Scott Overpeck

#NMwx And if you didn’t get any rain the last 2 weeks with all the moisture then it’s gonna be a while until there’s another chance.

7 day forecast rainfall with 5 plus inches expected for portions of Northern Mexico, Arizona, and Southwest Colorado

Prepping for an uncertain and possibly intense few days. Priscilla and, if it forms, Raymond look to hammer the southwest. My area of responsibility ends with, but includes the Rio Grande. I feel for the forecasters just to my west, but this is too close.

What app or website did you get the data from? Curious.

That's a wrap on the 2025 monsoon season. ~75% of New Mexico ended with near to above average rainfall! Some mountain ranges picked up >20" of rain! Northwest New Mexico missed out on most of the monsoon this year with <50% of their average rainfall.

October 1st, 1890:

The weather service is first identified as a civilian agency when Congress, at the request of President Benjamin Harrison, passes an act transferring the Signal Service’s meteorological responsibilities to the newly created U.S. Weather Bureau in the Department of Agriculture.

Hiked the Tres Volcanoes trail on the west mesa. Could see several storms. The development over the Sandia Mtns was fun. This storm became a severe storm on the east side. #NMwx

My story. Lived 10 years growing up in New Orleans LA. Family moved to Danbury CT area in 1984. Just over a year later I experience my first hurricane - Gloria. Figure that one out. Remember being out of school. Power out, branches/trees down. My 11th birthday party on the 30th was pushed back.

And after a bye week. Had 2 weeks to get ready. Defense did. But the penalties on offense at home just killer. And 1 bad pass on a high percentage play. Just tiring every year.

UNL is proposing to cut the Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, which would eliminate the undergraduate and graduate meteorology programs. Please consider sharing the importance of our department with UNL through this link: apc.unl.edu/fall-2025-bu...

This weekend will likely be our last taste of the monsoon this year. Widespread showers/storms are likely Saturday and Sunday. Heavy rain is possible with some places picking up over 1" of rain through Monday. The monsoon is going out with a bang! #NMwx

After the storms Friday evening - glad to get another 0.40” of rain #NMwx

8 years. So many of those days blurred together between all the flood and tornado warnings.

I do have pull but right now only our national NWS has the go ahead to post here. Hope that more offices can test engaging here.

I know not much compares to what happened in the TX Hill Country when it comes to flooding. But the South Fork fire burnscar combined with the fact Ruidoso is located in a “bowl” makes for optimal runoff conditions for flash flooding. This was only from 2-3” of rain in 2 hours. #NMwx

Catastrophic Flooding In Texas - Were There Warnings? Deadly flooding in the flash flood alley of Texas is raising questions about warnings. Here's a preliminary (but not conslusive) analysis.

My deep dive on whether there were adequate weather warnings for the catastrophic flooding in Texas. Mentions Alan Gerard Balanced Weather and Jordan McLeod. I am really interested in your thoughts on my take.
www.forbes.com/sites/marsha...

Had a great chat with Molly today. Wired has been doing great work.

What Matt said.

For example, if the rainfall west of Round Rock last night had been about 10-15 miles farther E or SE, it would have been a multi- billion dollar disaster with numerous casualties.

I am going to go into orbit reading this article. First, @npr.org X is not where you should be looking to see what the NWS issued, see below. Second, trying to avoid the blame game - but the absolute cluelessness of these state and local officials is embarrassing.

open.substack.com/pub/balanced...

Byron Morton KOAT on X: "#Flooding and #snow in the Sapello area at CR- 1 La Tewa. Courtesy: Corina Maestas. See & share your weather pics & videos https://t.co/SpmrsFNykW @koat7news #NMFlood #Flood #NMwx #NewMexico https://t.co/52qQu1V1x9" / X #Flooding and #snow in the Sapello area at CR- 1 La Tewa. Courtesy: Corina Maestas. See & share your weather pics & videos https://t.co/SpmrsFNykW @koat7news #NMFlood #Flood #NMwx #NewMexico https://t.co/52qQu1V1x9

Yes. Snow. Rain on snow. Burnscar from HPCC fire. Flooding results. In May. #NMwx x.com/byronkoat/st...

Got more hail than rain… I’ll take it… #NMwx

2 weeks ago we had snow. Today thunderstorms. Peak #NMwx

And you can’t go wrong with a NM sunset…

As of 12PM got 0.26” of liquid precip. Change over to snow the last 2-3 hrs. Probably 1/2” of snow but lots melting. And yes this is April 19 on the ABQ west mesa. More on the way. #nmwx

From NWS ABQ - ⚠️ HIGH FIRE DANGER TOMORROW⚠️

Widespread strong winds and low relative humidities will lead to critical and extreme fire weather conditions. Red Flag Warnings for the ENTIRE state of NM tomorrow afternoon. Strongest gusts will be along and east of the central mountains. #nmwx

Another day of wind, dust and extremely critical fire weather across New Mexico. Yes. The whole state. If you have to travel be prepared for low visibility. Alter plans to stay safe. #NMwx

Fantastic to get all the snow but dang that April sun is making it melt really quick. GOES east visible satellite imagery. #NMwx

I ended up with 0.18” of rain up on the west mesa of ABQ which matches my 2025 year to date total before. Rather have had 2” of snow. Here are snow report across NM via NWS ABQ #NMwx

Check calendar. April.
From NWS ABQ: We know it's been warm and windy lately, but big changes are on the way tonight --> Saturday. It's not April 1st & we're not foolin'! Significant snowfall is on tap for the Northern Mtns and much of eastern NM! Most snow will fall btw 9pm tonight-6pm Sat. #nmwx

You think it has been windy in March so far in New Mexico? You are not imagining. And April and May are the windy months here. #NMwx

Now for the good news perhaps. Monsoon season signal looking robust. We need this big time. #NMwx

New Mexico this spring is already off to a rough start and probably not going to get better with a precip outlook like this. And April and May are climo windiest months. Water supply outlook is not going to improve either #NMwx