@jeyalizade.bsky.social
Political Scientist and Postdoc at WZB Berlin I study crime, far-right extremism, immigration, and political behavior in Europe. jeyhunalizade.com
📢📢 Happy to announce a new update to the PPEG database!
The data now covers
- > 3.000 parties
- 1.100 parliamentary elections
- 402 presidential elections
- 2.044 cabinets
across 73 countries (1945 - 2025, Oct 31).
All info: ppeg.wzb.eu
We hope that data is helpful to the community!
📣 New op-ed in Süddeutsche Zeitung: What the data say about the “Brandmauer”
I summarize key findings from a study with @anninahermes.bsky.social across 57 democracies
➡️ Far-right parties don’t get weaker in government, they get stronger (~6 points by the next election)
tinyurl.com/4j6jaud2
New paper with @mhamjediers.bsky.social
German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law
Very happy to see "The Green Transition and Political Polarization Along Occupational Lines" out in the
@apsrjournal.bsky.social. w/ @erikvoeten.bsky.social and @hannohilbig.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Überraschend, dass das ZDF-Politbarometer diese Umfrage so verzerrt darstellt: Statt nach der Originalaussage von Merz zu fragen, die tagelang diskutiert wurde, wird in der Umfrage seine späte Rechtfertigung ergänzt. In der Grafik wird das aber gar nicht erwähnt. So geht Framing.
24.10.2025 08:57 — 👍 2091 🔁 682 💬 109 📌 108
Abstract for the article: How does right-wing terrorism affect electoral support for populist radical right parties (PRRPs)? Recent research has produced contrary answers to this question. We argue that only high-intensity attacks, whose motives and targets mirror PRRPs’ nativist agenda, are likely to generate a media backlash that dampens electoral support for PRRPs. We test this argument by combining high-frequency survey and social media data with a natural and survey experimental design. We find that right-wing terror reduced support for the radical right party Alternative für Deutschland after one of the most intense nativist attacks in recent German history. An analysis of all ninety-eight fatal right-wing attacks in Germany between 1990 and 2020 supports our argument. Our findings contribute to an understanding of how political violence triggers partisan detachment and have important implications for media responsibility in the aftermath of terrorist attacks.
🚨 New article out!
“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social
👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...
We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.
Short summary thread below 👇
Abstract
New paper out with @dasalgon.bsky.social: “Far-Right Agenda Setting: How the Far Right influences the Political Mainstream” doi.org/10.1017/S1475676525100066 #openaccess in @ejprjournal.bsky.social🧵
07.10.2025 07:14 — 👍 475 🔁 207 💬 6 📌 16
How have Americans’ immigration attitudes changed in recent decades?
Ollerenshaw and Jardina observe how opinions have evolved since 1988 among partisan and racial/ethnic groups. The most significant shifts have been from white Democrats.
Read more: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
The electoral politics of immigration and crime by Jeyhun Alizade is now available in Early View. @jeyalizade.bsky.social ajps.org/2025/10/01/t...
02.10.2025 17:09 — 👍 10 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0Agree, and some of my analyses (not in the paper) are consistent with your point.
01.10.2025 09:19 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Glad to see this out at @ajpseditor.bsky.social! I show that the immigration-crime issue, when salient, can shift leftist cosmopolitans to the Right. This is due to leftist voters being more conservative on crime than leftist parties.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
How does electoral volatility influence party system polarization? Juliusz Gastev explores the relationship in the Latin American context from 1992 to 2018. Read the research note OPEN ACCESS: buff.ly/oQLb9j6
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social @sagepub.com #polsky #polsci
Labels can impact politics. My paper @apsrjournal.bsky.social "What Happens When You Can't Check the Box?" shows when Middle Eastern & North African (MENA) Americans are excluded from identity categories, they assert MENA identity when answering relevant political questions.
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
📘 64.4
🔍 Evidence from Germany 🇩🇪 shows that higher levels of political violence are associated with lower political ambition among women and weaker descriptive representation. @jeyalizade.bsky.social @fabioellger.bsky.social @mgruenewald.bsky.social @ttichelbaecker.bsky.social
🔗
And we are delighted to announce that @valentimvicente.bsky.social will be honored with the A.SK Bright Mind Award for his work on how social norms influence behavior. 🎉Congratulations!
17.09.2025 08:08 — 👍 50 🔁 9 💬 1 📌 1
13.09.2025 05:43 — 👍 826 🔁 320 💬 23 📌 20
It’s a wrap for PEEP 2025! Thank you to all the presenters, discussants and attendees! @awiedemann.bsky.social @gemmadipoppa.bsky.social @miguelpereira.bsky.social and I are already looking forward to another full day of Political Economy in 2026!
