Dr Rebecca Emerton's Avatar

Dr Rebecca Emerton

@rebeccalize.bsky.social

Weather & climate scientist at @ecmwf.int 🌍coordinator of the C3S-WMO European State of the Climate reportπŸ“ˆ - 2024 report out now: climate.copernicus.eu/esotc/2024 Also evaluate forecasts, from tropical weatherπŸŒ€to floodingπŸ’§to heat πŸ₯΅ (she/her){own views}

1,005 Followers  |  702 Following  |  44 Posts  |  Joined: 12.11.2023  |  1.9371

Latest posts by rebeccalize.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Tropical nights are on the rise in Europe, offering little relief from daytime heat. The Copernicus Climate Change Service tracks these trends to help keep communities informed and safe.
Read more in our European State of the Climate report: climate.copernicus.eu/esotc/2024

#CopernicusClimate

28.07.2025 12:40 β€” πŸ‘ 47    πŸ” 21    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2

An interesting comparison of this summer so far with the UK’s infamous summer of 1976 β˜€οΈπŸ₯΅ This year’s June heat was more widespread across Europe + the UK saw larger temperature anomalies this June, but drought in 1976 was more prolonged and widespread with more extreme water use restrictions πŸ’§

22.07.2025 09:42 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Why are Europe and the Arctic warming twice as fast as the global average? Explore the science behind these regional trends in our latest article.
climate.copernicus.eu/why-are-euro...

#CopernicusClimate

15.07.2025 11:25 β€” πŸ‘ 48    πŸ” 29    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 5
Computer generated image of new ECMWF headquarters building

Computer generated image of new ECMWF headquarters building

Construction of ECMWF’s new headquarters in Reading, UK, has begun. Yesterday’s groundbreaking ceremony was led by Lord Vallance, the UK Minister of State for Science, Innovation and Technology. Find out more here ➑️ www.ecmwf.int/en/about/med...

10.07.2025 13:00 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Heatwaves contribute to the warmest June on record in western Europe The European continent experienced two significant heatwaves in mid-June and late June-early July 2025. The first event peaked between 17 and 22 June, affecting large parts of western and southern Eur...

Read more about the heatwaves in Europe in June, and the record-breaking Mediterranean Sea surface temperature anomalies 🌑️: climate.copernicus.eu/heatwaves-co...

10.07.2025 08:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
A map of Europe with the sea coloured based on the sea surface temperature anomalies on 30 June 2025. Annotations mention that most of the Mediterranean basin experienced temperatures well above average, and temperatures exceeded 28Β°C, more than 5Β°C above average, in the Gulf of Lion and Ligurian Sea.

A map of Europe with the sea coloured based on the sea surface temperature anomalies on 30 June 2025. Annotations mention that most of the Mediterranean basin experienced temperatures well above average, and temperatures exceeded 28Β°C, more than 5Β°C above average, in the Gulf of Lion and Ligurian Sea.

A line chart of daily sea surface temperature anomalies in ERA5 from 1979 to 2025 in the western Mediterranean, showing the record-breaking anomalies in June 2025 and highlighting the previous highest anomaly in July 2023.

A line chart of daily sea surface temperature anomalies in ERA5 from 1979 to 2025 in the western Mediterranean, showing the record-breaking anomalies in June 2025 and highlighting the previous highest anomaly in July 2023.

Exceptional Mediterranean water temperatures in June reduced nighttime air cooling along the coasts & increased humidity, worsening heat stress impacts - some coastal areas saw 10-15 tropical nights (when the temperature doesn’t drop below 20Β°C) last month, when they’d typically see none in June πŸ₯΅β˜€οΈπŸŒ™

10.07.2025 08:30 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Two significant heatwaves in Europe in June meant that many people experienced more heat stress days than average: 'very strong heat stress' experienced across a lot of southern and western Europe, and part of Portugal saw 'extreme heat stress' πŸ₯΅
Find out more: climate.copernicus.eu/heatwaves-co...

