Duncan Weldon's Avatar

Duncan Weldon

@duncanweldon.bsky.social

Economics writer. Author. Expect history, economics, finance and other stuff. Wrote Two Hundred Years of Muddling Through. Blood and Treasure, on the economics of war, out now.

19,515 Followers  |  1,455 Following  |  2,973 Posts  |  Joined: 12.11.2024  |  2.3512

Latest posts by duncanweldon.bsky.social on Bluesky

Genuinely great.

03.08.2025 20:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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β€˜Knives out’: Switzerland descends into blame game after US tariff shock President Karin Keller-Sutter under fire for failed trade talks with Trump administration

Fascinating piece this on Switzerland's blame game now that Toblerones face higher tariffs than the Taliban.

03.08.2025 18:48 β€” πŸ‘ 104    πŸ” 17    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 3

Yes.
I do find it odd that we’ve spent 15 plus miserable years living with the grim consequences of low productivity growth whilst fretting about the potential impacts of faster productivity growth.

03.08.2025 16:57 β€” πŸ‘ 26    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

Pacing the dressing room. Practicing one handed batting.

03.08.2025 16:18 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

No one wants to see Smith do well here more than Woakes.

03.08.2025 16:17 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

TV back on the Test after my wife insisted on the Hungarian GP and I was left following on the BBC site for two hours.

03.08.2025 15:39 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

What a Test series this has been.

03.08.2025 14:59 β€” πŸ‘ 32    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you!

03.08.2025 11:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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JR "Blood and Treasure" by @duncanweldon.bsky.social. Engaging, well written account of 1000 years of conflict and the changing incentives behind it. Mr Weldon knows his military history and his economics and writes an excellent book.

03.08.2025 11:33 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Can Test cricket survive a sticky wicket? A journalist goes out to bat for the five-day format

Excellent review of Tim Wigmore’s history of Test cricket.

Read it myself on Kindle and bought a hardback for my dad this week.

Highly recommended.

www.economist.com/culture/2025...

03.08.2025 11:23 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I’ve never especially rated Ollie Pope. And saying this publicly is probably the best way to guarantee that he hits 150 today.

03.08.2025 11:09 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

Always seems to be. Exceptionally well stocked range of paint.

03.08.2025 10:42 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Satire, obviously.
On the other hand - 3 new wargaming cafes/shops have opened over the past 12 months in central-ish London. And I was in Stevenage last week and noted 3 within a 5 minute walk of each other in the centre.
And then there’s this:

03.08.2025 08:18 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Geekification of British men almost complete, announces Games Workshop GAMES Workshop has announced its profits are up by a third and its transformation of Britain into a nation of geeks nears completion.

www.thedailymash.co.uk/news/busines...

03.08.2025 08:15 β€” πŸ‘ 65    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 1

Exactly. If I just want some facts I can read the wiki on The Report from Iron Mountain.
The desire for facts isn’t why I read a book.

03.08.2025 07:40 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

My agent does fiction as well. Her view (last time I asked) was that AI couldn’t yet produce anything she could sell but it can produce to a quality very like many of the submissions she receives.

03.08.2025 07:38 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

And *good* fiction writing by AI still feels even further away.

03.08.2025 07:33 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

As someone who is paid to write words I’ve obviously thought a fair bit about this.
And it sort of depends on what you want?
Hallucinations aside, AI is getting v good at providing factual information in written form. But there’s more to non-fiction writing than that.

03.08.2025 07:32 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
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Will AI put fiction writers out of work? Authors Naomi Alderman, Curtis Sittenfeld and more on why artificial intelligence is stirring fears for the future of book publishing

This is an interesting piece

www.ft.com/content/7ce8...

03.08.2025 07:28 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

Green Haze. Which is sort of 7/10 for effort.

02.08.2025 18:33 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

β€œWhy are you wearing that?”
Not the ideal reaction to a *checks notes* 25 year old Placebo t-shirt.

02.08.2025 18:30 β€” πŸ‘ 26    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

Shush

02.08.2025 18:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Well, I thought 50-0 at the end of the day would set England up nicely. Now telling myself 50-1 isn’t really all that different.

02.08.2025 18:08 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Yeah. Feels a big ask now.
On the one hand I’d love to see England do this. On the other hand, a 2-2 series probably feels fairer than a 3-1 one.

02.08.2025 16:49 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Great Indian innings. Again.

02.08.2025 16:45 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0

She’ll probably complain about everyone being really old. And this will be fair.

02.08.2025 13:01 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Taking the eldest to a Green Day tribute act tonight. Which is her first proper gig.
Will I be allowed to dance though?

02.08.2025 12:48 β€” πŸ‘ 46    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 0

Britain has somehow managed to have low quality labour market data without even trying to.

01.08.2025 20:27 β€” πŸ‘ 94    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 1

No.

01.08.2025 18:16 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

If you'd asked 100 trade policy experts in March which two countries would have the largest US tariffs on the first day of August, I don't think many would have said "Switzerland and Brazil."

Truly the @alanbeattie.bsky.social observation holds: "It's Trump's trade policy, no one knows anything."

01.08.2025 14:54 β€” πŸ‘ 127    πŸ” 31    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1

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