out.

08.02.2026 15:47 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

My gut feeling is that Trump’s ability to browbeat US media - which looked strong 12 months ago - has faded sharply.
Because booking Green Day for the Super Bowl isn’t the action of an entirely cowed media complex.

08.02.2026 15:42 β€” πŸ‘ 101    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 6

CoS since 1997. And also for a period in the 80s.

08.02.2026 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Well yes. Who did the average regular reader of political stories (not the average voter) know in the last two decades?
McSweeney, Cummings, maybe Hill/Timothy.

08.02.2026 15:35 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

I think there’s a degree of this.
On the other hand: I think the average well informed reader of political news stories probably couldn’t have named Rishi Sunak’s CoS.

08.02.2026 15:32 β€” πŸ‘ 22    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Boring opinion: if people know the name of the Downing Street Chief of Staff, the CoS is not doing a good job.

08.02.2026 15:28 β€” πŸ‘ 270    πŸ” 25    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 6

Phew.

08.02.2026 13:06 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 0

Getting very nervous about this Nepal performance.

08.02.2026 11:58 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 0
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Wow

07.02.2026 17:27 β€” πŸ‘ 169    πŸ” 63    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 26

Run rate fine. The Nepal bowling seems very variable. Flashes of excellence and then an easy 6.

08.02.2026 10:16 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Sod me. Imagine getting Salt out on the first ball of your debut.

08.02.2026 09:39 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Love cricket pre-match analysis.
Something relaxing about watching an in-depth discussion of moisture levels in the ground.

08.02.2026 09:10 β€” πŸ‘ 45    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 0

I foresee slightly unusual working hours for me in the weeks ahead.

08.02.2026 07:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

T20 World Cup in this time zone is an absolute joy. Great to get up on a Sunday, make a coffee and stick New Zealand/Afghanistan on.

08.02.2026 07:26 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1

I think, the current pol-strategist brain seems better suited to opposition. You can get much further with a tactical line & some positioning. In government you actually have to do things which have actual effects on actual voters. Also: much easier to pretend trade-offs don’t exist in opposition.

07.02.2026 20:46 β€” πŸ‘ 36    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Checked the India-USA score. Put the cricket back on. Family groaned.

07.02.2026 15:13 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

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