@stefanmueller.bsky.social
Associate Professor @ucddublin.bsky.social • party competition, public opinion, political communication, computational social science • Maintainer @irishpollingind.bsky.social • Executive Committee Member @yai.ie muellerstefan.net
Writing about immigration in @irishexaminer.bsky.social Govt taking a risk with tougher talk & policies. May look like it's following public opinion but Irish econ is hugely dependent on intrnl labour. Few parties have out flanked the right on migration & won www.irishexaminer.com/opinion/comm...
08.12.2025 19:55 — 👍 16 🔁 6 💬 3 📌 0
SPIRe held an award ceremony on December 3 to recognise our top students🥇
A huge congratulations to the winners for such a significant achievement! 🙌 Maith sibh!
Winners and the criteria 👇
www.ucd.ie/spire/study/...
How Ireland Voted 2024 now available (in full colour printing) from all good bookshops and probably some bad ones too. Full of outstanding analysis and fascinating facts. 13 chapters, 6 Appendices, 33 Tables, 41 Figures, 19 pages of great photos.
04.12.2025 19:13 — 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 2
The latest @ucdpolitics.bsky.social newsletter is out: 9 pages full of good news about our research grants, prizes and honours, new colleagues, publications, events, and our Athena Swan Silver award. Thanks to Alexa Zellentin for editing!
▶️ www.ucd.ie/spire/newsan...
@ucddublin.bsky.social
2️⃣4️⃣🎁🎄 Doing something new for Advent this year: one great data journalism piece per day until Dec 24. I’m teaching a data journalism course @hertieschool.bsky.social next semester, so this is partly selfish homework. But maybe interesting for others too.
30.11.2025 23:02 — 👍 76 🔁 20 💬 9 📌 1
New paper alert!
"Public Speakers With Nonnative Accents Garner Less Engagement" -- now out in Psych Science!
This is my first graduate student's first first-author paper (and it was her first-year project).
Short THREAD on the results:
📢📢 Happy to announce a new update to the PPEG database!
The data now covers
- > 3.000 parties
- 1.100 parliamentary elections
- 402 presidential elections
- 2.044 cabinets
across 73 countries (1945 - 2025, Oct 31).
All info: ppeg.wzb.eu
We hope that data is helpful to the community!
We're looking for a colleague (postdoc) 📢 @politikuhh.bsky.social
3+3 years
Doing your own research while teaching 2.5 courses per semester
Research agenda with links to our team (democracy, digital politics, political competition/behaviour)
DL 🗓️ 05/01
stellen.uni-hamburg.de/jobposting/6...
The chapter with @gailmcelroy.bsky.social analyses issue salience and positions.
Housing and health were among the most salient issues for nearly all parties. Interestingly, immigration barely featured in the manifestos.
Chapter: hdl.handle.net/10197/29172
Book: link.springer.com/book/10.1007...
Latest Irish Polling Indicator estimates – 30 Nov 2025: Sinn Féin: 23% (21.5%–25%) Fianna Fáil: 18.5% (17%–19.5%) Fine Gael: 17.5% (16%–19%) Ind/Others 14.5% (12.5%–16%) Social Democrats: 7.5% (6.5%–9%) Aontú: 5% (4%–6.5%) Labour: 4.5% (4%–5.5%) Independent Ireland: 4% (3%–5%) Solidarity-PBP: 2.5% (2%–3.5%) Green Party: 2.5% (2%–3%)
Latest estimates:
Sinn Féin: 23% (21.5%–25%)
Fianna Fáil: 18.5% (17%–19.5%)
Fine Gael: 17.5% (16%–19%)
Ind/Others 14.5% (12.5%–16%)
Social Democrats: 7.5% (6.5%–9%)
Aontú: 5% (4%–6.5%)
Labour: 4.5% (4%–5.5%)
Independent Ireland: 4% (3%–5%)
Solidarity-PBP: 2.5% (2%–3.5%)
Green Party: 2.5% (2%–3%)
Copies of “How Ireland Voted 2024: The New Normal?”
“How Ireland Voted”: 1987–2020
Exactly one year to the day after the general election, “How Ireland Voted 2024: The New Normal?” is now available in bookshops.
➡️ link.springer.com/book/10.1007...
@sonjapriebus.bsky.social Aleksandra Maatsch& me are organizing a workshop on 'Opposing challenges to democracy across contexts' in Frankfurt (Oder) 26-27 March 2026.
Do you have a paper that might fit? ➡️Call for Papers (📆Deadline: 05/12)
www.dvpw.de/informatione...
Python library with very similar functionality: pypi.org/project/qrco...
27.11.2025 13:36 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Just found out about this free and straightforward QR code generator in R:
library(qrcode)
qr_code("add_your_url_here") |>
plot()
That's all! No registration or subscription required.
thierryo.github.io/qrcode/
🎉 Just published! JAPAN DECIDES 2024! The most comprehensive analysis and interpretation of last year's general election in Japan––which saw the ruling LDP lose its seat majority and presaged further upheaval in 2025. E-book: link.springer.com/book/10.1007...
