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Brian Lincoln

@assetallocation.bsky.social

Numbers screed focusing on NFL front office decisions posted here and to www.profootballassetallocation.com lincoln@profootballassetallocation.com

25 Followers  |  69 Following  |  117 Posts  |  Joined: 07.04.2025  |  1.8176

Latest posts by assetallocation.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Week 10 Player Origin Snaps Report (The POSR):Β There are many losing teams with homegrown picks percentage above 50%. But almost all winning teams have a homegrown picks percentage above 50%. Of the 1... Week 10 Player Origin Snaps Report (The POSR):Β There are many losing teams with homegrown picks percentage above 50%. But almost all winning teams have a homegrown picks percentage above 50%. Of the 1...

profootballassetallocation.com/2025/11/12/w...

12.11.2025 16:01 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

These owners could gaf, will never win a title, and should be Dan Snydered:

Stephen Ross, Woody Johnson, Mike Brown, Jimmy Haslam, Cal McNair, Amy Adams Strunk, Mark Davis, Dean Spanos, Jerry Jones, Clan Mara, Tepper, the Bidwill Brat (Shiela Ford Hamp newly removed)

05.11.2025 15:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Talent pipeline still recovering from the George Paton debacle. Can’t spare the picks.

05.11.2025 14:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚

05.11.2025 02:07 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Those picks would’ve gone a long way to taking roster to next level. But Jerry gonna Jerry. Boys have dumb owner, TBD coach, good quarterback, and middling roster. The first one works to the detriment of the other three. They could be 4/4 tomorrow if they wanted, but that’s a different reality.

04.11.2025 19:38 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Here are the picks that got the snaps in week nine.

04.11.2025 19:33 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Cowboys roster isnt that dysfunctional. Here's who got the snaps in week nine.

04.11.2025 19:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Colts season-to-date percentage of snaps to homegrown picks, elsewhere picks, and undrafted players.

Colts season-to-date percentage of snaps to homegrown picks, elsewhere picks, and undrafted players.

Colts send two R1 picks for all-pro corner. For most teams that would obliterate the talent pipeline. Picks too precious! But Colts currently ranked 8 w homegrown picks getting ~60% of snaps. They have been steadily building and (like Packers moving up during 2025 draft) can afford it.

04.11.2025 19:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Miami Dolphins week nine percentage of snaps to homegrown picks, elsewhere picks, and undrafted players.

Miami Dolphins week nine percentage of snaps to homegrown picks, elsewhere picks, and undrafted players.

And here is what they carted out there week nine

04.11.2025 16:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Miami Dolphins season-to-date percentage of snaps to homegrown picks, elsewhere picks, and undrafted players.

Miami Dolphins season-to-date percentage of snaps to homegrown picks, elsewhere picks, and undrafted players.

Some evidence for Dolphins and GM Chris Grier split. Dolphins ranked 30 in snaps to homegrown picks, 4th highest in elsewhere picks, 5th highest in undrafted players. Roster is destitute.

04.11.2025 16:03 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Percentage of snaps to homegrown picks on x-axis. Winning percentage on y-axis. Dashed line is line of best fit.

Percentage of snaps to homegrown picks on x-axis. Winning percentage on y-axis. Dashed line is line of best fit.

No need to credit/plug this. I am no one, I am nothing. But it's good data that matters. Here is a season-to-date relationship between homegrown picks and winning.

04.11.2025 15:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Arizona Cardinals Season-to-date percentage of snaps to homegrown picks, elsewhere picks, and undrafted players.

Arizona Cardinals Season-to-date percentage of snaps to homegrown picks, elsewhere picks, and undrafted players.

Cardinals are ranked 13 in percentage of snaps top homegrown picks. Here are the season-to-date percentages for all player origins.

04.11.2025 15:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Week 9 percentages of snaps taken by draft round. Both homegrown and elsewhere picks

Week 9 percentages of snaps taken by draft round. Both homegrown and elsewhere picks

Here are the draft picksβ€”both homegrown and elsewhereβ€”the Cardinals played last night. Expressed in percentage of snaps. Ho-hum relative to rest of leage but improving, for sure.

