Ellie Bastos

I was having trouble earlier today with a preprint. But after many page reloads, it worked.

Check us out!! So proud of our team.

Proofs and Research Programmes: Lakatos at 100 This open access book offers new insights into issues raised in philosophy of mathematics and in philosophy of science by Imre Lakatos.

Excited to share that the volume Lakatos @ 100 has just been published (open access)! It’s a great collection on Lakatos’s legacy.

📘 Book link: link.springer.com/book/10.1007...
Grateful to the editors for including me!

#Lakatos #PhilosophyOfScience #Bayes #OpenAccess

I'm excited to share a new preprint with @tfblanken.bsky.social, Han van der Maas, & Denny Borsboom!

We discuss the striking (implicit) assumption of path symmetry in current theories of psychopathology, which is misaligned with complex dynamical systems.

More here: osf.io/preprints/os...

PhD Research Fellowship in “Inequalities in Education” (279314) | University of Oslo Job title: PhD Research Fellowship in “Inequalities in Education” (279314), Employer: University of Oslo, Deadline: Wednesday, May 21, 2025

‼️ I am hiring ‼️

We are looking for a PhD candidate in "Inequalities of Education" (100%, 3 years) at CREATE: Centre for Research on Equality in Education, University of Oslo.

Amazing data, incl. admin, survey and genetics (MoBa)

‼️Deadline May 21 ‼️

Questions? Feel free to reach out!

#econsky

These people victimize themselves to feel they are worthy in some way. And the wave of bullshit people believe due to those people being "real scientists" scares me. These "free thinkers" scammmers still exist a lot in academia (e.g., evolutionary psych in general).

See: youtu.be/mfh75ezwi2Y?...

Ran into this fantastic open access resource while doing it!

📊 Guide to Effect Sizes and Confidence Intervals dx.doi.org/10.17605/OSF...

🔗 matthewbjane.quarto.pub/guide-to-eff...

PhD Gut Feeling or Algorithm? Predicting Patient Outcomes in Critical Care PhD Gut Feeling or Algorithm? Predicting Patient Outcomes in Critical Care (0.8-1.0 FTE) Do you want to cont

Looking for a PhD position? Come work with me! 🤩
In this PhD project, you will study how decisions in medicine (at the intensive care) can be improved using tools like algorithmic advice in both academic and hospital settings.
Talking Dutch is a plus! 😊
www.academictransfer.com/en/jobs/3514...

formr - an online survey framework with live feedback formr survey framework. chain simple surveys into long runs, use the power of R to generate pretty feedback and complex designs

formr.org; it‘s completely free

When you say something is an assumption (e.g., linear regression assumes conditional normality) you need to specify what properties are actually being preserved with this assumption. 1/3

To be FAIR: Theory needs an update! FAIR theory can be shared, reused in analysis software, and updated based on new findings. Using existing #openscience infrastructure, it streamlines collaboration, reduces research waste, and accelerates cumulative knowledge development osf.io/preprints/ps...

One of the first things Hitler did was destroy and burn trans research at the Institute of Sexology.

Trump has spent the past couple weeks systematically attempting to erase any trans related information that he has power over.

Just for context, you know.

turns out when transphobes said we need to “follow the science” what they meant is delete it and hide all traces of it

An illustration of a tiger protecting cubs colored in Trans and nonbinary flag colors. Says: "protect trans & nonbinary kids!"

We're going to make it through this 🩷💙
Let's turn our fear and rage into community action.

🚨Preprint alert! 🚨

In this one, @mieronen.bsky.social and I argue that using network psychometrics, DAGs or BNs to study predictions of the network theory of psychopathology (NT) is conceptually incoherent.

Why? NT either directly contradicts or cannot support causal sufficiency!

1/11

Re-boosting two recently announced permanent positions in our department at the University of Oslo ⬇️

Associate Professor - Artificial Intelligence in Psychology www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...

Associate Professor - Developmental Psychology www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...

@isager.bsky.social

Check out this sweet new blog post from Julia, which also references one of my old blog posts (solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2022-06...).

I am hiring for a postdoctoral fellow at UNC Chapel Hill in Child and Adolescent Anxiety and Mood Disorders Program (CHAAMP). The successful candidate will work on my NIH funded program of research on suicide risk among preteens. Please share. Deadline 1/31! unc.peopleadmin.com/postings/290...

