Guy Grossman

A paramilitary militia intensely loyal to, and reporting directly to, the president. A thousand red flags for Nov 2026.

* Over that period, immigrants created a cumulative fiscal surplus of $14.5 trillion in real 2024 US dollars, including $3.9 trillion in savings on interest on the debt.

* Without immigrants, the US government's public debt at all levels would be nearly twice its 2023 level.

Immigrants’ Recent Effects on Government Budgets: 1994–2023 Our analysis in this paper shows that immigrants generated a fiscal surplus of about $14.5 trillion from 1994 to 2023, that the average immigrant is much less costly than the average US-born American,...

It's not every day that I link to a CATO publication, but this one is truly important.

www.cato.org/white-paper/...
Some highlights:

* For each year from 1994 to 2023, the US immigrant population generated more in taxes than they received in benefits from all levels of government.

They are looking for ways to solve the problem of low trust in the election that they themselves created by pushing a fictional conspiracy theory they began believing in because not believing in the conspiracy would cost them their political career.

I've been writing co-authored papers using Overleaf forever. Switching everyone away is such a pain. bit will look into this. Thanks!

Bob - What are the main benefits? There are costs to switch a typset.

The UK government is in crisis mode over Mandelson's appointment. In the USA, almost the entire cabinet had ties to Epstein, and there's far less pressure on Trump.

Bit, Yes, I paid my own license because Penn has already group license for GitHub copilot. But if there will be pressure to adopt Claude , Penn will eventually facilitate that.

For sure there will be a growing expectation form donors, and perhaps co-authors, that projects move much faster. And they would. For most type of analysis that social scientists perform , Claude code already is up for the task.

Claude code will inevitably reduce dramatically the hiring of undergraduate RAs which will further increase the gap between what students are taught and how we conduct research.

The country is so messed up that many who love football will turn off at halftime to reduce Bad Bunny's rating, and many who couldn't care less about the game will tune in as an act of political solidarity.

My campaign faces its first test: qualifying for the ballot.

From my work on gerrymandering, I know that New Jersey politicians play rough. To beat their games, I need at least 1,000 signatures from Democrats and unaffiliated voters in the 12th District. To help, sign up at SamForNJ.org - or DM me!

Thanks, Luke !

Opinion | The Globalization of Canadian Rage

The Globalization of Canadian Rage www.nytimes.com/2026/02/06/o...

I can't imagine how it feels to fully commit yourself to a political movement knowing deep down that your leader is truly an insufferable piece of shit.

Path breaking research is risky. Without tenure researchers will only play it safe and we will have fewer inventions and treatments.

I have been driving an EV for 7 years. I agree that people are worried too much about range-and but enough about charging infrastructure.

Also - Prosecuting someone who did break the law should not “up to the president “

Opinion | I’m the Prime Minister of Spain. This Is Why the West Needs Migrants.

wow.

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/04/o...

Trump's constant degradation of female reporters is unsurprising but the press corps' collective decision to treat it as background noise is actually kind of sickening

exactly.

They really can't seem to find a langauge that neets the moment. Now "nationalization of election" may be problematic because it makes AG worried the federal government is hostile to THEIR work.

Wow. Thank you for stepping up. Good luck!

They can do that, or... "nationalize the election administration in 15 states."

Hive minds: I'm looking for working papers recommendations on the politics of deforestation. THANKS.

The authors "estimate that by 2025, the Brexit process had reduced UK GDP per capita by 6 to 8 percent, investment by 12 to 18 percent, employment by 3 to 4 percent, and productivity by 3 to 4 percent. These effects grew gradually over time." www.nber.org/202602/diges...

What a total disaster... 🇪🇺🇬🇧

In which the @nytimes.com seems to suggest that Trump is cracking down on fraud when targeting his opponents.

Even @washingtonpost.com's lede is better than the @nytimes.com's.

Also, why is take over in quotation marks? He literally wants his administration to manage the elections in blue states.

The worst form of journalism today is stating a fact about something outlandish or dangerous that Trump said or did in the lede without context /implications to the health of our democracy.