Trade Diversion (Jonathan Dingel)

Trade Diversion (Jonathan Dingel)

@tradediversion.bsky.social

Economist at Columbia University. Trade Diversion is a blog about trade & globalization. www.tradediversion.net

7,029 Followers 174 Following 263 Posts Joined Sep 2023
1 day ago

🚨Replication alert🚨
I'm pleased to announce that my replication of Moretti (2021) is now accepted as a comment at AER.

I find ten issues in the paper. My comment focuses on two major problems; in the appendix, I document eight (relatively) minor problems.

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1 day ago
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Bucking stigma, more places turn to factory-built for affordable housing Mobile homes have long been zoned out of cities and suburbs. But with updated designs and a housing shortage, they're increasingly being welcomed as more-affordable starter homes.

www.npr.org/2026/03/13/n...

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3 days ago

I’m so old I remember when Reagan proudly said that what distinguished America was that anyone could become equally an American, regardless of where they had been born.

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1 week ago
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Volkswagen Dealers Revolt Over Plan to Sell a New Brand of SUV Directly to Consumers The latest of several lawsuits seeks to stop the automaker from bypassing dealerships.

Dealers: “We provide an invaluable service the manufacturer can’t replicate…And that’s why we need laws preventing manufacturers from bypassing us.”

It is under-appreciated how strong and malevolent a force car dealers are in US society.

www.wsj.com/business/aut...

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1 week ago
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“.. companies that paid the IEEPA tariffs are entitled to a refund,” said Ted Murphy, a trade lawyer at Sidley Austin. “How that refund gets effectuated? We don’t know. And I would say nobody knows for sure. Which is crazy.”

@financialtimes.com
www.ft.com/content/0315...

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1 week ago
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Beyond bags on sidewalks, there's a huge issue with waste in NYC: massive labor costs for buildings to handle it. 1% of the typical New York City household's income – $75/mo. – goes towards paying to move trash, recycling, and compost just from the building to the curb. Before it's even collected.

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2 weeks ago
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Come on @alanbeattie.bsky.social , don't mince words, tell us what you really think...

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2 weeks ago

We've got beyond the practice of agents wearing masks to outright deception and abuses of trust. The lesson they are teaching the public is to not trust their government.

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2 weeks ago
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Tariffs And Trade Deficits Tariffs: How high? Who pays? And what’s their impact on trade deficits?

Brent Neiman on tariffs and trade deficits with Steve Davis www.hoover.org/research/tar...

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2 weeks ago

“Flexport says their analysis of customs data suggests that the share of trade with China accounted for by Chinese importers of record jumped from 9 per cent before “liberation day” in April 2025 to 20 per cent by the end of the year.”

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2 weeks ago
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"SLOPPINESS": The Trump administration claimed that a man detained by ICE had a criminal convictions for marijuana possession in 2009.

The judge pointed out that the man was 4 years old at the time.
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

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2 weeks ago
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Spatial models calibrated to observed flows suffer overfitting problems in granular settings. @tradediversion.bsky.social & Felix Tintelnot diagnose the problem, show data smoothing performs better, and introduce a finite model to quantify counterfactual uncertainty. buff.ly/rJ8EE0J

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2 weeks ago
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The Supreme Court sends tariffs on a turbulent descent [FREE TO READ] America’s trading partners and US Congress have a chance to claw back some control

My Trade Secrets today on life after the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs.

1. Short of actually tearing up the ridiculous trade "deals" which were based on those tariffs, this would be a great time for other govts and esp the EU to fudge, delay, prevaricate and demand clarity Trump can't give.

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3 weeks ago
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👀The federal judges in West Virginia, where ICE has been pulling over and detaining people on the freeway, are literally screaming about ICE's tactics.

"It is an assault on the constitutional order," Judge Goodwin says. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

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3 weeks ago
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CATO: “.. In short, seven independent research teams have now examined the “who’s paying” question and have reached essentially the same answer: We are.”

@cato.org @scottlincicome.bsky.social
www.cato.org/blog/white-h...

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3 weeks ago

Kevin Hassett condemning an analysis of the incidence of import tariffs that looks at import prices because he says one should also look at quantities. The second exhibit in libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/02/who-is… is titled "China’s Share of U.S. Imports Has Fallen Markedly".

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1 month ago
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Glad this is getting covered, but also… Completely surreal to read the NYT report on this as recently disclosed info, and just an allegation. This happened to every observer I know! It happened to me twice! I have it on video both times! www.nytimes.com/2026/02/13/u...

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1 month ago
It appears that in planning for Operation Metro Surge, the government failed to
plan for the constitutional rights of its civil detainees. The government suggests — with minimal explanation and even less evidence — that doing so would result in "chaos." The Constitution does not permit the government to arrest thousands of individuals and then disregard their constitutional rights because it would be too challenging to honor those rights. 14
At this preliminary stage, Plaintiffs have made a clear showing of likelihood of
success on their Fifth Amendment claim.

BREAKING: Judge Nancy Brasel, a Trump appointee, has issued a TRO in the Minnesota access-to-counsel case about treatment at Whipple.

"It appears that in planning for Operation Metro Surge, the government failed to plan for the constitutional rights of its civil detainees."

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1 month ago
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Every photo from Minneapolis looks like this. Cops decked out with guns and full tac gear facing off against people in bathrobes, parkas, and sweatpants armed only with whistles and cell phones.

Yet every verified MAGA chode on X dutifully calls it a riot or violent insurrection.

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1 month ago

“Collection of Handwritten Letters from Children in Detention Center” sounds like an exhibit in the Holocaust Museum.

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1 month ago

pretty funny that Trump's aides are all too scared to tell him that $18 trillion is batshit crazy

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1 month ago
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a delusional Trump claims "we're taking in more than $18 trillion into the United States because of tariffs. The companies, the only way they can avoid them is to build here. They avoid paying the tariffs. Now they've been doing that."

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1 month ago

#EconSky #DataEditorTips Your results should replicate each time you submit your paper, not only *after* it was accepted. Having your package replicable all the times is going to buy you a lot of time and-more importantly-peace of mind. What if you cannot replicate a result in the accepted version?

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1 month ago

ICE in minneapolis are causing international incidents because agents don’t understand what a consulate is and tried entering ecuador’s

the country has put out a statement in spanish

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1 month ago

CBP chief Bovino has confirmed that the officers who executed Alex Pretti in the street yesterday are not only *not on administrative leave,* they have all been reassigned to other jurisdictions and are all on the street today.

This is totally unheard of for any officer-involved shooting

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1 month ago
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A video of Alex Pretti reading out the final salute of an unnamed veteran he cared for until the end of his life in the ICU, posted to Facebook by his son.

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1 month ago
Alex Pretti from his early days working at the VA

Alex from our time working together, while he was in nursing school. Later, he moved to ICU, working as a nurse to support critically ill Veterans. He had such a great attitude. We’d chat between patients about trying to get in a mountain bike ride together. Will never happen now

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1 month ago

They are so much braver than our leaders and elites.

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1 month ago

The Republican position now appears to be that you have a constitutional right to openly carry a gun in public, unless you do so while expressing a view that the government dislikes, in which case the secret police can shoot you to death on the spot.

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1 month ago
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NEW VIDEO: this appears to be the footage from the woman in the pink coat.

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