New post in Substack!
Does joining the Belt and Road Initiative help Chinese construction firms? Not always.
substack.com/home/post/p-...
@andreaghiselli.bsky.social
Lived 10+ years in China, now University of Exeter and ChinaMed Project. Published a book on China, its military, and its interests overseas (OUP, 2021): https://shorturl.at/S2BjTo More at https://andreaghiselli.com/ 无巧不成书
New post in Substack!
Does joining the Belt and Road Initiative help Chinese construction firms? Not always.
substack.com/home/post/p-...
New post on Substack!
I review a great paper published by Tyler Jost and Yucong Li on the promotion dynamics among senior Chinese diplomats.
open.substack.com/pub/thoughts...
Like many, I've created a Substack. I will be mostly sharing reviews and comments on articles and books on China that I read.
If you publish something, share it with me! I'll include it in the review pipeline.
In the meantime, this is the first post.
thoughtsonchina.substack.com/p/article-re...
Submitted!
22.07.2025 05:38 — 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0I was quoted in this South China Morning Post article on Li Qiang's recent visit to Egypt
@cais-exeter.bsky.social @exeter.ac.uk
www.scmp.com/news/china/d...
Will Iran get Chinese weapons? Never say never. However, two other experts and I are quite skeptical at the moment.
@cais-exeter.bsky.social @exeter.ac.uk
www.rferl.org/a/iran-china...
The large and growing use of electronic trucks saves China a more than 1 million barrels of oil per day, that’s also Oman’s daily oil production. The saving will grow by 600.000 barrels over then next 12 months.
02.07.2025 04:08 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0After a long gestation, this @universitypress.cambridge.org Element on Sino-Middle Eastern relations finally has a page and a publication date!
This new work by Mohammed al-Sudairi and I will be in Open Access.
www.cambridge.org/core/element...
Some comments about the SCO MOD meeting in Qingdao for @en.afp.com
@exeter.ac.uk @cais-exeter.bsky.social
www.france24.com/en/live-news...
My two cents on the Chinese reaction to US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in this @financialtimes.com article along those of other experts in the field
@cais-exeter.bsky.social @exeter.ac.uk
www.ft.com/content/6e89...
Is Spain's PM the only European leader who has NOT lost his marbles? Is it possible that the rest committed such a crime against their own governments' finances as to commit to a ludicrous military budget of 5% of GDP? Pure bonkers! www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...
24.06.2025 04:28 — 👍 262 🔁 79 💬 8 📌 5Must read
open.substack.com/pub/adamtooz...
Excellent piece
foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/19/w...
Available data indicate that the stock value of Chinese FDI in North Africa and the Middle East platoed in 2020 and started declining in 2023.
Given how things have been in the region in the past two years, how unlikely is that that was the peak?
My comments on the mysterious cargo flights from China disappearing in Iran in this @telegraphnews.bsky.social article
@exeter.ac.uk @cais-exeter.bsky.social
www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...
My comments for Channel News Asia on China’s interests in and potential approach to the Israel-Iran conflict
@cais-exeter.bsky.social @exeter.ac.uk
www.channelnewsasia.com/east-asia/ch...
Very happy to announce that Todd Hall and I have just signed the advance contract for a new @universitypress.cambridge.org Element book in the Global China series.
Stay tuned 😎
If the Islamic Republic of Iran falls*, the most likely successor is a hardline, nationalist, no less auhoritarian military regime.
*I don't think it's about to fall, unfortunately
**Caveat: we are all bad at predicting any regime's collapse
***The other likely scenario is chaos
😃
16.06.2025 15:46 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Very happy to announce that Todd Hall and I have just signed the advance contract for a new @universitypress.cambridge.org Element book in the Global China series.
Stay tuned 😎
Getting ready to fly to Brussels for this very timely event organized by @egmontinstitute.bsky.social
14.06.2025 12:13 — 👍 3 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0My comments for the South China Morning Post on China’s possible reaction to the Iran-Israel clash
@exeter.ac.uk @cais-exeter.bsky.social
amp.scmp.com/news/china/d...
I was quoted in this @thenewarab.bsky.social article on the presence of foreign fighters, especially Uyghurs, in the Syrian army, and China’s approach to them
@cais-exeter.bsky.social
www.newarab.com/analysis/reb...
It’s in the hands of the gods now…
10.06.2025 04:19 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0I’ll be in Shanghai for 1-2 months! If you are around, let me know!
09.06.2025 22:30 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Light at the end of the tunnel!
02.06.2025 10:28 — 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Well done, Ethan.
24.05.2025 22:20 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Miriam Verzellino and I have written a short piece on the reaction of Chinese commentators to the recent protests in Turkey and how their perception of Turkish politics has changed over the past few years.
chinamed.substack.com/p/turkiyes-p...
The Wagner rebellion (June 2023) open.substack.com/pub/profradc.... These here are my research notes on the Wagner rebellion (for the Russia-Ukraine project). Will be adding to this in coming months and years. Just wanted to share.
17.05.2025 22:03 — 👍 14 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0Exmouth
17.05.2025 11:53 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0