"By 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6% to 8%, with the impact accumulating gradually over time. We estimate that investment was reduced by between 12% and 18%, employment by 3% to 4% and productivity by 3% to 4%"

Read the Stanford report:
siepr.stanford.edu/publications...

This whole thread is very useful.

Fascism, like plague or Ebola... even 'just a little bit' is extremely dangerous and needs to be treated immediately.

People who claim it's not real unless we are bleeding from our eyeballs haven't studied the problem seriously. Learn from those who have.

When we think of fascism, we tend to picture how it ended—its most extreme and visible horrors.

But Germans and Italians in the 1920s and ’30s didn’t yet know how their story would end. They were living through the early chapters, not the final one.

Did you ever racially abuse fellow pupils?

It was years ago.

Did you ever racially abuse fellow pupils?

Not in a hurtful way.

Did you ever racially abuse fellow pupils?

Not with intent.

Did you ever racially abuse fellow pupils?

Not genuine abuse.

😮🫣😬😱 ~AA

I lack the words to describe the horrors of the war in Sudan while the situation around the so-called peace plan is just so inappropriately amateurish given the gravity of daily life in Ukraine.

Now available on iOS 😎

Trump demands Ukraine to agree to his 28-point “peace plan”.

There is no sign of ceasefire preparations in Donetsk oblast. There is only raw, muddy and deadly war going on.

This is not peace and this deal won’t bring us peace. This is what Ukrainian soldiers think 🧵

Keep in mind that this serial liar also promised a hundred times during the campaign that he would be able to end the war “in 24 hours” with “one phone call” to Putin because he has “a great relationship” with him, “knows just what to say to him,” & “it won’t even be that hard.”

An absolute scandal compounded in this case by failure of French government and EU institutions to forcefully react and sanction in turn those who have sanctioned ICC judges and prosecutors. Makes a total mockery of FR/EU's repeated commitment to the rule of law/ICC

www.lemonde.fr/en/internati...

To put this more bluntly, Europe has largely outsourced its foreign policy to America since WWII. This has created the illusion within the EU that foreign policy remains a national “competency.” It’s not. So if Europe wants a bigger voice it needs to speak as Europe.

A Twitter account called Ivanka News tweets an AI image of a young woman wearing Muslim garb. The woman is holding a sign that says "I came here illegally. Should I be deported?" Ivanka News writes: What is your response to this person ?? In the "About this account" tab, it appears the account is based in Nigeria

An account called MAGA scope writes: Who, in your view is the great enemy of the United States? Communism, Islam, Democratic Party, or Satan? The account is based in Nigeria.

An account called MAGA Nadine writes: You go to work and find this. What would you do? The attached pic is an AI image that shows a microwave. The microwave has a sign that says "For religious reasons, this microwave is now making halal food only." The account is based in Morocco.

An account called America First posts an AI image of Tulsi Gabbard. They wrote: How would you rate your trust in Tulsi Gabbard on a scale of 1-10?

Twitter pays people based on engagement (views, retweets, comments, etc). It appears that many MAGA accounts are based abroad and they use AI technology to generate low-effort rage bait.

My guess is that this will get worse as AI tech improves. For instance, fake videos of minorities doing crime.

(Thank you Tim White @twmcltd.bsky.social)

bsky.app/profile/twmc...

← Thread Nick Schifrin @nickschifrin BREAKING: After talking to @SecRubio, @SenatorRounds announces that the 28 point plan was a Russian document, not a US document. Full @Senator Rounds: "@SecRubio did make a phone call to us this afternoon. I think he made it very clear to us that we are the recipients of a proposal that was delivered to one of our representatives. It is not our recommendation, it is not our peace plan. It is a proposal that was received. And as an intermediary, we have made arrangements to share it. And we did not release it. It was leaked. It was not released by our members or our representatives... This is an opportunity to receive it and that it has been utilized and delivered to the Ukrainians, and that they will have an opportunity to respond. And in doing so, you now have one side being presented and the opportunity for the other side to respond." 10:26 PM Nov 22, 2025-2M Views 702 3.3K Post your reply 5.8K 918 Reply Nick Schifrin @nickschifrin - 4h MORE from @SenAngusKing: "The leaked 28-point plan, which, according to @SecRubio, is not of the administration's position--it is essentially the wish list of the Russians." 83 565 1.9K 470K 口 Nick Schifrin @nickschifrin - 4h @SenatorRounds confirms that the 28 point plan was delivered to @SEPeaceMissions: "This was a proposal which was received by someone who has identified and they believed to be representing Russia in this proposal. It was given to @SteveWitkoff." 23 286 975 Nick Schifrin @nickschifrin - 4h 116K 口 And.@SenatorRounds says there are no threats to cut off American weapons or intelligence: "With regard to the discussion that there would be threats of items taken... information being withheld and so forth--@SecRubio did say that he was not aware of any of that." 24 1282 1K 120K 101 TM

Fuller original thread from X from Nick Schifrin, with alt text:
22 Nov

...and that it has been utilized and delivered to the Ukrainians, and that they will have an opportunity to respond. And in doing so, you now have one side being presented and the opportunity for the other side to respond."