11.09.2025 05:46 — 👍 19 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 1Es ist ermüdend. Die immer gleichen abgedroschenen und unfundierten Narrative über die Linke und den Aufstieg der radikalen Rechten. Was macht man aber wenn Leitmedien unbeirrt von Kritik und journalistischen Standards den Unsinn reproduzieren? Der immer gleiche Tanz aus Provokation und Empörung...
28.08.2025 06:59 — 👍 283 🔁 39 💬 6 📌 2
New article out!
@luke-shuttleworth.bsky.social,
@k8ebrown.bsky.social & I teamed up to explore whether the concept of 'cordon sanitaire' remains useful in the current stage of mainstreaming of far right politics
Read the full article, open access, here
1/
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
BJPolS abstract discussing the dynamics of mainstream and radical political rhetoric regarding anti-immigrant policies, highlighting differences in societal responses and enforcement norms based on the source of the rhetoric.
NEW -
How Mainstream Politicians Erode Norms - cup.org/4lfeHvD
"we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians"
- @valentimvicente.bsky.social, Elias Dinas & @dziblatt.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Excited to host the 4th iteration of the Transformations of Democracy Junior Scholars Workshop at WZB Berlin together with Hanno Hilbig!
Amazing talks & exchanges with colleagues from Princeton, Harvard, UC Davis, Toulouse School of Economics, Copenhagen, Humboldt, Chemnitz, EUI, and beyond..
The call for papers is out! Look at this leadership dream team 👇. Spread the world: 2026 is the year of EPSS! Expect a human scale conference with great feedback and networking. [background info provided below]. (1/3)
epssnet.org/belfast-2026/
Anti-immigrant bias in the German criminal justice system: who would have thought?
osf.io/preprints/so...
I'm hiring another postdoc (research-focused, for almost 5 years) for my @erc.europa.eu project on the educational cleavage!
I'm looking for someone with strong quantitative text-analysis skills (e.g. #NLP, #LLM, etc.) to study the role of political actors in cleavage formation.
"Magdeburg - Ein 61 Jahre alter Autofahrer hat nach einer Diskussion auf einem Magdeburger Parkplatz ein dreijähriges Kind aus Syrien leicht angefahren - nun ermittelt der für politische Taten zuständige polizeiliche Staatsschutz. Auch versuchter Totschlag könne nicht ausgeschlossen werden, sagte ein Polizeisprecher. Dem Vorfall sollen nach Zeugenaussagen rassistische Beleidigungen vorausgegangen sein. Das Kind erlitt den Angaben zufolge leichte Abschürfungen. Der Tatverdächtige ist nach dpa-Informationen bereits häufiger durch rechtsextreme Zwischenfälle aufgefallen. Der Vorfall ereignete sich bereits am späten Montagabend im Norden der Landeshauptstadt, wie die Polizei mitteilte. Dabei kam es zunächst zu einem Wortgefecht zwischen dem Mann und mehreren ausländischen Familien mit Kindern. Dabei habe der Mann die Personen auch fremdenfeindlich beleidigt, teilte die Polizei mit. Unmittelbar danach sei er losgefahren und habe das plötzlich auftauchende dreijähriges Kind mit seinem Auto touchiert. Das Kind sei mit seinem Laufroller unterwegs gewesen."
In #Magdeburg hat ein polizeibekannter Rechtsextremer (61) ein dreijähriges (!) Kind aus Syrien mit seinem Auto angefahren, nachdem er die Familie rassistisch beleidigt hat. Manchmal fehlen einem nur noch die Worte. Zum Glück geht es dem Kind den Umständen entsprechend gut. Es hätte tot sein können.
23.07.2025 16:00 — 👍 401 🔁 153 💬 28 📌 10
🚨New article w/ @eborbath.bsky.social & Swen Hutter
Protest and the rise of left-nationalist challengers: evidence from Germany
📔 Social Movement Studies
🔗 doi.org/10.1080/1474...
In 2022, Germany faced a cost-of-living crisis.
Many expected a “Hot Autumn” of mass protest—but it never happened. Why?
📣 It’s official – we launched the Humboldt Governance Lab! 📣
We use innovative methods to deliver evidence-based insights for policy-makers, public admin, and civil society – tackling the key challenges facing democracy today.
🌐 hu-govlab.de
@humboldtuni.bsky.social
Ein rassistisch motivierter Femizid in Deutschland und kaum jemand spricht darüber. Während die Ermordung der 26-jährigen Rahma A. international Proteste auslöst, will die Staatsanwaltschaft ein mutmaßlich muslimfeindliches Motiv nicht einmal untersuchen, dabei deuten alle Indizien daraufhin.
14.07.2025 12:20 — 👍 380 🔁 160 💬 7 📌 7
Gestern war der 30. Gedenktag an den Genozid an den Bosniak:innen & der erste internationale Gedenktag.
Zu dem Anlass waren ich & ein weiterer Genozidüberlebender, sowie einige bosnische Diplomat:innen im deutschen Bundestag eingeladen.
Was folgte war extrem traumatisierend.