22.11.2025 23:03 — 👍 23 🔁 11 💬 1 📌 0
Very excited about this @iojournal.bsky.social special issue on the future of global governance and world order – many (short) thoughtful pieces, perfect for teaching!
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
NEW ARTICLE: @palesl.bsky.social, Vesa Koskimaa and I have an letter out in JOP, "Politicians talk less about the future as they age" doi.org/10.1086/739406 (1/10)
21.11.2025 12:53 — 👍 69 🔁 25 💬 3 📌 3We use 15Five’s weekly, voluntary check-ins. 15Five offers an academic discount, but it’s still not cheap. Let me know if you know of more affordable services for submitting and reviewing progress reports/check-ins.
(@fgilardi.bsky.social introduced me to 15Five when I was a postdoc in Zurich.)
The template offers a starting point rather than a fixed standard. The idea comes from Tendler et al. (2023, eLife), who argue that labs need a handbook.
– Template: www.ucd.ie/graduatestud...
– Our handbook: text-and-policy.com/files/handbo...
- eLife paper: doi.org/10.7554/eLif...
2/2
Title page of Research Group Handbook
Poster on building community through a reserach group handbook, presented at the 2025 All-Island Research Culture Network Conference in Belfast.
UCD Graduate Studies and I have produced a Research Group Handbook template for supervisors and researchers.
The template outlines core topics, resources, and policies that groups can adapt to their needs.
➡️ Template and details: www.ucd.ie/graduatestud...
@ucddublin.bsky.social
1/2
Interested in the MA/MSc International Relations, Politics & Data Science, Human Rights, Gender, International Development, European Politics, Conflict Studies, Political Theory, Political Economy, etc.?
🗓️ Wed, Nov 26 | 3:30 pm.
We hope to see you there!
www.ucd.ie/socscilaw/st...
97th minute winner, to keep World Cup hopes alive. Wait for the scenes here - and take note of Jake O’Brien!!! Subbed at half time, ice pack on his right leg!!
#COYBIG #FAI #UTFT
Transparent and comprehensive statistical reporting is critical for ensuring the credibility, reproducibility, and interpretability of psychological research. This paper offers a structured set of guidelines for reporting statistical analyses in quantitative psychology, emphasizing clarity at both the planning and results stages. Drawing on established recommendations and emerging best practices, we outline key decisions related to hypothesis formulation, sample size justification, preregistration, outlier and missing data handling, statistical model specification, and the interpretation of inferential outcomes. We address considerations across frequentist and Bayesian frameworks and fixed as well as sequential research designs, including guidance on effect size reporting, equivalence testing, and the appropriate treatment of null results. To facilitate implementation of these recommendations, we provide the Transparent Statistical Reporting in Psychology (TSRP) Checklist that researchers can use to systematically evaluate and improve their statistical reporting practices (https://osf.io/t2zpq/). In addition, we provide a curated list of freely available tools, packages, and functions that researchers can use to implement transparent reporting practices in their own analyses to bridge the gap between theory and practice. To illustrate the practical application of these principles, we provide a side-by-side comparison of insufficient versus best-practice reporting using a hypothetical cognitive psychology study. By adopting transparent reporting standards, researchers can improve the robustness of individual studies and facilitate cumulative scientific progress through more reliable meta-analyses and research syntheses.
Our paper on improving statistical reporting in psychology is now online 🎉
As a part of this paper, we also created the Transparent Statistical Reporting in Psychology checklist, which researchers can use to improve their statistical reporting practices
www.nature.com/articles/s44...
TIME Magazine (!!!) asked me to explain what the wider world should know about Catherine Connolly:
time.com/7333194/irel...
What is the most profitable industry in the world, this side of the law? Not oil, not IT, not pharma.
It's *scientific publishing*.
We call this the Drain of Scientific Publishing.
Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2511.04820
Background: doi.org/10.1162/qss_...
Thread @markhanson.fediscience.org.ap.brid.gy 👇
Reminiscent of this classic from Irish media.
—
‘Seagulls in Dublin have “lost the run of themselves completely”, a Fianna Fáil senator has told the Seanad.
Senator Ned O’Sullivan that while he “could take or leave pigeons” he is “very much against seagulls”.’
🔝 EPSS received 2,514 paper submissions, authored and co-authored by 3,572 researchers from across the community.
Selecting from such a wealth of work won’t be easy, but it promises an great conference ahead.
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🚨 Job Alert! Postdoc in POLITICAL TEXT ANALYSIS in the MULTIREP project
You do quant text analysis? You are interested in political representation? Enjoy working in teams? Would like to live in a great city? Consider joining us in Vienna!
⏱️ Apply by 15/12/2025
wratil.eu/files/MULTIR...
1/4 🧵
#EPSS2026 currently at over 1,100 submissions and climbing, report the conference committee chairs. Submissions close tomorrow. Don't forget to submit!
app.oxfordabstracts.com/stages/79266...
All your questions answered here:
epssnet.org/conferences/...
@epssnet.bsky.social
