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Paul Hünermund

@p-hunermund.com.bsky.social

Professor of Technology and Economic Policy | Co-founder of causalscience.org | Associate Editor at Journal of Causal Inference | Executive Team at Academy of Management TIM Division

9,279 Followers  |  2,024 Following  |  3,787 Posts  |  Joined: 25.07.2023  |  2.0422

Latest posts by p-hunermund.com on Bluesky

Counterintuitive but makes sense: wfh doesn’t encourage a “work from anywhere” world, rather it reinforces large cities bc long commute times become less of a disutility

04.08.2025 08:25 — 👍 15    🔁 6    💬 1    📌 0

A reminder that the 70+ year-old research discipline of AI is much bigger than genAI, much bigger than just deep learning, much bigger than Big Tech. AI includes symbolic reasoning, multi-agent systems and statistical machine learning and is used for astrophysics, renewable energy and climate models

04.08.2025 07:24 — 👍 63    🔁 15    💬 3    📌 2

I make a cross-over once in a while 😉

04.08.2025 07:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Meta information in the supplementary Word file 🙄

04.08.2025 06:16 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

And yes, it immediately came back. But luckily only because of some formatting issues. 😅

04.08.2025 05:06 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Basketball Tiktok Fails
YouTube video by UltimateTiktoks Basketball Tiktok Fails

Submitted a paper today. Every time I have this TikTok in my head. youtube.com/shorts/6kllg...

03.08.2025 15:28 — 👍 14    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 1

Twitter seems like an endless monologue from Tom Buchanan about the "rise of the Colored empires"

03.08.2025 13:18 — 👍 103    🔁 11    💬 5    📌 1
Stephen Nunez @socio-steve.bsky.social • 13h
The AK in AK-47 stands for "Assault Knife"

Steve @rapidlydownhill.bsky.social • 3h
No.
The AK-47, or Avtomat Kalashnikova model of the year 1947. Designed by Mikhail Kalashnikov.
Avtomat translates to Automatic (or contextually to Automatic Machine).
Kalashnikova means it "belongs" or is "of" Kalashnikov, the designer.

Stephen Nuñez @socio-steve.bsky.social • 2h
No it's assault knife. Just like how the AR in AR-15 stands for assault rifle.

Steve @rapidlydownhill.bsky.social • 2h
Still unconvinced?

Stephen Nuñez @socio-steve.bsky.social • 2h
Look is assault rifle and assault knife. Does exactly what is says on the tin. You Internet weirdos make everything more complicated than it needs to be.

Steve @rapidlydownhill.bsky.social • 2h
So. No acceptance of facts?
Fair enough. You can believe what you want.
I might have expected more from an apparently well educated person. Expect others to learn but not be willing to do so yourself.
Resorting to insults is another sign of your insecurity.
Good day sir.

Stephen Nunez @socio-steve.bsky.social • 13h The AK in AK-47 stands for "Assault Knife" Steve @rapidlydownhill.bsky.social • 3h No. The AK-47, or Avtomat Kalashnikova model of the year 1947. Designed by Mikhail Kalashnikov. Avtomat translates to Automatic (or contextually to Automatic Machine). Kalashnikova means it "belongs" or is "of" Kalashnikov, the designer. Stephen Nuñez @socio-steve.bsky.social • 2h No it's assault knife. Just like how the AR in AR-15 stands for assault rifle. Steve @rapidlydownhill.bsky.social • 2h Still unconvinced? Stephen Nuñez @socio-steve.bsky.social • 2h Look is assault rifle and assault knife. Does exactly what is says on the tin. You Internet weirdos make everything more complicated than it needs to be. Steve @rapidlydownhill.bsky.social • 2h So. No acceptance of facts? Fair enough. You can believe what you want. I might have expected more from an apparently well educated person. Expect others to learn but not be willing to do so yourself. Resorting to insults is another sign of your insecurity. Good day sir.

