Though the gap between prediction rhetoric and achievment is widespread in science - serious and otherwise.
11.11.2025 07:20 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0@bruceedmonds.bsky.social
Interested in too many things for his own good, but including: policy<->analyst interface, thinking skills, social simulation, philosophy of modelling, understanding political change, policy modelling. More at:http://cfpm.org. ORCID:0000-0002-3903-2507
Though the gap between prediction rhetoric and achievment is widespread in science - serious and otherwise.
11.11.2025 07:20 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0promiscuous associativity? This has the advantage of sounding clumsy and so might be taken up by philosophers ;-)
08.11.2025 09:48 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Maybe not a "pangloss journal"... but "Pangloss Reports" probably has a future π
04.11.2025 12:16 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Mind you, simplistic discussion of the economy is endemic among politicians - rather like arguing over how to fix a complicated engine by pressing the brake or the accelerator :-/
21.10.2025 14:03 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0He got there, finally with health care... βNobody knew health care could be so complicatedβ. He just needs some time to learn via trial and error.
21.10.2025 14:01 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0new one developing...
- avoiding the spend/tax trade-off by growing the economy
Course at: www.futurelearn.com/courses/peop...
Project and other materials at: actiss-edu.eu
With an increasingly turbulent society, the demand for social scientists who are capable of understanding and analysing what is happening using computational methods is rising. New free online course on polarisation! Good tonic for the times. Available to all. www.youtube.com/watch?v=6vmV...
16.10.2025 08:09 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0OK, but the categorisation by YouGov might be who they last voted for and their opinion based on the current policies/rhetoric. That is reasonable
01.10.2025 10:09 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Post by Thorid Wagenblast, Nick Roxburgh and Alessandro Taberna on "Modelling Deep Structural Change in ABSS" #abm #socialsimulation #rofasss
08.08.2025 09:20 β π 0 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0Sorry, what has considering competence have to do with registering failed predictions? Are you thinking about a particular incident here?
22.07.2025 08:16 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Countries trusting each other and cooperating.... nah!
10.07.2025 12:51 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Slides from my talk at the WUR Resilience summer school in the NL: the file "ABM_and_assessing_SES_resilience.pdf" at cfpm.org/slides/
01.07.2025 06:39 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0...I have a few questions about your Chicago model... ;-)
01.07.2025 05:56 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Only seems to be the cover and front matter to me, unless I am doing something wrong.
18.06.2025 08:22 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
PNAS continues to have low standards as to title hype
"Make some noise! Why agent-based modelers should embrace the power of randomness" by Peter Steiglechner and Marijn Keijzer on why testing your model with randomness is vital. #RofASSS #ABM #noise #randomness #robustness #socialsimulation #taxonomy #simulation #science #method #agent-based
31.05.2025 08:16 β π 3 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0A litmus test? Is your humour acid or alkali? ;-)
24.05.2025 08:12 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0The slides from my talk at NORCE, Kristiansand are at cfpm.org/slides (The cartoon, by Justin Bilicki, was the winner of the UCS Science Idol political cartoon contest in 2008).
24.05.2025 08:11 β π 3 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0True, I was thinking of European countries with more of a safety net.
14.05.2025 16:36 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Surely, we are already post-scarcity in developed countries. This is what it is like... we find other things to worry about and compete for (e.g. status)
12.05.2025 19:12 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0This week on Wonkhe: Dale Munday makes the case for participatory, adaptive, and evidence-based approaches to ensure new policies work when implemented
10.05.2025 12:00 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0Author-Paid PublicationFees Corrupt Science and Should Be Abandoned Thomas J. H Morgan & Paul E. Smaldino
As grant money starts drying up, it's more important than ever not to waste it on paying publishers' open access "article processing fees" when we can host PDFs for free. Tom Morgan and I wrote a paper on this, forthcoming at Science and Public Policy. Accepted draft here: osf.io/preprints/os...
09.05.2025 17:26 β π 397 π 134 π¬ 9 π 18Social Simulation Fest 2025: Free Registration
Our friends at ESSA have invited CSSSA for a joint session! For more details, see: www.socsimfest.eu (www.socsimfest.eu)
I had a (deliberately funny) acknowledgement from a colleague on the lines of "we wish to thank... for their helpful comments and guidance. Needless to say none of these are responsible for any mistakes in the paper. I would also like to thank Bruce Edmonds" :-D
07.05.2025 10:20 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Not the novel then? π
16.03.2025 18:14 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0ICYMI we're calling for evidence for the new Independent Commission on Community & Cohesion.
If you have insights, experiences, or ideas about how we can build more connected, cohesive and resilient communities, we want to hear from you.
www.livingwelltogether.org.uk/call-for-evi...