Great new paper in The Review of Economic Studies using randomized incentives to detect non-response bias, using administrative data to provide ground truth for comparison. While incentives increased participation, they didn't reliably reduce NR bias
academic.oup.com/restud/advan...
Redistricting Reforms Reduce Gerrymandering by Constraining Partisan Actors is now forthcoming in the APSR!
We use a game theoretic treatment and continuous DiD(iD) to show when redistricting reforms work
with @corymccartan.com, @simko.bsky.social, Emma Ebowe, Michael Zhao, and Kosuke Imai
New w/@scottclifford.bsky.social.
Lots of work uses agree-disagree scales, and a lit review shows these are 1) frequently just measured in one direction (agree = higher trait) and 2) correlated with each other.
This has potentially big issues for conclusions.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
if you are still on Twitter/X and get any suscpicious DMs from the person who hacked me, can you let me know?
21.02.2026 19:34 — 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0If my email was hacked, I wouldn't stop using email.
21.02.2026 17:20 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
My Twitter/X account was hacked.
Like an idiot, I fell for a phishing scam.
Until further notice, anything from that account is not from me.
a graph showing how LLMs do or do not p-hack
While LLMs will try to follow good research practices by default, you can pretty easily convince them to p-hack for you. In one case (out of the 4 tested), the LLM moved the result from p > 0.05 to p < 0.001. github.com/janetmalzahn...
19.02.2026 19:10 — 👍 32 🔁 13 💬 1 📌 3"Do virtual museums highlighting the experiences of minorities persuade visitors? Evidence from a study on bias toward Asian Americans"
14.02.2026 15:35 — 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
"Do virtual museums highlighting the experiences of minorities persuade visitors? Evidence from a study on bias toward Asian Americans"
This is a work in progress, so feedback is welcome!
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Bottom line: Exposure to historically grounded, perspective-taking content can meaningfully shift what people know—and, to a lesser extent, what they believe—about Asian Americans.
More to come!
• Despite its light touch, the exhibit still modestly improved attitudes toward Asian Americans
• Effects are concentrated among Democrats and those low in racial resentment
• There is no evidence of backlash or spillovers in views towards unrelated groups.
We find that:
• The 20 minute exhibit substantially increased factual knowledge about Chinese American history
We ran a preregistered experiment testing the effects of attending a virtual Museum of Chinese in America exhibit on Americans’ knowledge and attitudes.
13.02.2026 21:25 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
The exhibit took about 20 mins and covered historical and contemporary information about the hurdles that Asians face and their broader contributions to society.
13.02.2026 21:25 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
This paper is the first in a series of papers we'll be releasing on this subject.
We partnered with the Museum of Chinese in America to test the effects of attending a virtual museum exhibit that exposed people to the lived experiences and history of the Chinese diaspora in the United States.
Asian Americans have long histories of violence, discrimination, & exclusion.
Much of this behavior is poorly understood. The literature on discrimination against other racial groups is much larger than the literature on anti-Asian animus.
A group of my coauthors and I are trying to fill that gap.
Some journals are now requesting reviewers affirm that they did not upload manuscripts into AI platforms.
12.02.2026 16:52 — 👍 29 🔁 2 💬 3 📌 3Political science is so broken.
11.02.2026 21:59 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0This is infuriating.
11.02.2026 18:18 — 👍 24 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0indeed!
06.02.2026 18:32 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Love the research process; hate the publication process
05.02.2026 16:23 — 👍 49 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 0
How rich is Elon?
I'm closer in net worth to Larry Page than Larry Page is to Elon.
I'm reporting on a paper released.
My personal information is not relevant.
The authors also demonstrate that welfare policies can moderate the increase of cancer-related crime shocks.
"Adequately funded safety net programs may generate benefits beyond their direct recipients by reducing the negative spillovers that health shocks impose on broader society."
"The hidden social costs of cancer
A Danish study shows that an adverse health shock increases the chances of criminal behavior."
t.co/Uw1axAfrLu
"Breaking Bad: How Health Shocks Prompt Crime"
t.co/mO1U61UXGJ
Why?
The authors provide two reasons:
First, economic strains leads individuals to compensate for their loss of legal revenues with illegal earnings.
Second, cancer patients face lower expected cost of punishment through a lower survival probability.
Wow!
But it doesn't stay down for long.
Two years later, people's involvement in crime increases and stays high.
In the graph, the cancer diagnosis is the vertical dashed grey line. To the left is before the diagnosis; to the right is afterward.
At first, leading up to a cancer diagnosis there's no spike in crime.
When someone is diagnosed with cancer, their crime declines rapidly.
Look at how being diagnosed with cancer impacts people's involvement in crime!
04.02.2026 18:45 — 👍 119 🔁 41 💬 11 📌 28