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David Tully

@poliscipunk.bsky.social

Former State Department/INR Korea and Southeast Asia politics and public opinion analyst. @polisciatnu.bsky.social PhD. Scrambler rambler 🏍️, coffee monster, K-popper, knowledge dropper.

633 Followers  |  989 Following  |  6 Posts  |  Joined: 30.08.2023  |  1.707

Latest posts by poliscipunk.bsky.social on Bluesky

15.02.2026 20:46 β€” πŸ‘ 426    πŸ” 94    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 6
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Yikes here are the numbers for the past 12 months. Everything is pretty much dead except healthcare/social assistance. Note that healthcare growth is largely not about the business cycle -- it's about the aging of the population and more elderly people needing care.

11.02.2026 13:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1116    πŸ” 370    πŸ’¬ 26    πŸ“Œ 47
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Father of pro-democracy activist Anna Kwok first to be convicted under Hong Kong national security law Officials arrested Kwok Yin-sang after he tried to end his daughter’s insurance policy and withdraw the funds

The conviction of Anna Kwok's father under the NSL is a new low for the Hong Kong police state.

11.02.2026 09:51 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
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How Americans See Immigration Officers’ Behaviors and Civilian Actions Americans overwhelmingly say it is acceptable to record immigration arrests. Most also say it’s unacceptable for ICE, CBP officers to hide their identities.

www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...

30.01.2026 17:38 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Detained by ICE, two women became first responders during agent’s seizure The women say they guided agents through the emergency, later raising concerns about medical protocols, weapons safety and accountability.

Two women trained as first responders were abducted by three ICE agents. One of the agents starts seizing. The other two don’t know what to do. The women jump into action and save the agent’s life, only to be re-handcuffed and processed.

www.startribune.com/detained-by-...

23.01.2026 23:47 β€” πŸ‘ 9005    πŸ” 4879    πŸ’¬ 340    πŸ“Œ 939
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😬😬😬 these demos are brutal.

ν•œμ€‘ 관계 μ„€μ • 기쑰​

- 경제 ν˜‘λ ₯ μ€‘μ‹¬μœΌλ‘œ 관계 κ°•ν™”ν•΄μ•Ό 50% > ν•œλ―Έλ™λ§Ή κ³ λ €ν•΄ 원칙과 거리 μœ μ§€ν•΄μ•Ό 41%​​

22.01.2026 03:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
To encourage reuse of our data, Pew Research Center, with support from the John Templeton Foundation, invites researchers to submit proposals for new research publications that use one or more of the following datasets (collectively, Datasets) from the Global Religious Futures (GRF) project:  Global Restrictions on Religion 2007-2022 dataset. This cumulative dataset includes measures of government restrictions on religion and social hostilities involving religion in nearly 200 countries and territories. Spring 2024 Survey. This dataset includes measures of religion and spirituality in 35 countries. (Comparable data was also collected in 2023 and 2024 for the United States. The downloadable materials which accompany the international dataset include additional information about U.S. data.) Dataset of Global Religious Composition Estimates for 2010 and 2020. This dataset includes estimates of the size of seven major religious groups in more than 200 countries and territories. We encourag

To encourage reuse of our data, Pew Research Center, with support from the John Templeton Foundation, invites researchers to submit proposals for new research publications that use one or more of the following datasets (collectively, Datasets) from the Global Religious Futures (GRF) project: Global Restrictions on Religion 2007-2022 dataset. This cumulative dataset includes measures of government restrictions on religion and social hostilities involving religion in nearly 200 countries and territories. Spring 2024 Survey. This dataset includes measures of religion and spirituality in 35 countries. (Comparable data was also collected in 2023 and 2024 for the United States. The downloadable materials which accompany the international dataset include additional information about U.S. data.) Dataset of Global Religious Composition Estimates for 2010 and 2020. This dataset includes estimates of the size of seven major religious groups in more than 200 countries and territories. We encourag

Please share: Pew Research Center will provide $3,000 each for 19 new papers using our recent global datasets. We encourage reuse of our Pew-Templeton Global Religious Futures data!
https://www.pewresearch.org/2026/01/16/seeking-research-using-recent-pew-templeton-global-religious-futures-datasets/

17.01.2026 20:27 β€” πŸ‘ 137    πŸ” 111    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 6

ROK-Japan leaders playing drums to the tune of K-Pop Demon Hunter's "Golden" at 7:55 mark
www.youtube.com/watch?v=NIQz...

