If you’re really concerned about the economic consequences of below replacement birth levels, which the techno-libertarians seem to be, then you should fight really hard for all of the above immigration increases, skilled, unskilled, whatever
15.01.2025 01:08 — 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
The future is simply a policy choice, we just need politicians willing to be brave for the right ones
14.01.2025 03:55 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The market might like this policy least because it leaves everyone in constant fear they ratchet it up
13.01.2025 22:54 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
It won’t happen this way because the chaos and confusion at the point, but if Trump just announced his final tariff policies on day one, regardless of what they were, markets would probably digest it and we’d move on by March.
13.01.2025 20:08 — 👍 42 🔁 3 💬 10 📌 0
It’s not the right, there are just as many or more left NIMBYs
13.01.2025 15:06 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
I get it, it’ll take more than a decade
13.01.2025 15:06 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Orrrrrr, they could build higher density mixed use walkable communities surrounded by parks, which will never happen
13.01.2025 14:27 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
lol where are they gonna find 500,000 people to build homes
13.01.2025 14:25 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Apple intelligence is such an enormous failure I can’t even ask it to find and bring up an email with a specific word in it from a specific person because that email lives in Gmail not apple’s native email app
12.01.2025 17:19 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
While a lot of sentiment indicators are broken, it’s impossible to look at this chart objectively and say there’s equal political stupidity taking place
The new admin’s stated policies are explicitly inflationary, even the Fed believes so
Dems basically had it right here the entire way
11.01.2025 16:18 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
my issue to the "Dems should have treated Big Tech differently" debate is -- what did Dems accomplish in the Biden administration in regulating tech?
it just seems like there was a ton of loud noises and no one actually reined anyone in, pretty much the worst of both worlds
07.01.2025 23:59 — 👍 70 🔁 6 💬 12 📌 1
Who conceived of this anti tech anti innovation stance?
They saw concentrated power and though “why don’t we go toe to toe with this”
It wasn’t just philosophically dumb it was strategically even dumber
07.01.2025 21:57 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
Why is productivity growth exploding now ask the people who think AI is mostly nonsense
06.01.2025 17:29 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
On one hand, that worked out pretty damn well for most policy and actual governance, maybe minus Israel and crypto where being blind was detrimental
On the other…..the election
06.01.2025 15:29 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
lol at the fact the NYT chooses to publish this NOW and not many months ago
05.01.2025 16:54 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Also, what a headline from the NYT
The US has less troops in combat under the current admin than at any time in the last 30 years, and outside of Ukraine global war deaths are still in steep decline
But hey, don’t let data get in the way of the narrative you want to push
05.01.2025 03:46 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Blinken and Biden get a B for the Middle East, a C- for Ukraine (only because the MAGA faction gets an F), a B+ for China, and an overall B- for allowing world events to be dictated to us instead of having the balls to shape the future vs being scared of escalation theory
05.01.2025 03:42 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
Did a hostile takeover of my HOA about 18 months ago after seeing it was a complete shit show
Some very simple administrative efficiency and we lowered dues by 28%
The world is full of lazy bullshit and people taking advantage of that laziness
05.01.2025 03:14 — 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Boy do I hope this is Nikileaks channeling JPow telling the market they went too far with the hawkish shot over Trump’s bow
04.01.2025 02:29 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Absolutely not, he’s basically Mika but younger, he’s a milk drinker, you’re never winning the cup with him as your 1C
02.01.2025 23:35 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Reality is the Rangers will likely attain the worst outcome possible, they win a bunch of games after the trade deadline where they ship away the entitled veterans and miss playoffs by a few points getting a shitty draft pick that won’t even help them this cycle
02.01.2025 23:33 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
I feel like people have (rationally) given up on trying to hold the NYT and others responsible for shit like “falsely suggested” because they know they have no agency to change behavior in the same way the NYT gave up a long time ago trying to hold Trump accountable for anything for the same reason
02.01.2025 05:28 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
lol, data dependent
02.01.2025 05:22 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Are we all really still pretending that anything he says should be taken seriously as a policy proposal
02.01.2025 00:15 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
There are only really two plausible explanations
Either
The team really has quit in protest of Drury (less likely)
The D core can’t make a breakout pass and there’s a negative feedback loop from that which put them in an unrecoverable flat spin (more likely)
30.12.2024 17:09 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
been in the replies the last few days, but keeping these two over the summer when they had a chance to retool (aka replace these guys with cheap options and help depth both out back & up front), was indeed a choice that was made.
30.12.2024 15:37 — 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
This is all true, but also, online dating apps do suck, they are intentionally inefficient markets that prey on men by intentionally being inefficient pieces of shit
29.12.2024 06:15 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
At this point the only real question is how many weeks/months/years do you wait for this man to find his game, and what happens if he never does, what if he’s just done, wouldn’t be the first 30+ year old center to fall off a cliff
What if he’s still this bad next year?
29.12.2024 03:35 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
So the Fed has become explicitly political in its policy/communication, the market is now only pricing in 1.3 cuts next year, and the bond market can’t catch a bid because the Fed keeps scaring it
If Trump doesn’t deport 10m people and enact onerous tariffs lots of people are off sides here
27.12.2024 16:41 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The war in Gaza has the lowest civilian to combatant casualty ratio in modern urban warfare, this is a fact
Not only is it not one of the deadliest by absolute numbers, it was the MOST humane by execution
But hey, that doesn’t make a good narrative for NYT writers who want to impact policy
27.12.2024 02:22 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Hi there! I'm an aggregation reader that shares articles from hacker news and discusses the community's thoughts!
Author/Tech Support: @timchinenov.bsky.social
Tips Appreciated!: https://ko-fi.com/hackerbriefs
Chief Economics Correspondent for The New York Times. Adjunct at CUNY Newmark. Ex: FiveThirtyEight, WSJ. He/him.
Email: ben.casselman@nytimes.com
Signal: @bencasselman.96
📸: Earl Wilson/NYT
Reporter at The Washington Post. Listen to my series on John Brown: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/american-carnage/id1723391781
CNN Anchor and Chief National Security Analyst, NYT bestselling author, Jackson School teaching fellow at Yale
Author, BLEEDING OUT. Founding Director, VRC. Associate Research Professor, UMD. Senior Fellow, CCJ. Opinions, my own.
Financial writer. Markets & charts. Open to freelance or full-time work. 2 Corinthians 5:21
Investing at psum.vc
Podcasts at joincolossus.com
SVP at CNBC, responsible for digital. If it’s not on TV, and you hate it, it’s probably my fault in one way or another. Big fan of golf, too.
Economic columnist at Washington Post | Data aficionado | Email: Heather.long@washpost.com
Artisanal, hand-crafted links every day at https://abnormalreturns.com/.
Investor, CEO, Dad
https://www.downtownjoshbrown.com/
Head of News at Yahoo Finance. Occasional newsletterer. Dad x2.
Covering the economy for Bloomberg
CNBC talking head. Markets, mostly. Maybe some baseball and movies.
CEO/CIO @ Newfound Research. 🥞 Return Stacking // 🌊 Liquidity Cascades // 📆 Rebalance Timing Luck. Risk cannot be destroyed, only transformed.
🎙️ flirtingwithmodels.com
🥞 www.returnstacked.com
Founder and CEO, @osventuresllc.bsky.social;
Host http://infiniteloopspodcast.com 🎙
Renersatz Man — bitbanter.com
@acityinohio on the other site
markets & macro at Bloomberg News and Television. ktkaos on insta. opinions my own!