George Hasanakos

The Battle for Inner Brisbane - DemosAU A new poll of Greens-held Brisbane seats points to a series of close contests, with a moderate swing towards Labor at the expense of the minor party and the

Our poll of Green held Brisbane, Griffith & Ryan shows a tight contest for the 3 seats that will have a big impact on the election result.

PV: LNP 36 (+0.4) Grn 29 (-1.7) ALP 29 (+2.7)

n: 1087

mode: internet panel

date: 7-15 Apr 25

Report + Methodology: demosau.com/news/the-bat...

#auspol

Politics is a popularity contest, but is it a personality hire? Politicians aren’t known for their warmth and rizz, but surely character traits have some sway on voting habits.

My comments on why the personality of leaders is important to voters but not the driving force.

"What is driving voters’ intentions is habits of a lifetime, the state of the economy, how well things are going for them, where they come from." #auspol

www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/que...

State Politics Poll (Change vs 2023 state election)

TPP: ALP 54 (-0.3) L/NP 46 (+0.3)

PV: L/NP 34 (-1.4) ALP 33 (-4.0) Grn 14 (+4.3) Oth 19 (+1.1)

Preferred Premier: Minns 42 Speakman 24

NSW going in right direction: Yes 38 No 43

#auspol #nswpol

Federal Politics Poll - NSW (Change vs 2022 fed election)

TPP: L/NP 51 (+2.4) ALP 49 (-2.4)

PV: L/NP 38 (+1.5) ALP 30 (-3.4) Grn 12 (+2.0) ONP 9 (+4.1) Oth 11 (-4.2)

Preferred PM: Albanese 39 Dutton 38

Australia going in right direction: Yes 31 No 52

NSW Poll: Coalition has Edge Over Labor in Federal Contest The Liberal National Coalition holds an 51% to 49% lead over Federal Labor, according to DemosAU's latest NSW Poll.

Our NSW poll has a 2.4% TPP swing for the Fed L/NP.

State Labor is in decent position thanks to Minns and Greens absorbing vote losses

Federal TPP: L/NP 51-49

State TPP: ALP 54-46

Date: 24-26 Mar n: 1013

Full report and methodology statement here: demosau.com/news/nsw-pol...

#auspol #nswpol

The full Trustwatch report is at this link: demosau.com/wp-content/u...

6. High Court (27%)
7. ABC (24%)
8. Reserve Bank of Australia (12%)
9. House of Representatives (8%)
10. Australian Senate (5%)
11. Australian Energy Market Operator (-8%)
12. The criminal justice system (-10%).
Source: DemosAU Trust Watch poll of 1,238 Australians.

Which public institutions are trusted the highest to the lowest in Australia?

1. Bureau of Meteorology (net trust 53%)
2. CSIRO (47%)
3. Australian Electoral Commission (42%)
4. Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) (35%)
5. Therapeutic Goods Administration (32%)
1/2
#auspol

Federal Politics Poll - Vic (Change vs 2022 fed election)

TPP: ALP 51 (-3.8) L/NP 49 (+3.8)

PV: L/NP 34 (+0.9) ALP 29 (-3.9) Grn 15 (+1.2) ONP 8 (+4.2) Oth 14 (-2.5)

Preferred PM: Albanese 40 Dutton 37

Australia going in right direction: Yes 30 No 55

#auspol #vicpol

State Politics Poll (Change vs 2022 state election)

TPP: L/NP 52 (+7) ALP 48 (-7)

PV: L/NP 39 (+4.5) ALP 25 (-11.7) Grn 15 (+3.5) Oth 21 (+3.7)

Preferred Premier: Battin 43 Allan 30

Victoria going in right direction: Yes 25 No 60

#auspol #vicpol

Victorian Poll Shows Swing Against State and Fed Labor DemosAU has released new Victorian polling today showing a 7% two-party swing against state Labor since the 2022 state election, with Jacinta Allan scoring

Our Vic poll provides hope for Fed Labor and the State Libs.

The swing against Fed Labor is moderating.

State Libs will be buoyed by Battin's 43-30 Pref Premier lead.

State TPP: L/NP 52-48

Federal TPP: ALP 51-49

Date: 17-21 Mar n=1006

More here: demosau.com/news/victori...

#auspol #vicpol

Victorian Poll Shows Swing Against State and Fed Labor DemosAU has released new Victorian polling today showing a 7% two-party swing against state Labor since the 2022 state election, with Jacinta Allan scoring

DemosAU Victoria Poll - Date: 17-21 March Sample: 1006

State TPP: L/NP 52 ALP 48

Federal TPP: ALP 51 L/NP 49

More details here: demosau.com/news/victori...