09.07.2025 13:54 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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We have taken the ensemble version of the Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (#AIFS) into operations!

It will run side by side with the traditional physics-based Integrated Forecasting System (IFS).

Find out more here
➑️ www.ecmwf.int/en/about/med...

01.07.2025 12:43 β€” πŸ‘ 42    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
Extract from cover of ECMWF annual report 2024 depicting globe with digital network nodes and machine learning elements. Text: β€œAnnual Report 2024. www.ecmwf.int.”

Extract from cover of ECMWF annual report 2024 depicting globe with digital network nodes and machine learning elements. Text: β€œAnnual Report 2024. www.ecmwf.int.”

Our Annual Report 2024 is out now, highlighting progress from across ECMWF, including:

β€’ #AIFS #MachineLearning model
β€’ Socio-economic value of #ERA5
β€’ Collaborative research through externally funded projects

➑️ www.ecmwf.int/en/about/med...

30.06.2025 10:19 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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We have just had the warmest June for England, although it was still warm but less extreme elsewhere. It was very sunny and dry in the East and wetter and cloudier in the West. Here is a summary of the past 12 months weather/climate for the UK. #dataviz

02.07.2025 08:10 β€” πŸ‘ 30    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
UK maps showing changes in temperatures for typical summer days and hot summer days.

UK maps showing changes in temperatures for typical summer days and hot summer days.

1Β°C of global warming does NOT mean that heatwaves 'just' get hotter by 1Β°C.

Over large parts of the UK, global warming means that heatwaves are 3-4Β°C warmer, with worse consequences for people and ecosystems.

02.07.2025 08:32 β€” πŸ‘ 456    πŸ” 191    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 6
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Is it hot right now? YES!! (In most of Europe anyway) πŸ₯΅πŸ₯΅πŸ₯΅

Loving these new web applications developed for the UK πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ by @roostweather.bsky.social and @edhawkins.org and Spain πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ by @dargueso.bsky.social and AUS πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί (original) by @mlip.bsky.social
🌍πŸ§ͺβš’οΈπŸŒ‘οΈπŸ“ˆ

Links:
istheukhotrightnow.com
hoyextremo.com

30.06.2025 14:31 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 2
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The tongue of Rhone #Glacier ten days after my last visit. Can you guess how much ice melted away? 1️⃣ meter in terms of thickness! 1️⃣0️⃣ days... And that's just the beginning of the summer season.
We know the times are bad for the ice, but still it is hard to accept these numbers!

24.06.2025 05:38 β€” πŸ‘ 203    πŸ” 73    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 11

πŸ˜”

28.06.2025 10:08 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The alps have warmed extremely - as can be seen here in the data from #Innsbruck. Warm years are dominant since the 90s, cold years disappear. Massive glacier melting is only one consequence.

Weather Obs started very early here, Maria Theresa was still alive.

#showyourstripes #climateaction

21.06.2025 08:56 β€” πŸ‘ 124    πŸ” 70    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 2
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🌍🌐 AI is reshaping weather and climate modelling - also within DestinE at ECMWF. Discover our new AI page and explore how #ECMWF and its partners are developing ML-driven models and AI-based software solutions, which will boost DestinEs capabilities ➑️ destine.ecmwf.int/ai-in-destine/

20.06.2025 12:09 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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On the day the @metoffice.gov.uk publish a new paper showing a rapidly increasing chance of 40Β°C days in the UK, the GFS produces a forecast ensemble member showing 43Β°C in a couple of weeks time. This is an extremely unlikely outcome but highlights that these types of temperature are now plausible.

18.06.2025 15:07 β€” πŸ‘ 62    πŸ” 24    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 5
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Tailoring is essential to scaling up climate services eg weather & climate info for children & youth, who must be stakeholders, says Emma Visman of @savechildrenintl.bsky.social

#ECCA2025 #ClimateServices #Health #Children #Youth #NationalFramework #Scaling #DisasterRisk

17.06.2025 15:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Day 3 at #ECCA2025!