14.01.2026 00:40 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

over the course of 1871, congress held seven months of hearings on ku klux klan and other white vigilante violence in the south, they took detailed testimony from hundreds of black men and women attesting to klan terror. (1/?)

14.01.2026 02:06 β€” πŸ‘ 9691    πŸ” 2447    πŸ’¬ 55    πŸ“Œ 145

As Erica Chenoweth and Maria Stephan's book "Why Civil Resistance Works", one key to success is being able to leverage pre-existing networks as pathways for mobilization (e.g. Church networks in the Philippine case)

In 2026 America, the networks being mobilized are parent-teacher organizations

11.01.2026 21:36 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

이 λ¬Έμ œμ— κ΄€ν•΄ λŒ€ν†΅λ Ήμ΄ "남성 역차별 살피라" μ •λ„μ˜ 관심과 μ§‘μš”ν•¨λ„ 보일 것 κ°™μ§€ μ•Šμ•„μ„œ μ ˆλ§μ μ΄λ‹€. 남성듀은 이 ν•œκ΅­ 남성 문제λ₯Ό ν•΄κ²°ν•˜λŠ” 데 관심이 μ—†κ³ , ν•œκ΅­μ˜ μ˜μ‚¬κ²°μ •κΆŒμž μžλ¦¬μ—λŠ” 남성이 λ„ˆλ¬΄ λ§Žλ‹€.

19.12.2025 09:33 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 40    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Methods sections that once said "Qualtrics panel" are going to now need more specific

16.12.2025 18:40 β€” πŸ‘ 22    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Can Your Face Predict Your Salary? Using AI Personality Assessments in Hiring A new study from Wharton faculty explores how AI can extract personality traits from facial images β€” and what that means for your career.

Computer scientists: "So with machine learning we can extract subtle patterns from massive datasets. What shall we do with it?"

Business school professors, every single time: "You know, I think phrenology got a raw deal in the late 1800s."

11.12.2025 19:36 β€” πŸ‘ 1374    πŸ” 446    πŸ’¬ 43    πŸ“Œ 43
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New paper in @ajpseditor.bsky.social. Is descriptive representation good for substantive representation? Why do voters stay loyal to corrupt and poorly governing ethnic parties? I argue that we ought to focus less on patronage and more on dignity concerns. Defiant pride can come at a price. 1/🧡

08.12.2025 22:01 β€” πŸ‘ 112    πŸ” 39    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 5

This year’s LegCo election saw an unprecedented jump in the number of invalid ballots cast. The percentage was even higher in functional constituencies like Social Welfare (9.78%) and Education, which leaned pro-democracy before the 2021 overhaul.

More via Ming Pao: news.mingpao.com/pns/%e8%a6%8...

09.12.2025 05:11 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
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South Korean chaebol freeze investment plans in revolt against Lee Jae Myung The revelation that nearly 60% of South Korea’s largest conglomerates have effectively frozen their investment plans for 2026 signals a structural capital strike driven by legislative hostility and geopolitical uncertainty rather than mere cyclical caution. This investment paralysis stands in stark contrast to the moderate recovery narrative currently being advanced by the foreign ministry and […] The post South Korean chaebol freeze investment plans in revolt against Lee Jae Myung appeared first on Korea Pro.
08.12.2025 11:03 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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첫 눈이 온 λ°€, μ„œμšΈ.

First Snow, Seoul.

05.12.2025 11:40 β€” πŸ‘ 97    πŸ” 72    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

having grown up in Ohio I am continually perplexed about the amount of snow that will trigger school and ship closings here in DC

05.12.2025 12:39 β€” πŸ‘ 478    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 65    πŸ“Œ 3

The student has been arrested, according to the SCMP

29.11.2025 14:25 β€” πŸ‘ 26    πŸ” 17    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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National security police arrest former district councillor, volunteer over Tai Po fire comments National security police have arrested a former district councillor and a volunteer for allegedly attempting to incite discord through comments about the Wang Fuk Court fire in Tai Po that has killed ...

