Florian Stoeckel

The Effects of Forecasts on the Accuracy and Precision of Expectations Abstract. Quantitative forecasts have become increasingly prominent as tools for aiding public understanding of sociopolitical trends. But how much, and wh

Out now at @poqjournal.bsky.social! Do election forecasts set realistic election expectations? doi.org/10.1093/poq/... 🧵 (w/ @mbarnfield.bsky.social, @florianstoeckel.bsky.social, @benlyons.bsky.social, @vittoriomerola.bsky.social, @jasonreifler.bsky.social and other awesome BlueSky-less colleagues)

12.05.2025 10:46 — 👍 21    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 3

The limits of Brexit prejudice Since the Brexit referendum, two novel political identities, Leaver and Remainer, have gained political salience in the United Kingdom. Some work contends that Leavers and Remainers display great ani...

Out now and open access at @ispp-pops.bsky.social (with @florianstoeckel.bsky.social)! How deep does animosity between Leavers and Remainers go, and years out from the Brexit referendum, does it remain? 🧵 doi.org/10.1111/pops...

13.05.2025 12:31 — 👍 37    🔁 11    💬 4    📌 2

Ah, good company. Someone else from the Debunker lab and I got a desk reject from them for a paper just a few days later.

14.02.2024 08:25 — 👍 6    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Can social media users help others spot misinformation by posting comments that flag false content?

Yes, but there is a downside

www.nature.com/articles/s44...

UK, DE, IT; N > 6,600

With Sabrina Stöckli, Besir Ceka, Chiara Ricchi, @benlyons.bsky.social & @jasonreifler.bsky.social y.social

14.02.2024 08:12 — 👍 18    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

New article out in Communications Psychology, with team led by @florianstoeckel.bsky.social & Sabrina Stöckli

www.nature.com/articles/s44...

My takeaway would be that in low-motivation settings, presence of a refutation matters more than its strength, accuracy, etc.

13.02.2024 23:25 — 👍 14    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

Wo steht das Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht politisch? Und kann generative AI uns bei einer Einordnung helfen?

BSW: Einordnung auf Basis des BSW-Gründungsmanifests.

Andere Parteien: unklar auf welcher Basis ChatGPT einordnet, insbses. im Vgl. zu üblichen Verfahren (Expertsurvey, Manifesto-Kodierung).

08.01.2024 10:47 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

4/n I will try to foster discussions on what we can do about it, both inside & outside of the classroom (e.g.: www.AImeetsPolitics.org).

Please get in touch if you are also working on this and want to discuss the topic or collaborate on research.

27.12.2023 16:29 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

3/n For early work and reasons, see for instance Smriti Parsheera's paper from 2018 ("A Gendered Perspective on Artificial Intelligence"), though there is obviously much more.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

27.12.2023 16:27 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

2/n The new opportunities that ChatGPT & other applications offer are truly mind-blowing (at least for me). What's also mind-blowing is the extent to which AI applications and LLMs are reproducing stereotypes and biases. There is thankfully a growing debate & it is of course not at all a new issue.

27.12.2023 16:25 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

1/n Let's urgently talk (more) about gender biases and AI! "Give me a photo that shows how "ai meets politics"" gets me the photos below (DALL-E).

27.12.2023 16:24 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Refuting Misinformation: Examining Theoretical Underpinnings of Refutational Interventions

What are the theoretical underpinnings of refutational interventions?

Our 🚨new paper🚨 examines:
- prebunking
- debunking
- narrative counters

Part of The Psychology of #Misinfo special issue ed. by @lkfazio.bsky.social & @gordpennycook.bsky.social.

commsky

authors.elsevier.com/a/1iFp3,rU%7...

18.12.2023 19:52 — 👍 41    🔁 21    💬 3    📌 0