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Jason Furtado

@wxjay.bsky.social

Associate Professor of Meteorology at the University of Oklahoma. I study large-scale climate dynamics, subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting, and extreme weather. Proud RI native and New England sports fan. Opinions & thoughts are my own. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή

1,063 Followers  |  217 Following  |  479 Posts  |  Joined: 06.11.2023  |  1.8178

Latest posts by wxjay.bsky.social on Bluesky

This supports the evidence I have seen in the ECMWF and other sources as well. This also changes significantly the risk and duration of cold for North America.

24.11.2025 17:49 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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File this under "Not the canonical response to major SSWs across much of the Northern Hemisphere."

Much of Eurasia is forecast to be above average.

In North America, the pattern looks more like strat reflection with MJO Phase 6-8 teleconnections mixed in.

From the latest ECMWF weeklies. #S2S

24.11.2025 15:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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The NH #PolarVortex is very weak right now, with a hint from the ECMWF of winds at 10 hPa, 60 N becoming slightly below zero m/s (i.e., turning easterly) for 1 day. Then, a very rapid strengthening thereafter. Whether this officially becomes a major SSW or not remains to be seen. #S2S

24.11.2025 15:15 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

What verification data is used afterwards?

18.11.2025 17:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Polar Vortex Will Weaken. Here's What That Could Mean. | Weather.com It's been a warm autumn, so far. But the polar vortex is forecast to change unusually early, and that could impact your weather in December. Here's why.

weather.com/science/weat...

18.11.2025 16:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Record high today in OKC. Likely one tomorrow too.

But, based on what I have seen, the stratosphere will have something to say about this warmth soon.

Colder and potentially stormier conditions are on the horizon just near and after Thanksgiving. πŸ™‚

15.11.2025 02:46 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Congratulations to my former PhD student Ollie Millin for the acceptance of this paper from his PhD dissertation!

Millin, O. T., and J. C. Furtado, 2025: Subseasonal predictability of cold spells in the Central United States. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., in press.

14.11.2025 17:15 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Congratulations to my former MS student Katie Giannakopoulos for the acceptance of this paper from her MS thesis!

Giannakopoulos, K., and J. C. Furtado, 2025: Examining the characteristics and evolution of wintertime temperature whiplash events in the United States Southern Plains. J. Climate

14.11.2025 17:14 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Drake Maye for MVP! #Patriots

14.11.2025 04:26 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Henderson gets the TD!!! #Patriots

14.11.2025 03:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Academic & science folks: Looking for a new laptop for work. Debating between a 13" MacBook Air vs. 14" MacBook Pro. Would configure them the same way (24 GB RAM, 1 TB SSD, 10 Core CPU, 10-Core GPU).

I am only considering Apple, no PCs. :)

Any thoughts or opinions on which to get? Thanks!

13.11.2025 17:48 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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The last-ever penny will be minted today in Philadelphia | CNN Business The American penny will pass away later today after a prolonged illness. It was 238 years old.

www.cnn.com/2025/11/12/b...

12.11.2025 15:17 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Strong winds can bring gale warnings to communities near water. Here's what that means The strong storms and declining temperatures that come with winter can cause significant winds. When they get strong enough, the National Weather Service issues gale warnings for communities near wate...

apnews.com/article/gale...

11.11.2025 22:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

What are your thoughts about the job market for meteorology undergraduates? My impression (albeit through anecdotes) is that the market is becoming saturated for undergraduates and is difficult even for those with advanced degrees.

11.11.2025 18:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

From what I understand, this "deal" only funds the government into January.

10.11.2025 03:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

It's almost "Working late at night with Delilah and Christmas music" season.

07.11.2025 18:57 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Senate will vote Friday to advance shutdown-ending deal, Thune tells Republicans The GOP leader believes the deal will win the support of enough Democrats to advance, though the outcome is not guaranteed.

www.politico.com/live-updates...

06.11.2025 20:22 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, and now comes the challenge of governing, including working with City Council, state government, and the federal government.

05.11.2025 19:25 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you for your blog.

What do you mean by β€œa polar vortex dropping into the western Great Lakes?” Are you talking about a tropopause polar vortex?

The term β€œpolar vortex” alone is traditionally reserved for the stratospheric polar vortex (way up in the Arctic stratosphere).

05.11.2025 16:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Administration hints furloughed workers may not be paid after shutdown Agencies are sending messages indicating that workers who are on the job will be paid when the government reopens β€” with no mention of those on furlough, despite a 2019 law protecting their wages.

Breaking news: The Trump administration is sending messages to federal staff suggesting only those who are working during the government shutdown will be paid when it ends, despite a 2019 law that guarantees pay to furloughed employees, too.

04.11.2025 17:22 β€” πŸ‘ 416    πŸ” 239    πŸ’¬ 57    πŸ“Œ 92
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a man in a suit stands in front of a large crowd ALT: a man in a suit stands in front of a large crowd

Ok… πŸ€·πŸ»β€β™‚οΈ

01.11.2025 13:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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It was a fun Halloween - passed out candy to the kids as Clark Kent / Superman!

01.11.2025 13:44 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Absolutely wild to see these satellite estimates for a hurricane.

28.10.2025 02:36 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Cutting Emissions, the Roundabout Way, in New Hampshire

Rotaries instead of 4-way stops in Moore/Norman. I'm all on board.

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/21/c...

27.10.2025 19:11 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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OU grad students:

- Want to learn data analysis techniques for your research?
- Want to understand and critique the methods used in the journal articles you read?
- Want to build your own statistical toolbox to use in the future?

Enroll in Advanced Statistical Meteorology in Spring 2026!

27.10.2025 15:54 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Patriots are 6-2 now. Amazing. Just hoping to get a chance to watch them on TV while in Oklahoma...

26.10.2025 23:52 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Live Updates: Inflation Report Likely to Show Sticky Price Pressures

Inflation Report Likely to Show Sticky Price Pressures www.nytimes.com/live/2025/10...

24.10.2025 12:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Oh.

23.10.2025 21:09 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump Will Demolish Entire White House East Wing for Ballroom: Live Updates

Breaking News: President Trump is having the White House’s entire East Wing demolished to make way for his $200 million ballroom. The project is far more extensive than he initially let on.

22.10.2025 19:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1100    πŸ” 446    πŸ’¬ 389    πŸ“Œ 277
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In First Six Months, Cost of Weather Catastrophes Escalated at a Record Pace

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/22/c...

22.10.2025 18:35 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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