We are live from Lavatoio Room, discussing strategic R&I priorities for climate adaptation.

Experts are soon splitting into breakout sessions around the tables to share their insights. Collaboration in action! 🀝

#MakeItReal #Impetus4Change #I4C #ClimateAdaptation

18.06.2025 07:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Day 2 at #ECCA2025 gets underway with Philippe Tulkens setting out EC's priorities for climate adaptation: 'We need your expertise to be part of the mission ... get us closer to success!'

17.06.2025 07:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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How much would weather forecasts gain from more in-situ observations in some countries?
Experiments we have carried out for the UN’s Systematic Observations Financing Facility (SOFF) show that the benefits would be significant. Find out more here ➑️ www.ecmwf.int/en/about/med...
#EarlyWarningForAll

16.06.2025 11:12 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Come to Tuesday’s session on cross-sectoral and multi-scale climate services to hear about key findings from the project from our colleague Nuria at UCM, and visit the booth area to find out more about the co-created climate services πŸ’»πŸŒ

16.06.2025 14:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I’ll be at the European Climate Change Adaptation #ECCA2025 conference this week in Rimini supporting our EU project I-CISK, which has been co-creating human-centred, tailored climate services with partners and decision-makers in seven different countries in Europe & beyond πŸŒπŸŒπŸ“ˆ

16.06.2025 14:28 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The climate is changing so fast that we haven’t seen how bad extreme weather could get Record heat, storms and floods reveal new extremes made possible by climate change.

Some forecast models are showing the potential for record-breaking heat in the UK later in June 🌑️

Ensemble forecasts can help us better understand the extremes of the current climate. @hayleyjfowler.bsky.social, Paul Davies and I wrote about this last year theconversation.com/the-climate-...

13.06.2025 13:21 β€” πŸ‘ 43    πŸ” 19    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 4
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πŸ’§Northern & central Europe saw drier-than-average conditions in May, wetter-than-average in southern Europe & western Russia. March to May 2025 saw Europe's lowest spring river flow since records began in 1992.
Get the details in the #C3S Climate Bulletin πŸ”— climate.copernicus.eu/sea-ice-cove...

11.06.2025 08:41 β€” πŸ‘ 32    πŸ” 17    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Major US climate website likely to be shut down after almost all staff fired Exclusive: Climate.gov, which supports public education on climate science, will soon no longer publish new content

One entirely nonsensical thing about this is that 'climate' is so much more than climate *change* – even if you were to deny climate change, you can't escape climate variability. "Climate prediction" is also seasonal forecasting, ENSO, and so on. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

11.06.2025 11:34 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
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Major US climate website likely to be shut down after almost all staff fired Exclusive: Climate.gov, which supports public education on climate science, will soon no longer publish new content

🀯 www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

11.06.2025 12:07 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Day 1 of the #C3S General Assembly: @dianamorantr.bsky.social, Spanish Minister of Science and Innovation, and Hugo Zunker, DG DEFIS (European Commission), among others, highlighted the importance of climate data for smart policy and a more resilient future.

#C3SGA25

02.06.2025 15:39 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

✍️ My two cents on the role of #dataviz in the #ESOTC2024 report.

The #climatecrisis is the most important story of our times and we need to exploit ALL the tools we have to tell it in the most compelling way and make it resonate with people.

climate.copernicus.eu/role-data-vi...

12.05.2025 13:02 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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In 2024, Europe saw average to slightly above-average fire danger for most of the year, with the highest values in September. Around 110,000 hectares burnt in Portugal that month, accounting for around a quarter of the overall total burnt area in Europe for the year. bit.ly/4ctJySA #ESOTC2024 #C3S

16.05.2025 07:51 β€” πŸ‘ 31    πŸ” 20    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

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