Michael Tobis (mt)'s Avatar

Michael Tobis (mt)

@mtobis.bsky.social

PhD atmospheric/oceanic sciences 1996 but a bit rusty. Opinionated. Main topics: climate, sustainability, Canada, AI and ML, journalism. Also: roots music, art, healthy plant-based food. Please think like a planet! https://initforthegold.blogspot.com

3,279 Followers  |  2,178 Following  |  2,126 Posts  |  Joined: 26.10.2023  |  2.0446

Latest posts by mtobis.bsky.social on Bluesky

Novelty is not an important factor in most reading.

Used book stores are your friend.

08.02.2026 16:35 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

There are a lot of great books that were published before β€œAI”. Read those.

Bonus: you can find copies that fit in your pocket and save your battery life.

Reading an old Samuel Delaney novel and a historical biography of Lucretia Borgia in pulp paperback format at the moment.

08.02.2026 16:33 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Worthwhile thread; a climate / AI connection that is new to me.

07.02.2026 22:51 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Petition e-7148 - Petitions

Bruce Fanjoy has launched a petition to require all federal party leaders to obtain and maintain top security clearance.

It's open for a couple of months.
www.ourcommons.ca/petitions/en...

06.02.2026 21:04 β€” πŸ‘ 584    πŸ” 343    πŸ’¬ 50    πŸ“Œ 88
The Doobie Brothers - Long Train Running (official video)
YouTube video by kuklinski987 The Doobie Brothers - Long Train Running (official video)

youtu.be/m4tJSn0QtME?...

05.02.2026 01:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Person: say, i am alive.

Computer: I am alive.

Person: oh my god.

Person: say, i am alive. Computer: I am alive. Person: oh my god.

01.02.2026 23:48 β€” πŸ‘ 22536    πŸ” 4963    πŸ’¬ 82    πŸ“Œ 127

#graphicdujour

31.01.2026 04:04 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

witchcraft

31.01.2026 01:54 β€” πŸ‘ 87    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Mark Carney's Net-Favourables:

🟒 All: +24%

🟒ATL: +42%
🟒QC: +40%
🟒BC: +27%
🟒ON: +18%
🟒AB: +7%
🟒SK/MB: +5%

🟒Women: +25%
🟒Men: +22%

🟒18-29 Year Olds: +32%
🟒30-44 Year Olds: +9%
🟒45-59 Year Olds: +19%
🟒60+ And Older: +34%

Abacus Data / Jan 27, 2026

30.01.2026 21:37 β€” πŸ‘ 174    πŸ” 43    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 35
Preview
Trump Administration Restarts Key Permitting Process for Wind Farms The administration has lifted its ban on issuing permits for incidental harm to protected eagles while also pursuing enforcement actions β€” including against operators that reported bird deaths volunta...

After a lawsuit was filed in late December by the renewable energy sector, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service wiped references to the ban from government websites and is now once again sending wind farms what were once routine permits, I can confirm

30.01.2026 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 40    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
A Secret Panel to Question Climate Science Was Unlawful, Judge Rules

"A federal judge on Friday ruled the Energy Department violated the law when Secretary Chris Wright handpicked five researchers who reject the scientific consensus on climate change to work in secret on a sweeping government report on global warming."

Gift link.

30.01.2026 21:57 β€” πŸ‘ 239    πŸ” 116    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 10

I came here to say this! ☝️

People of the world take note: If your "leaders" don't have a sense of humour, do not vote for them.

30.01.2026 04:27 β€” πŸ‘ 22    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

🀣 PM Mark Carney at the Canadian Media Industry event re Hudson Williams #Canada 🍁

30.01.2026 02:32 β€” πŸ‘ 273    πŸ” 83    πŸ’¬ 29    πŸ“Œ 20

Dear climate scientist friends, would anyone care to check out slides 17-22 in the link below and give me a quick gut check on a very simple climate model aimed at conveying the basics to engineering students? Interested in any feedback folks may have.

29.01.2026 00:58 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1

It would take a lot of work as some of the points are well outside my expertise.

27.01.2026 20:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I have made this exact point myself.

I’m not trying to defend the documentary, just encouraging people to offer evidence when they reject nonsense.

Just saying it’s nonsense comes across as arrogant, arguing from authority. It’s tricky to be actually helpful in the face of pseudoscience.

27.01.2026 19:02 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I am unfamiliar with the material and would appreciate a link.

27.01.2026 14:43 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

It would be useful if you provided a brief rebuttal of the other points as well. Thanks.

27.01.2026 14:37 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I think single event attribution is not a good use of our attentions. It’s easy to see why people are always looking for a simple cause/effect when something unusually disruptive occurs.

But in the end the circumstances call for more resilience, regardless of causes of individual disasters.

24.01.2026 01:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is just confirmation bias vs confirmation bias. The actual science can vary a lot on attribution and attribution confidence from one event to another. In the end it’s just the wrong question, though.

The stable climate of the past is over. We have to expect the unexpected.

24.01.2026 01:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I don’t know as this needs a conspiracy to explain..

We will never see another major natural disaster without this debate β€œexactly as predicted by all-seeing scientists” bs β€œobviously completely normal”.

People have blamed volcanoes on climate change! Others have denied any link to forest fires!

24.01.2026 01:26 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

On the whole I’m more interested in the adaptation events that the post-storm week will reveal.

This could be memorable, even historic. Big recovery problems are a realistic scenario to be concerned about.

24.01.2026 00:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Cold outbreak/ disrupted jetstream? Not necessarily more likely in a changed climate. Disputed among experts. Tired of seeing this posed as consensus.

More moisture available to exacerbate the clash of airmasses? Yes. Clearly exacerbated by climate change.

So, a complicated climatological story.

24.01.2026 00:05 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

If this storm is as severe and consequential as people are suggesting, the recovery process will depend to a considerable extent on the capacities and resources of the US federal government.

Watching with interest.

Wishing the many affected people good luck and strength.

23.01.2026 23:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

That is not how it works. The seasons don’t have momentum or anything comparable.

23.01.2026 23:14 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Definitely not. Possibly more arctic outbreaks though the evidence is not compelling. But winters are unambiguously warming up, largely due to ice albedo feedback.

23.01.2026 23:13 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

No. There’s no consensus on whether this is a real trend and if so why. The evidence is thin.

(No I’m not a denier. I’ve been trying to call attentoon to climate disruption since around 1990.)

Of all people, you should be representing the science correctly!

23.01.2026 23:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Adults: I may not love Carney, but that was a pretty darn respectable speech.

Brian Lilley: He didn't even praise Trump or eat an apple loudly!

21.01.2026 13:33 β€” πŸ‘ 393    πŸ” 51    πŸ’¬ 36    πŸ“Œ 1

The UK government has quietly released a report entitled
"Global biodiversity loss, ecosystem collapse and national security"

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/696e0e...

Notable for Canada: a "realistic possibility of collapse" of the Canadian boreal forest ecosystem starting as soon as 2030

21.01.2026 17:57 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
The Guardian view on adapting to the climate crisis: it demands political honesty about extreme weather | Editorial Editorial: Over the holiday period, the Guardian leader column is looking ahead at the themes of 2026. Today we look at how the struggle to adapt to a dangerously warming world has become a test of gl...

Powerful Guardian editorial on urgent need for #climate adaptation & for β€œreal plans, real finance, real justice”. And good to see shout out to work of @climatemajority.bsky.social & GlacierTrust showing adaptation as both essential in itself & as a spur to greater decarbonisationπŸ‘‡

27.12.2025 17:26 β€” πŸ‘ 183    πŸ” 74    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 3

@mtobis is following 20 prominent accounts