03.08.2025 13:04 — 👍 884    🔁 71    💬 41    📌 11

Because historical counterfactuals are hard to pin down for most people, and the resulting epistemological uncertainty is frequently supplanted by prevailing culture war narratives.

03.08.2025 12:47 — 👍 10    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
At 17, Hannah Cairo Solved a Major Math Mystery | Quanta Magazine After finding the homeschooling life confining, the teen petitioned her way into a graduate class at Berkeley, where she ended up disproving a 40-year-old conjecture.

What a fantastic accomplishment -- and what a fantastic story! www.quantamagazine.org/at-17-hannah...

03.08.2025 12:13 — 👍 292    🔁 88    💬 5    📌 6
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1/ An 'army mafia' has developed within Russia's invasion force in Ukraine, operating with near-impunity to smuggle commodities back into Russia and strip seized industries to sell for personal profit. A Russian commentary highlights the difficulties of tackling it. ⬇️

03.08.2025 11:21 — 👍 243    🔁 53    💬 7    📌 4

I'm skeptical whether economists will be able to lead the revolution to causal in industry. They are too deeply invested in their quasi-experimental methods and by now seem to be too narrow-minded to change.

03.08.2025 11:23 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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🗣️ @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social joins Théo Storella & @yuyunzhan.bsky.social for a podcast discussion on the evolving landscape for European companies operating in China and their shifting strategies amid rising economic uncertainty and geopolitical tension. #EconSky
🔗 Listen here: buff.ly/Z3aJAWB

03.08.2025 11:01 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

That's a good point. It's exactly the problem of eliciting expert domain knowledge from diverse stakeholders ("no causes in, no causes out") that we're currently working on. Causal AI is more demanding in that regard than simply running XGBoost or using PyTorch out of the box.

03.08.2025 10:57 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Double machine learning and automated confounder selection: A cautionary tale Double machine learning (DML) has become an increasingly popular tool for automated variable selection in high-dimensional settings. Even though the ability to deal with a large number of potential co...

Here: using DAGs to show how dangerous DML is www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...

03.08.2025 10:23 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

It'll fade. DML is just too convenient to sanctify your regression models using the big data/ML moniker with.

03.08.2025 10:21 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Why not gonna happen?

03.08.2025 10:19 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Dann können wir uns wenigstens weiter überlegen gegenüber den unwissenden Normies fühlen.

03.08.2025 10:18 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Good, that gives me confidence. Bayesian meta-analysis won't be the next big thing, though.

03.08.2025 09:39 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Me preparing for the next AI winter—from which #CausalAI will emerge as the next big thing

03.08.2025 09:37 — 👍 15    🔁 1    💬 4    📌 0

Not following the discourse too much, but "Sydney Sweeney has good jeans" is a bad slogan, isn't it?

03.08.2025 06:15 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

That's why a new Bond will have such a hard time to revitalize the franchise. Britain has lost too much of its cool.

03.08.2025 06:11 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

to be clear, australian voters would not support this because one of our deep deficits as a nation is that we dont believe in the value of intellectual ambition in any way, this is not a case of albo being stupid (there are many of those but) we as a group are stupid

03.08.2025 03:24 — 👍 22    🔁 1    💬 3    📌 0

It's not nice to compare Judea with Yoda

02.08.2025 20:20 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Dude.

02.08.2025 18:12 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Big thanks to Professors Katz, Abraham, Dynan, and Troske for this wise and quick response.

02.08.2025 16:53 — 👍 34    🔁 5    💬 1    📌 0

Well played.

02.08.2025 17:57 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Would the Jedi or the Sith be more likely to develop Bayesian statistics?

02.08.2025 17:32 — 👍 30    🔁 3    💬 8    📌 1

In Europe

02.08.2025 17:27 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Bluesky doesn't seem to be the right place to get an unbiased answer to that.

02.08.2025 17:25 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

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