Poster for mediation and moderation session by Psych #rstats Club. The poster has a black and purple background with speaker's picture on the right and information about the session on the left.

Join us on 2nd February for our next session on mediation and moderation using R, conducted by our very own core team member @munnarshainy.bsky.social ! ✨
Register: forms.gle/wdbKPQXMSmFX...

@improvingpsych.org @abrir.bsky.social
#rstats #R

Funded PhD project in trans and non-binary inclusion An opportunity to develop a PhD project around trans and non-binary inclusion within health and social care.

University of Brighton & @CottinghamTrust launch one of the UK’s first PhD scholarships focusing on trans & non-binary inclusion‍ ⚧

The landmark initiative provides an opportunity to advance research that drives equality & transforms lives. Find out more bit.ly/42gt3Gn

Meta-science postdoc position (3yrs):
Agent-based modeling of academia

📍 Munich, Germany (Remote/hybrid options may be available)
🗣️ Felix Schönbrodt @nicebread.bsky.social, director of @lmu-osc.bsky.social
📅 application: 21.01.2025, start: March-July 2025

www.psy.lmu.de/pm/aktuelles...

Join us! www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...

This article offers critical analysis of the debate between Karl Popper and Imre Lakatos about distinctive features of empirical science that allow to demarcate it from non-science and especially pseudoscience. Popper's demarcational proposition is explained as involving essentially two requirements, logical (to the theory itself, that it had potential falsifiers) and methodological (to scientists' attitude with respect to the theory, that they were willing to recognise its empirical falsification. Lakatos's criticisms of ‘Popper's basic rule’ that ‘criteria of refutation have to be laid down beforehand’ and Popper's reply to these criticisms, as well as Lakatos's alternative demarcational proposition, are discussed. The argument is made that although Lakatos's criticisms and proposition have considerable merits, he goes too far in claiming that it is OK for scientists to wave away or ignore apparent falsifications of a theory so long as the theory is successful in generating lots of successful unexpectable predictions, and generally understates the importance of the critical attitude for the development of science. On the other hand, Popper's falsificationist approach can be modified so as to accommodate sound points of Lakatos's criticisms and proposition while retaining the basic structure and critical rationalist character of Popper's demarcational proposition.

Popper vs Lakatos

New article by Dmytro Sepetyi attempts to reconcile Popper and Lakatos regarding the demarcation debate.

doi.org/10.1080/0269...

#PhilSci #PhilSky #AcademicSky 🧪

Here's a draft of the second chapter I have been writing on research activities including theory building, testing, and applied/technological research:

bit.ly/research_act...

A 🧵 on why I am sharing this now...

Same here! As a third language, Norwegian is tough for me since many words resemble English or even Portuguese (e.g., servitør). However, I haven't found any local or online classes, so self-teaching might be the cause of this confusion.

The current official HiTOP model - a hierarchy of dimensional psychopathology constructs ranging in breadth from superspectra at the top down to individual signs, symptoms, and maladaptive behaviours at the bottom (as well as a list of disorders and related constructs that are linked to the subfactors and spectra)

Can you help me build a list of things that are (or might be) wrong in the current HiTOP model while I'm sick and recovering on the couch? Some of my top hunches are:

-My PhD was wrong (☹️) and low sexual function shouldn’t be neatly nested under internalizing

1/2

Code for corroboration_index function in R: corroboration_index <- function(spielraum_lower, spielraum_upper, theory_lower, theory_upper, estimate) { spielraum <- spielraum_upper - spielraum_lower theory_interval <- theory_upper - theory_lower rel_tolerance <- theory_interval/spielraum intolerance <- 1 - rel_tolerance deviation <- ifelse(estimate > theory_upper, estimate - theory_upper, ifelse(estimate < theory_lower, theory_lower - estimate, 0) rel_error <- deviation / spielraum closeness <- 1 - rel_error corroboration <- closeness * intolerance return(corroboration) }

Had a play with Meehl's Corroboration Index (pg 128-129 meehl.umn.edu/sites/meehl....) for the predictions made in our recent study (sportrxiv.org/index.php/se...). Took as spielraum the prediction interval for the effects in our large meta analysis (www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...). Results...