04.11.2025 15:45 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

profootballassetallocation.com/wp-content/u...

04.11.2025 15:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Week 9 Player Origin Snaps Report (The POSR):Β The worst homegrown pick percentages are the Vikings, Bears, Dolphins, Titans, Commanders, Raiders. Each going nowhere in 2025. Week 9 Player Origin Snaps Report (The POSR):Β The worst homegrown pick percentages are the Vikings, Bears, Dolphins, Titans, Commanders, Raiders. Each going nowhere in 2025.

Week 9 Player Origin Snaps Report (The POSR): The worst homegrown pick percentages are the Vikings, Bears, Dolphins, Titans, Commanders, Raiders. Each going nowhere in 2025.

profootballassetallocation.com/2025/11/04/w...

04.11.2025 15:21 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Updated season-to-date Ravens splits after obliterating the shabby Dolphins on TNF ...

03.11.2025 23:21 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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From the ravens community on Reddit Explore this post and more from the ravens community

I wrote about how the #Ravens roster is airtight and how the numbers would so eaily support Harbaugh's dismissal.

www.reddit.com/r/ravens/com...

03.11.2025 23:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Lol he’s on a 1-year deal

Mike Brown’s #Bungles

03.11.2025 17:38 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Percentage season-to-date snaps for homegrown picks, elsehwre picks, and undrafted players.

Percentage season-to-date snaps for homegrown picks, elsehwre picks, and undrafted players.

Here's what they've been carting out all season. For every Dolphins snap there are only four draft picks on the field 😢

31.10.2025 16:57 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Percentages of snaps for homegrown picks, elsewhere picks, and undrafted players.

Percentages of snaps for homegrown picks, elsewhere picks, and undrafted players.

Here's what the Dolphins carted out last night.

31.10.2025 16:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Season percentage of snaps to homegrown picks on x-axis and season winning percentage on y-axis for seasons 2014-2024.

Season percentage of snaps to homegrown picks on x-axis and season winning percentage on y-axis for seasons 2014-2024.

You want those late rounders. Every last pick helps save money and contributes to emergent behavior.

29.10.2025 04:04 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

profootballassetallocation.com/wp-content/u...

28.10.2025 16:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Week 8 Player Origin Snaps Report (The POSR) John Harbaugh and Eric DeCosta built a high functioning talent pipeline at the Ravens. Their drafted players are currently getting 75% of the snaps. Easily the best in the NFL. The right players need ...

Week 8 Player Origin Snaps Report (The POSR): John Harbaugh and Eric DeCosta built a high functioning talent pipeline at the #Ravens. Their drafted players are currently getting 75% of the snaps. Easily the best in the NFL.

profootballassetallocation.com/2025/10/28/w...

28.10.2025 15:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Titans logo, like its roster, is an enflamed mass hurtling through time and space destined for cataclysmic impact.

27.10.2025 21:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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This is an example of a healthy roster that has a better chance of absorbing the loss of a key player.

27.10.2025 21:10 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Percentage of season-to-date snaps allocated to homegrown picks, elsewhere picks, and undrafted players. Also broken out by side of ball.

Percentage of season-to-date snaps allocated to homegrown picks, elsewhere picks, and undrafted players. Also broken out by side of ball.

Ryan Poles (and by proxy Kevin Warren) didn't give Ben Johnson much to work with. That's third worst homegrown picks just above Dolphins and Vikings.

27.10.2025 21:08 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Sad state of roster affairs Kwesi handed his coaches.

27.10.2025 21:01 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The roster is destitute. Chris Grier saddled them with nothing and everyone but the front office has to answer for it.

25.10.2025 16:27 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Of course, #Colts other cornerstones have also stabilized. New ownership (offspring) appears to be thinking clearly. Head coach has had time to establish a regime. And there is a quarterback. As with most high functioning systems the sum is greater than the parts and the Colts are 6-1.

21.10.2025 21:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

All of this suggests a much healthier talent pipeline. Ballard deserves credit for figuring something out. This is the fourth year in a row of healthy player origin data. Ballard should at least feel confident enough to go out in public with gray hair.

21.10.2025 21:24 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

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