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Quantecol

@quantecol.bsky.social

Statistical Consulting, Quantitative Ecology & More!

73 Followers  |  468 Following  |  5 Posts  |  Joined: 12.02.2025  |  1.1955

Latest posts by quantecol.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Extinction Catastrophe A rebuttal to Wallach & Lundgren.

We helped re-analyse some data for the recent rebuttal to Wallach and Lundgren (2025), which pulled into question whether introduced predators were implicated in the extinction of native Australian mammals.

quantecol.com.au/portfolio/ex...

27.01.2026 22:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

...default to using mortality rates. Life is better with rates, and the approach scales beautifully with multistate models, where you can simply multiply the transition rate matrix (Q) with the survey intervals (tau) and matrix exponentiate it to get the probability matrix, P = exp(Q * tau). 2/2

02.04.2025 05:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

By default, mark-recapture models parameterise the survival process with survival probabilities. This is unfortunate, because logit-linear survival functions aren't time invariant, and you can't just exponentiate multistate transition probabilities like you can survival. Instead, we should... 1/2

02.04.2025 04:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Ecological Modeling in Stan

We just updated our HMM blog by applying the backward sampling algorithm to recover the posterior distributions of latent states. Check it out!

quantecol.com.au/blog/hmm-in-...

24.02.2025 10:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Quantecol - Marginalisation

Quantecol is on Bluesky! We are a statistical consultancy specialised in (but not limited to) quantitative ecology. We also blog about ecological statistics, with our latest post being about fitting various ecological models in Stan. quantecol.com.au/blog/margina...

12.02.2025 03:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

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