James Steele

Day 22 down... We're up to 371.4 miles covered so far heading into final week of February.

Feels like this week is the final sprint!

Donate here and let's see if we can get to the £2000 target!

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猫の日おめでとう

(Happy Cat Day 22/2)

Nyan Nyan Nyan!

www.justgiving.com/page/james-s...

Day 21 down... Ended up running late with monthly Geek Day so not wanting to spend 3 hours walking home at 11pm in the rain opted for a lift home.

Donate here: www.justgiving.com/page/james-s...

Also saw some big red maned kitties en route 🦁 Breaking in the walking boots last week plus rewaxing them meant for the walk in they were in good shape for today too!

Keep me going by donating here: www.justgiving.com/page/james-s...

Day 20 and we're back baby! 😻 Throat is a little tickly still but otherwise feel great (the contrast from being unwell and going back to normal always makes normal feel so nice 😅). Got some good mileage today walking back into my old university to deliver a guest session for the masters students.

Nice succinct pre-print from a stellar cast:

"The state and status of theory in psychological science"

osf.io/preprints/ps...

The conference and everyone there has reinvigorated me to want to make something of the work I put into it, so I'll do that alongside revising chapter 1 of our textbook (current version here: sportrxiv.org/index.php/se...).

FYI #PSE8 folks... will likely get to this next month after all the walking and fundraising for Cats Protection is finished up and I have a bit of free time!

Day 19... And at least we got a few miles in as compared to yesterday. Feeling alot better and hopefully another good night sleep and will be back near enough to 100% tomorrow 🙏

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Ended up taking all of yesterday to rest... Still feeling rough today, albeit maybe a little bit better.

Will see how the day goes as to whether I'll walk later on but don't want to make things worse 🥲

If anything the rest will be good for the shin splints creeping in, but will mean I probably won't hit the 500 mile mark with a day lost 🥲

But annoyingly my throat started feeling scratchy last night and this morning I have woken up feeling rough as hell. Ended up deciding that staying in bed might be the best idea this morning but will see how I am feeling through the day and try to get on the treadmill maybe later on...

Day 17 down and hit the 300 mile mark yesterday!

Donate here: www.justgiving.com/page/james-s...

Day 16... Back to the long ones!

Please keep the support for me and @catsprotection.bsky.social coming 🙏

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In this post, Gelman gives 4 "sources" or "types" of priors.

Can anyone shed some light in the 4th type? "Prior as unconditional distribution"

#stats

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/05/21/p...

Hmm I'm interested too... full generative model implies to me some theory and I've been grappling with how priors would work in the context of strong theory testing. To my mind the prior in that case would be what the theory predicts, and an attempt to falsify would be based on posterior:prior.

Anyway, in case anyone else is in a position where they lead such modules/units/classes and may want to give it a try, the proposal which I presented at an internal conference is available here: osf.io/387hk/overview

2/2

I was reminded last week whilst chatting at #PSE8 of the changes I had planned to make to the undergraduate dissertation module in an effort to promote learning about reproducibility, replicability, and transparency (but unfortunately never got to implement before leaving academia).

1/2

"What cat were you provided with in the Armed Forces of Ukraine?"

Ukrainian Defenders share photos with their cats on the front line

📷: hermano.dh_ /fanatic_oleg / sylenko_ju / dr_karpiuk /nemetz_82 /leonia_veremeyenko / markus_panda / shwainokaras /viktortrofymenko / stalnytskanata /edelweiss_ua/

Day 15... Apple Health definitely shafted me today... Morning walk alone was 7.3 miles when I mapped it out (from Trinity College to Papal Cross and back). Been the most obvious discrepancy in distance covered Vs recorded (others have been maybe up to a mile but today I think I'm missing 3-4 miles).

Not my field but for what it's worth my prior would be incredibly low. From what I have seen in other fields including my own, even though acute physiological outcomes can most certainly produce large effects by time of day, most longitudinal outcomes seem largely unaffected or effects are tiny.

No way... That's so cool you're friends with his great grandson. Apparently his plaque is now in storage after a refurb, but this is now hanging in the Velvet Room at the Guinness Storehouse alongside Arthur Guinness himself. So I'd say that's pretty cool!

Student

Day 14 down... We just tipped over the halfway point to 500 miles today bang on time. At a total of 252.3 miles now.

Donate here for the kitties: www.justgiving.com/page/james-s...

@catsprotection.bsky.social

I think something he mentioned in his recent Causal Bandits podcast with Richard Hahn convinced me of that view tbf, though I may be off base too 😅

From what I can glean from Senn is that he leans towards the view of generalisability I presented the other day i.e. that it's a matter of whether your theory has broad boundaries and extends to certain populations (and of course is well corroborated in this regard).

Tbh I think more should be recorded whilst on the move... My best ideas usually come whilst walking 😊

It was really cool to see someone else other than me had used Ben's ConjointChecks package!

Oh for sure... Was just following the general comment, not making any statement about the paper specifically. And alot of the time industry and elsewhere do still play in the academic arena so topics like this can be relevant even if broader discussion and suggestions are typically academia centric.

I find myself constantly highlighting to folks in metascience the need to consider the context outside the academy... As far back as 2018 I remember asking about it at a conference after a talk that was very academia focused and at the time I was straddling that and a not for profit org.