...It is a proposal that was received. And as an intermediary, we have made arrangements to share it. And we did not release it. It was leaked. It was not released by our members or our representatives... This is an opportunity to receive it ...

Text: Nick Schifrin@nickschifrin (X.com) BREAKING: After talking to @SecRubio, @SenatorRounds announces that the 28 point plan was a Russian document, not a US document. Full @SenatorRounds: "@SecRubio did make a phone call to us this afternoon. I think he made it very clear to us that we are the recipients of a proposal that was delivered to one of our representatives. It is not our recommendation, it is not our peace plan. It is a proposal that was received. And as an intermediary, we have made arrangements to share it. And we did not release it. It was leaked. It was not released by our members or our representatives... This is an opportunity to receive it and that it has been utilized and delivered to the Ukrainians, and that they will have an opportunity to respond. And in doing so, you now have one side being presented and the opportunity for the other side to respond."

"it is not our peace plan"
...
@SenatorRounds: "@SecRubio did make a phone call to us this afternoon. I think he made it very clear to us that we are the recipients of a proposal that was delivered to one of our representatives. It is not our recommendation, it is not our peace plan.

The Terminator Future Has Arrived Have you ever heard of the Singularity?

The warscape of the Terminator movies could easily be mistaken for Gaza under the IDF or the drone war in Ukraine.
AI warfare is becoming increasingly deadly.
AI scientists warning about the need for guardrails as technology moves faster and faster.
My latest.

substack.com/home/post/p-...

Photo of HISF president Peter Von Prague at a podium under a logo that says DEMOCRACY (in "Ukraine yellow"

This weekend I'm at the Halifax International Security Forum, which — for the first time — has no official delegated from the U.S. government. I'll post some occasional thoughts from the Forum over the weekend, below 👇

Below, and @gabrielius.landsbergis.com.ap.brid.gy

Overseas-trained doctors leaving the UK in record numbers Medical bodies warn that hostility towards migrants is behind a 26% rise in departures last year that imperils NHS

"Record numbers of overseas-trained doctors are quitting the UK, leaving the NHS at risk of huge gaps in its workforce, with hostility towards migrants blamed for the exodus"

Slow clap to the anti-immigrant rhetoric

(🧵 15/X) — Finally, back to Taurus. Let's put it short. After all official statements, private discussions I had and media reports since Merz took office earlier this year, I don't see a single reason to believe that a Taurus delivery is being prepared.

Thought provoking long thread 👇

(Or if you prefer for readability: jump to end: bsky.app/profile/tanj...)

This is just such a stunning chart

So I don't know why you stick to it, but perhaps it's one of those things -- looking at your other posts it's pretty clear you're sincere? (I really wasn't sure at first.)

So: I'm going back to other parts of what they actually said, in which we'd agree there is plenty to object to.
👋

...
As a matter of fact, neither the written policy, nor Alex Norris interview, fall within the plain English meanings of "confiscate", and it is not an acceptable paraphrase. I see I'm not the only person who has made that point.

"which is confiscation"

No it's not. What a load of tosh.

The word "confiscation" is available in all good dictionaries. It is certainly not a synonym for "required to make a contribution". 🙄

If you're not reporting honestly, then sorry: you're adding to the problem.

There is plenty that they DID literally say that is highly objectionable.

This "jewellery confiscation" seemed to be the worst.... and do you know how it feels to me, when I find out it's:
a) not what they said
b) false reporting by the Sun / right
c) false echoing by the left
?

Right -- I think you and I are worried about similar things: what does "contribution" mean here?

We need more specificity, and more scrutiny.

But the word "confiscated" is not there.

If it's YOUR fear that that's what they will do, then yes: Say so!

But please don't report it as what THEY said.

What 'sweeping' asylum reforms can we expect from government? Shabana Mahmood is set to announce huge changes to asylum policy, which would allow refugees to stay in the UK only temporarily.

?
Sorry, I feel it's not going to be very productive to discuss this with you, if you report and argue against words that were never said.