Federal Politics Poll (Change vs 2022 state election)

TPP: ALP 51 (-3.8) L/NP 49 (+3.8)

PV: L/NP 34 (+0.9) ALP 29 (-3.9) Grn 15 (+1.2) ONP 8 (+4.2) Oth 14 (-2.5)

Preferred PM: Albanese 40 Dutton 37

Australia going in right direction: Yes 30 No 55

State Politics Poll (Change vs 2022 state election)

TPP: L/NP 52 (+7) ALP 48 (-7)

PV: L/NP 39 (+4.5) ALP 25 (-11.7) Grn 15 (+3.5) Oth 21 (+3.7)

Preferred Premier: Battin 43 Allan 30

Victoria going in right direction: Yes 25 No 60

Victorian Poll Shows Swing Against State and Fed Labor DemosAU has released new Victorian polling today showing a 7% two-party swing against state Labor since the 2022 state election, with Jacinta Allan scoring

DemosAU Victoria Poll - Date: 17-21 March Sample: 1006

State TPP: L/NP 52 ALP 48

Federal TPP: ALP 51 L/NP 49

More details here: demosau.com/news/victori...

DemosAU WA pre-state election poll
TPP: ALP 57 Lib 43
PV: ALP 43 Lib 30 Nat 5 Grn 11 Oth 11
Pref Prem: Cook 47 Mettam 32
WA Right Direction?: Yes 49 No 30

Methodology Statement: demosau.com/wp-content/u... #auspol #waelection

Today the West Australian has published our pre-election poll of WA state voting intention which gives WA Labor a 57-43 lead over the Liberals on a two-party preferred basis, making it a third successive landslide. #auspol

Australian election result is not a foregone conclusion The 2024 Australian election result is not a foregone conclusion, despite what you might have read.

Done be fooled, the election result is not a foregone conclusion. Read my blog on why a Labor majority, a Coalition majority and a hung Parliament are all realistic options #auspol

demosau.com/news/austral...

Queensland Poll shows modest improvement for Labor The Queensland poll, conducted between February 10 and 14, showed the LNP leading Labor 53-47%, from 54-46% at the last federal poll.

Our Qld Federal Poll in the Courier Mail today: LNP 39 (-0.6) ALP 31 (+3.6) Grn 12 (-0.9) ONP 10 (+2.5) Oth 8 (-4.6) TPP: LNP 53-47 (+1.0 to ALP) #auspol #demosau demosau.com/news/queensl...

Queensland Poll shows modest improvement for Labor The Queensland poll, conducted between February 10 and 14, showed the LNP leading Labor 53-47%, from 54-46% at the last federal poll.

Our Qld State Poll in the Courier Mail today: LNP 40 (-1.5) ALP 30 (-2.4) Grn 12 (+2.1) ONP 10 (+2.0) Oth 8 (-0.2) TPP: LNP 54-46 (+0.2 to LNP) #qldpol #demosau demosau.com/news/queensl...

New poll reveals Elon Musk and Rupert Murdoch most disliked billionaires among Australians - DemosAU Media and social media billionaires including Elon Musk, Rupert Murdoch and Mark Zuckerberg have been ranked the most disliked billionaires by Australians,

Read more: demosau.com/news/new-pol...

In interpreting these findings, I think it shows that Australians aren’t against wealth creation in principle, but they are very sceptical of those in power who have these very high levels of wealth.

With billionaires being in the news a lot lately, #DemosAU decided to do a poll.

It found Australians believe:
👉Billionaires have too much influence in politics (77%)
👉They should pay more tax (81%)
👉 They earn their wealth at the expense of ordinary people (69%). #auspol

Federal polls: Essential Research, DemosAU, Roy Morgan (open thread) - The Poll Bludger Three new federal polls, one recording a slight improvement for Labor, the other two showing little change.

Our latest federal voting intention poll is published in PollBludger www.pollbludger.net/2025/02/06/f... #auspol

Thanks Michelle. It's a typo . Should be 25

My first video is on "When will the federal election be?" And "What can the latest poll tell us about the 2025 election" #auspol #polling #elections

I've started doing a series of videos on Instagram and TikTok with political, polling and election analysis. If you're interested in following please check me out at: georgeelections #auspol #politics #elections

Our latest federal voting intention poll shows the primary vote and two party preferred vote below in graphs. It's a very close contest between Labor and the Coalition.
demosau.com/news/new-pol... #auspol #polling #elections

My last-election aggregate thinks this poll is pretty good for Labor but is cautious because it only has two polls by DemosAU; it cuts Coalition lead to 50.2-49.8.

#DemosAU ALP 33 L-NP 38 Green 12 ON 7 others 10. 2PP (last-election prefs) 50-50 (that is low for Labor off those primaries, normally would be 50.8, could be rounding or minor party mix factors)

demosau.com/news/new-pol...