Hong Kong’s National Security Police have arrested former district councillor Kenneth Cheung Kam-hung and a female volunteer for β€œattempting to incite discord” for comments made about the Tai Po fire

www.thestandard.com.hk/hong-kong-ne...

30.11.2025 23:29 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 20    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 3

Rosencrantz and Guildenstern is still one of my very favorite pieces of writing, both to see and perform.

29.11.2025 18:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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South Korea agreed to invest $350B in the US in exchange for lower tariffs on cars.

But moving that much money abroad could destabilize Korea's currency. And if their currency becomes too unstable, the tariff deal pauses.

How does Seoul solve this? koreapro.org/2025/11/curr...

29.11.2025 11:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I swear if they only let HUNTR/X play the freaking Super Bowl, it would heal America’s honmoon

28.11.2025 04:33 β€” πŸ‘ 75    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

FYI: law and science, political science, and sociology all still have DDRIG programs run outside of the NSF but funded by NSF. The rest of these programs unfortunately do not.

I run the political science DDRIG.

27.11.2025 15:25 β€” πŸ‘ 131    πŸ” 67    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 7

There is understandably a great deal of interest in fighting populism. I share the normative aspiration.
Yet the more I think about it, the more I find myself drawn to a more pessimistic interpretation. The latter may well be wrong. But articulating it helps clarify whether there are strong grounds

27.11.2025 13:21 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 3

Chinese tourists in Taiwan are currently mostly composed of Chinese citizens living overseas visiting Taiwan proper and of Mainland Chinese citizens visiting Matsu & Kinmen. A limited number of individual travelers also manage to visit Taiwan proper through religious exchange or visiting relatives.

26.11.2025 01:37 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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쿠팑맨 2달 λ›΄ λ°•μ§€ν˜„ "μƒˆλ²½λ°°μ†‘μ€ κ°•μš”λœ 선택" λ°•μ§€ν˜„ μ „ λ”λΆˆμ–΄λ―Όμ£Όλ‹Ή λΉ„μƒλŒ€μ±…μœ„μ›μž₯이 두 달간 쿠팑 λ¬Όλ₯˜μ„Όν„°μ—μ„œ μΌν•œ λ’€ "μƒˆλ²½λ°°μ†‘μ€ 개인의 선택이 μ•„λ‹ˆλΌ ꡬ쑰가 λ§Œλ“  κ°•μš”λœ 선택"이라고 μ§€μ ν–ˆλ‹€. λ°• μ „ λΉ„λŒ€μœ„μ›μž₯은 μ§€λ‚œ 19일 SNS에 '일당 19λ§Œμ›, κ·Έ

쿠팑맨 2달 λ›΄ λ°•μ§€ν˜„ "μƒˆλ²½λ°°μ†‘μ€ κ°•μš”λœ 선택"
n.news.naver.com/article/079/...
μ—­μ‹œ 일을 해봐야 말할 수 μžˆλŠ”κ²Œ μžˆλ‹€.

ν•œλ‹¬ μΌν•˜κ³  λ‚˜μ„œ β€œμΏ νŒ‘ μ•Œλ°”λ₯Ό ν•˜κ³  μ™”λ‹€. μƒˆλ²½ 1μ‹œλΆ€ν„° μ˜€μ „ 9μ‹œκΉŒμ§€ 19만 9548원. μΆ”κ°€ μˆ˜λ‹Ήμ΄ λΆ™μ–΄ κ½€ μ§­μ§€ν–ˆλ‹€" 라고 μ“°λ˜ 뢄이..

20.11.2025 10:11 β€” πŸ‘ 43    πŸ” 125    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Not all Koreans are happy w/ this framing. Below, the Hankyoreh newspaper warns against seeing S. Korea as "a military stronghold within a striking distance of China."

"For Brunson, such musings may read like an original 'strategic suggestion.' But for Koreans, they are a matter of life and death."

19.11.2025 01:11 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

@poliscipunk is following 20 prominent accounts