...default to using mortality rates. Life is better with rates, and the approach scales beautifully with multistate models, where you can simply multiply the transition rate matrix (Q) with the survey intervals (tau) and matrix exponentiate it to get the probability matrix, P = exp(Q * tau). 2/2
02.04.2025 05:00 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
By default, mark-recapture models parameterise the survival process with survival probabilities. This is unfortunate, because logit-linear survival functions aren't time invariant, and you can't just exponentiate multistate transition probabilities like you can survival. Instead, we should... 1/2
02.04.2025 04:59 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 1
Ecological Modeling in Stan
We just updated our HMM blog by applying the backward sampling algorithm to recover the posterior distributions of latent states. Check it out!
quantecol.com.au/blog/hmm-in-...
24.02.2025 10:38 โ ๐ 8 ๐ 4 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Quantecol - Marginalisation
Quantecol is on Bluesky! We are a statistical consultancy specialised in (but not limited to) quantitative ecology. We also blog about ecological statistics, with our latest post being about fitting various ecological models in Stan. quantecol.com.au/blog/margina...
12.02.2025 03:06 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 1
Wildlife ecologist @ Australian Wildlife Conservancy. Interested in ecological modelling, reptiles and understanding the effects of large disturbances like land clearing, invasive species, fire and climate change on wildlife. Views are my own.
Quantitative ecology, statistics, wildlife, field herping.
Post-doctoral Research Fellow @ U of Canberra
Consultant @ Quantecol, https://quantecol.com.au
Wildlife tour guide @ Australian Wildlife Encounters, https://www.australianwildlifeencounters.com
Rare plants | drought and climate change | soil specialist plants | grassy ecosystems
PhD student @ La Trobe, Australia
He/Him
Fedi: https://ecoevo.social/@SimonDHeyes
Blog: https://sdheyes.wixsite.com/ecologyblog
Dad, ecologist & conservation scientist living on unceded Wurundjeri Country in Narrm. He/him.
Research: https://euanritchie.org/
The Conversation: bit.ly/2rjBg9A
Nature, SciComm, Politics, Music, Karate, Basketball, Carlton FC
๐ Ally Born: 331 ppm CO2
Adjunct Research Fellow @CSU (PhD); ecologist; Australian sandalwood conservation; Chair, Gunduwa Regional Conservation Association @gunduwa.bsky.social ; trail runner.
Ecology | Biodiversity | Biogeography | Conservation
Lecturer at Macquarie U, Sydney, Australia
youtube.com/@EcolClips
https://julianschrader.wordpress.com
https://scholar.google.de/citations?user=vkDBwQEAAAAJ&hl=en&oi=ao
Assoc. Prof. of Ecology at Lincoln Uni, Aotearoa/New Zealand. Scientist, teacher, dad, bibliophile, cricket tragic, snorkeler, rockpooler (fond of crabs). Uses traits to understand plant responses to disturbance. Likes to BBQ plants.
I read poetry to rare lizards.
Tree ecophysiologist, parent, ocean swimmer and brownie baker. I'm interested in forests, water, carbon, climate change. Pฤkehฤ (she/her), Auckland Uni Prof
Australian National University. Macroevolution, macroecology, biogeography, biodiversity, conservation.
www.macroevoeco.com
Here for isotopes, curiosity, community. Also human ecological relationships. Co- Director Te Pลซnaha Matatini national centre of research excellence in complex systems, AoNZ. HB2. Hapainga te reo Mฤori. https://priscillawehi.com
Ecologist of the frontiers... Prof at University of Western Australia & posting on ecology, conservation, academic life.
Fire scientist and forest ecologist learning how to cooperate with country.
My work, thoughts and funding are independent, but I'm associated with Curtin University and ANU.
Birdwatcher, conservation scientist and mathematician
Just your friendly neighborhood wildlife scientist on a mission to save nature in cities.
๐Presenter, writer, and insufferable noticer of nature
๐Expert in biodiversity conservation + urban ecology
๐Occasionally witty
Chancellorโs Research Fellow at the University of Technology Sydney | Board member @ecolsocaus.bsky.social | plant ecology, climate change, biological invasions, interactions, scicomm | invert-lover ๐ชฒ and beach fiend ๐๏ธ | she/her | zoexiro.com
Assoc. Prof. in Wildlife Conservation at Edith Cowan University. Editor in Chief Pacific Conservation Biology. Studies birds, herps, rodenticide impacts on wildlife. Living on 5 acres in Western Australia on Whadjuk Noongar country.
www.wildlifelab.org
Mรฉtis Nation (Treaty 7) โพ #IndigenousScientist with #TangaroaBlue. Co-team lead at Adriftlab@bsky.social ๐ฆ๐, research on #PlasticPollution, #seabirds, #bushfires, and #islands. Passionate about #WomenInSTEM, #LGBTSTEM, #SciComm #ecogrief & #dachshunds
Our brilliant & diverse team of (mostly) Australian-based #MarineScientists study #plastic in our #oceans & #wildlife ๐ฆ๐๐๐ We feature in BBCโs #drowninginplastic. We also have projects on #ClimateChange, #Bushfires, #MarineHeatwaves & #ArtSci collaboration
Plant scientist studying how climate change affects plant toxicity (#cyanide). Born 314ppm.
Interested in science, tech, plants. #MECFS ally #botanist ๐พ๐ชด๐งช๐ฑ๐ฟ๐
Views my own